Tag Archives: 2024 election

LIbLink: Ed Davey – Lib Dems plan to ‘finish the job’ in Tory heartlands

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Over on the Guardian website, there’s an interview with Ed Davey in a buoyant mood:

Confirming that he intends to lead the party into the next election, Davey said the party would again ruthlessly target so-called blue wall seats, traditionally Conservative areas where the Lib Dems have taken advantage of perceived Tory complacency and disaffection with the party’s ideological direction.

Posted in LibLink | Also tagged | 8 Comments

70 years of data suggest the Conservatives will suffer a big defeat at the next election’

Over on The Conversation, Professor Paul Whiteley has written a piece entitled: “70 years of data suggest the Conservatives will suffer a big defeat at the next election – here’s how I worked it out“.

Professor Whiteley goes back to 1945 and looks at polling for the Conservatives taken 19 months before each general election, compared to the seats they won at the subsequent election.

The result is a remarkable correlation, with exceptions for a couple of occasions.

Posted in Op-eds | Also tagged | 13 Comments

Could you be the PPC to win England’s Number 1 target seat?

Wimbledon is the Party’s closest target seat in England , with a Tory majority of just 628 and the Merton Party are now looking for a Prospective Parliamentary Candidate to win it at the next General Election. It needs a swing of just 0.6% to turn Wimbledon orange.

Could you be the candidate that turns another London constituency orange?

Posted in Op-eds | 13 Comments
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Recent Comments

  • Chris Moore
    During the campaign, the LD leader and Deputy both said immigration was too high. We do have pertinent policies. What we don't have is loud populist slogans ...
  • Chris Moore
    Hello Marco, take a look at Burnley, Aylesbury, Montgomeryshire, Watford and Cornwall South East. These are all easier Labour-held targets than Cardiff East an...
  • Duncan Greenland
    Between them and the three select committee chairs a seriously impressive team !...
  • Marco
    There are about 4 seats that could be won from Lab next time: S Hallam, Bermondsey, Cardiff East and Bham Hall Green. It would be symbolic to take any Lab seats...
  • Marco
    Martin Gray - The priorities of people in seats where the Lib Dems are strong are different to other parts of the country. In these 100 or seats immigration is ...