Will the changes to Scottish election law gives us a data bonanza?

The main change to election law this summer has come with the Political Parties and Elections Act 2009, but Parliament has also approved the Scottish Local Government (Elections) Act 2009.

The primary purpose of the Act is to change the cycle for Scottish local elections, so that in future they will not be held on the same day as Scottish Parliamentary elections. Instead, the next round of local elections is being delayed by one year – from 2011 to 2012 – and the local elections will then run on a four-year cycle from there.

Also in the Scottish Local Government (Elections) Act 2009  is a new provision to publish much more information about election results:

The Scottish Ministers may by order make provision as to the publication of
information about votes cast at elections of councillors.
(2) Such an order may, in particular—
(a) specify information to which the provisions shall apply,
(b) make provision about access to information to facilitate publication,
(c) specify limitations on the publication of information,
(d) make provision relating to votes cast in part of an electoral ward.

(1) The Scottish Ministers may by order make provision as to the publication of information about votes cast at elections of councillors.

(2) Such an order may, in particular—…

(d) make provision relating to votes cast in part of an electoral ward.

In other words, there is now the power for voting breakdowns by polling district (or other sub-ward level unit) to be published. With STV it’s unlikely that full results will be provided on a sub-ward level, but even so this is good news for confidence in election results. That is because official information being published at polling district level means that if there is any very surprising election result there is more scope to track back to the cause of it and so help work out if it’s due to dodgy behaviour, faulty counting – or the will of the electorate.

It’s a common feature of American elections, for example, for faulty counting machines to be caught by oddities being spotted in the detailed breakdowns of results.

With STV and electronic counting in place in Scotland, this is a very welcome measure of reassurance if the powers are now used – plus of course it would provide electoral geeks with lots more data to pore over.

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4 Comments

  • KL
    Posted 19th August 2009 at 12:59 pm | Permalink

    But if you use electronic counting, then it should be pretty easy just to publish the results on a polling station basis as a matter of course.

    From a party point of view, it becomes a very useful tactical tool for identifying where our support lies, which we can then use for targetting effort and resources.

  • Dave
    Posted 19th August 2009 at 1:40 pm | Permalink

    Detailed polling district by polling district breakdowns were made available after the Scottish Parliament elections by the Scottish Office. Electronic counting allowed that to be done. The Scottish Office was evidently less concerned with information and data protection issues than the Scottish Government, who have felt it necessary to include these specific empowering clauses in the Local Government Elections Act.

    Also, the 2012 term for Scottish local government will be five years, not four. The terms then become four years so that council elections fall at the mid-point in the Holyrood cycle – i.e. Holyrood 2015, 2019, 2023 and councils 2017, 2021, 2025.

  • Posted 19th August 2009 at 6:07 pm | Permalink

    Such information as ward-by-ward results would be fantastic not just for activists or candidates, but analysis across a wide range of fields. How many years shall we wait for the same in England?

    My breath, it shall not be held….

  • Posted 19th August 2009 at 7:00 pm | Permalink

    Dave: thanks for the reminder about the Scottish polling district breakdown. (There’s been one other similar example, which are the London elections where we’ve had the ward level figures published.) On the electoral cycle, yup that’s what I meant in the second paragraph.

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