Mike Tuffrey the choice of members for Lib Dem London mayoral candidate: LDV survey

Lib Dem Voice has polled our members-only forum to discover what Lib Dem members think of various political issues, the Coalition, and the performance of key party figures. Over 500 party members have responded, and we’re currently publishing the full results.

Tuffrey set to beat Opik for London mayoral nomination

LDV asked: It’s thought that there are two names who may stand for the London mayoralty as the Lib Dem candidate in 2012: Lembit Opik and Mike Tuffrey. Who do you think you are most likely to vote for?

    10% – Lembit Opik
    56% – Mike Tuffrey
    18% – I do not intend to vote for either
    17% – Don’t know / No opinion

If our survey of members eligible to vote is any indicator, then Lib Dem London assembly member Mike Tuffrey is set to defeat former Lib Dem MP Lembit Opik by a 5:1 margin, and become the party’s mayoral candidate for the London 2012 election.

It’s only fair to say the survey comes with a few health warnings: (1) the sample size was 176, so is more prone to error; (ii) we have not verified if all who said they are eligible to vote in the selection process are actually eligible (although all are Lib Dem members); (3) our surveys are inevitably more skewed towards activist party members, so may not be representative of the wider membership.

You can read more about both candidates, and what they stand for, in these Lib Dem Voice posts:

  • Almost 1,300 Lib Dem paid-up party members are registered with LibDemVoice.org. Over 530 responded to the latest survey, which was conducted between 18th and 24th April.
  • Please note: we make no claims that the survey is fully representative of the Lib Dem membership as a whole. However, LibDemVoice.org’s surveys are the largest independent samples of the views of Lib Dem members across the country, and have in the past accurately predicted the winners of the contest for Party President, and the result of the conference decision to approve the Coalition agreement.
  • The full archive of our members’ surveys can be viewed at www.libdemvoice.org/category/ldv-members-poll
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    • Lib Dem Voice is a very important blog for our campaign, but not necessarily representative of the whole party. This does not correlate with straw polls that I have asked people to carry out, although our team will need to fight hard to win. What Lembit has on his side is a team of supporters who will be campaigning hard on his behalf. The Facebook group hit 1000 members today and we have a young, fun and lively campaign. There is a growing buzz around our group and many new people are joining. Lembit’s team will be working hard to win the nomination.
      Ed Joyce

    • Lisa Correy 7th May '11 - 11:23pm

      Personally I’m with Lem. I think our party needs his charisma not to mention the vibrancy that he’d bring to the mayoralty. The mayoral election is a personality contest and we need a candidate who won’t be squeezed out of the contest by Boris and Ken.

    • Old Codger Chris 8th May '11 - 2:48am

      I admire anyone who wants to take on this thankless task.

      For the sake of the party it cannot be Lembit. Haven’t the Lib Dems lost enough credibility?

    • Sandra Folliot 8th May '11 - 10:29am

      If Lembit is the candidate, I will not vote LibDem for Mayor (will for the GLA though of course). That’s how terrible I think he is!

    • Liberal Neil 20th Jun '11 - 12:19pm

      “The mayoral election is a personality contest”

      No it isn’t. It is primarily a party political contest, alongside the party political Assembly election on the same day.

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