Leadership contest competition

Written by The Voice on 14th December 2007 – 8:15 am

Fortune tellerThe time for spin is over; the time for slide rules has started. Yes, it’s time for the Liberal Democrat Voice leadership election prediction competition.

To enter the competition, post a comment to this message by 8am on Tuesday 18th December giving your predictions for:

  • Nick Clegg’s percentage share of the vote, to one decimal place
  • Chris Huhne’s percentage share of the vote, to one decimal place
  • Percentage turnout, to one decimal place

Clegg and Huhne’s percentages will be calculated excluding spoilt ballot papers. Percentage turnout will be calculated including spoilt ballot papers.

One point will be awarded for each one tenth of a percent by which your prediction is out. E.g. if you predict turnout will be 23.4% and it is 23.6%, this will count as two points. Lowest total score wins. If more than one person ties on the same score, the winner will be chosen by lot.

The winner will win an exciting prize. It’s too exciting to mention now (we’re worried about burglars targeting Liberal Democrat Voice Towers if we said what it was). But it exists. And is exciting.

One entry per person only. All predictions must be submitted using a valid email address.

Predict away…

UPDATE: The competition, and hence commenting on this post, is now closed.


Posted in Leadership Election

83 Comments to “Leadership contest competition”

  1. Martin Howes Says:

    Chris Huhne 51.3%
    Nick Clegg 48.7%
    Turnout 68.4%

  2. Howard S Says:

    Nick Clegg 53.2
    Chris Huhne 46.8
    Turnout 63.9

  3. Robert Bleakley Says:

    Nick Clegg 54.2%
    Chris Huhne 44.8
    Turnout 64.6

  4. Bill M Says:

    Nick Clegg 54.5%
    Chris Huhne 45.5%
    Turnout 67.0%

  5. Bernard Salmon Says:

    Nick Clegg 53.8%
    Chris Huhne 46.2%
    Turnout 68.2%

  6. Adam Evans Says:

    Nick Clegg 58.9%
    Chris Huhne 41.1%
    Turnout 63.7%

  7. Cheltenham Robin Says:

    Nick Clegg 53.1%
    Chris Huhne 46.9%
    Turnout 61.7%

  8. Andrew Brack Says:

    Nick Clegg 53.1%
    Chris Huhne 46.9%
    Turnout 63.7%

  9. Martin Land Says:

    Nick Clegg 61.1%
    Chris Huhne 38.9%
    Turnout 70.2%

  10. Geoffrey Payne Says:

    Nick Clegg 60%
    Chris Huhne 40%
    Turnout 63%

  11. Letterman Says:

    Nick Clegg 51.2%
    Chris Huhne 48.8%

    Turnout 75.6%

  12. Julian H Says:

    Nick Clegg - 52.3%
    Chris Huhne - 47.7%

    Turnout - 69.0%

  13. Joe Otten Says:

    Nick Clegg - 56.2%
    Chris Huhne - 45.8%

    Turnout 72.1%

  14. alex Says:

    Nick Clegg - 55.6%
    Chris Huhne - 44.4%

    Turnout - 64.3%

  15. Thomas Haynes Says:

    Nick Clegg: 52.6%
    Chris Huhne: 47.4%
    Turnout: 64.8%

  16. Jujupiter Says:

    Nick Clegg 52.1%
    Chris Huhne 47.9%

    Turnout 83.1%

  17. Ross Chmiel Says:

    Nick Clegg - 55.2%
    Chris Huhne - 44.8%
    Turnout - 65.0%

  18. Bob Shaw Says:

    Nick Clegg - 50.4%
    Chris Huhne - 48.1%
    Turnout - 61%

  19. Adam Hewitt Says:

    Nick Clegg - 54.5%
    Chris Huhne - 45.5%
    Turnout - 76.3%

  20. Grammar Police Says:

    Nick Clegg - 53.3%
    Chris Huhne - 46.7%

    Turnout - 65.3%

  21. Joe Otten Says:

    Sorry subtraction error.

    Nick Clegg - 56.2%
    Chris Huhne - 43.8% <–

    Turnout 72.1%

  22. Lennon Says:

    Chris Huhne - 50.1%
    Nick Clegg - 49.9%
    Turnout - 72.5%

  23. Prof. John Day Says:

    Chris Huhne -50.2%
    Nick Clegg - 49.8%

    Turnout 79.0 %

  24. Dan Falchikov Says:

    Clegg 44.5%
    Huhne 36.5%
    Cable (write in) 20%

    Turnout 50%

  25. Charlotte Gore Says:

    Nick Clegg 49.9%
    Chris Huhne 50.1%
    Turnout 67.3%

  26. Peter Dunphy Says:

    Nick Clegg 54.1%
    Chris Huhne 45.9%
    Turnout 69.5%

  27. Greg Stone Says:

    Clegg 53.5
    Huhne 46.5
    Turnout 61.5

  28. Rob C Says:

    Nick Clegg 49.8%
    Chris Huhne 50.2%
    Turnout 67.1%

  29. Susan Gaszczak Says:

    Chris Huhne 47.2.3%
    Nick Clegg 52.8%
    Turnout 59.6% (low I know but so many people have struggled to decide)

  30. Iain Rubie Dale Says:

    Chris Huhne 50.3%
    Nick Clegg 49.7%
    Turnout 62.4%

  31. Steven Ronald Says:

    Clegg 56.2
    Huhne 43.8
    turnout 72.5

  32. Paul P Says:

    Clegg 52%
    Huhne 48%
    Turnout 71%

  33. Alex Wilcock Says:

    Nick Clegg 53.3
    Chris Huhne 46.7
    Turnout 68.6

    Though I’ll almost certainly be quite wrong. And happier the closer the upper two are, and the higher the last figure is ;)

  34. Paul Graham Says:

    Nick Clegg 60.4
    Chris Huhne 39.6
    Turnout 62.1

  35. Paul Walter Says:

    Archibald Sinclair 50.1%
    Herbert Samuel 49.%

    TurnoutL 78%

  36. Bernard Salmon Says:

    Alex @ 33: Blimey, your figures are all within 0.5 of mine. Is that our Essex politics training at work? :-)

  37. Gareth Epps Says:

    Nick Clegg 52.1%
    Chris Huhne 47.9%

    Turnout 58.1%

  38. John Says:

    Nick Clegg - 52.5%
    Chris Huhne - 47.5%
    Turnout - 59.2%

  39. Nigel Ashton Says:

    Clegg - 56.1%
    Huhne - 43.9%
    Turnout - 54.7%

  40. Stocky Says:

    Nick Clegg 54.1
    Chris Huhne 44.9
    Turnout 71

  41. Stocky Says:

    whoops
    Nick Clegg 54.1%
    Chris Huhne 45.9
    Turnout 71

  42. Joe Taylor Says:

    Nick Clegg 54.9%
    Chris Huhne 45.1%
    Turnout 73.8%

  43. Simon Says:

    Clegg 54.9%
    Huhne 45.1%

    Turnout: 68.3%

  44. Andrew Duffield Says:

    Nick Clegg 49.7%
    Chris Huhne 49.7%
    Turnout 73.3%

    The toss will be called by Clegg who will choose tails and loose.

  45. Jamie Saddler Says:

    Clegg 54.3%
    Huhne 45.7%
    Turnout 71.2%

  46. David Wilkinson Says:

    Clegg - 53.1%
    Huhne - 46.9%
    Turnout - 70.0%

  47. Peter1919 Says:

    Clegg - 51.7%
    Huhne - 48.3%

    Turnout - 74.7%

  48. John Dixon Says:

    Clegg - 58.4
    Huhne - 41.6
    turnout - 74.3

  49. Tez Burke Says:

    Clegg 53.2%
    Huhne 46.8%
    Turnout 73.9%

  50. John Dixon Says:

    just a vague recap of the scores so far, clegg leads 40 or so to Huhne’s 4

  51. Toby Philpott Says:

    Clegg 62.3%
    Huhne 37.7%

    Turnout 65.4%

  52. Unexpected Tiger Says:

    Clegg: 54.4%
    Huhne: 45.6%

    Turnout: 66.7%

  53. mary reid Says:

    Clegg 52.8%
    Huhne 47.2%

    Turnout 71%

  54. Stephen Glenn Says:

    Clegg 53.3%
    Huhne 46.7%

    Turnout 63.1%

  55. Jennie Says:

    Clegg 50.1
    Huhne 49.9
    Turnout 47%

  56. Iain Dale Says:

    Clegg 53.4
    Huhne 46.6
    Turnout 63.4

  57. tony hill Says:

    Clegg 55.3
    Huhne 44.7
    Turnout 67.4

  58. Ann-Marie Says:

    Clegg 47.6
    Huhne 52.4

    Turnout 66.7%

  59. Steve Comer Says:

    Nick Clegg 49.95%
    Chris Huhne 50.05%
    (after a recount)
    Turnout: 63.8%

  60. Charles Anglin Says:

    Nick Clegg 51.2
    Chris Huhne 48.8

    Turnout 64.3

  61. Ryan Cullen Says:

    Clegg: 52.4
    Huhne: 47.6
    Turnout: 56.4
    (of course I’m not allowed to win)

  62. Linda Jack Says:

    On the basis of the predictions here it has to be:

    Clegg 90%
    Huhne 10%
    Turn out 100%

    Can I enter twice???!

  63. Linda Jack Says:

    More seriously……….

    Clegg 62.6%
    Huhne 36.3%
    Spoilt papers 1.1%

    Turn out 61.3%



  64. James Chalmers Says:

    Clegg 59.2%
    Huhne 40.8%
    Turnout 65.6%

  65. Dominic Says:

    Clegg 62.0%
    Huhne 38.0%
    Turnout 69.6%

  66. Paul Walter Says:

    Huhne 50.1%
    Clegg 49.9%
    Turnout 74%

  67. tpfkar Says:

    Clegg 57.4%
    Huhne 42.6%
    Turnout 67.0%

  68. Andrew Morris Says:

    Huhne 52.3%
    Clegg 47.7%
    Turnout 67.4%

  69. Elaine Woodard Says:

    Clegg 52.8%
    Huhne 47.2%
    Turnout 73.6%

  70. Liam Pennington Says:

    Huhne 52.0
    Clegg 48.0
    Turnout 71.2

  71. Chris Says:

    Nick Clegg: 68%
    Chris Huhne: 32%
    Turnout: 56.5%

  72. Tim Says:

    Clegg 53.1%
    Huhne 46.9%

    Turnout 60%

  73. Jonathan Gray Says:

    Chris Huhne: 51.7%
    Nick Clegg: 48.3%
    Turnout: 69.7%



  74. Tim Starkey Says:

    Nick Clegg 53.5%
    Chris Huhne 46.5%

    Turnout: 65%

  75. Peter Welch Says:

    Clegg 56.4%
    Huhne 43.6%
    Turnout 64%

  76. Thomas Widmann Says:

    Clegg 47.1%
    Huhne 52.9%
    Turnout 81.1%

  77. Caron Says:

    Clegg 53.2%

    Huhne 46.8%

    Turnout 64.8%

  78. Paul L Says:

    Clegg 61.1%
    Huhne 38.9%
    Turnout 70.1%

  79. Nich Starling- Norfolk Blogger Says:

    Clegg - 57.7%
    Huhne - 42.3%

  80. Paul Clark Says:

    Nick Clegg 50.1%

    Chris Huhne 49.9%

    Turnout 67.7%

  81. David Roberts-Jones Says:

    Clegg 49.7%
    Huhne 50.3%
    Turnout 65.6%

  82. Peter Bacon Says:

    Clegg 57.2%
    Huhne 42.8%
    Turnout 71.1%

  83. Stephen Tall Says:

    Clegg: 55%
    Huhne: 45%
    T/out: 65%



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