Absent Conservative peers assist Labour in Lords votes

There were four votes in the House of Lords on Tuesday, two on the impact of the Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) on charities, one on scrutiny of the CIL and one on the Local Transport Bill. None of these are front page news, but they are typical of the detailed work that the House of Lords does.

What caught my eye was the voting pattern.

Despite there being less than half as many Liberal Democrat peers (74) as Conservative, there were more Lib Dems in the voting lobby for three out of the four votes than Conservatives (and that’s not because there …

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Yet another Conservative MEP in expenses trouble

Via The Sunday Times:

One of Britain’s least active MEPs has been receiving more than £40,000 a year for office expenses despite having no office in his constituency.

David Sumberg, a Conservative MEP for the North West of England, has already declared he pays £54,000 a year for secretarial support from his wife.

Since the current European parliament was elected in 2004, Sumberg has made just two set-piece speeches and 12 one-minute “explanations of votes”. He has tabled five questions and sits on a committee but has not written any of its reports or tabled any resolutions.

“If there was a competition for

…

Posted in News | 2 Comments

Opinion: The BNP membership list and the lessons for Lib Dems

A few days ago, a dissident member of the British National Party posted his party’s membership list on the internet. The publication of this data provides us with some interesting information about the demographics of BNP membership.

The Guardian (20 November) published an interactive map showing the concentration of BNP membership by parliamentary constituency.

On BBC2’s Newsnight (19 November), its political editor Michael Crick drilled down further. Newsnight commissioned polling company Ipsos-MORI to analyse the BNP membership list. The top five places where BNP members live are Halifax, Blackburn, Blackpool, Leicester and Romford. There are hardly any members in Scotland and few in the rest of London outside Romford. The membership is 80% male.

The places where BNP members live was also analysed according to the ‘mosaic’ system used by marketing companies to break down the country into different social categories. The highest concentration of BNP members is in the ‘Ties of Community’ category, defined as “close-knit communities, small industrial towns, terraced housing, strong Labour voting”.

The second concentration is in the ‘Blue Collar Enterprise’ category, defined as “council estates, not well-educated, self reliant (often bought their council house), ‘Sun’ readers”. The category where BNP membership is weakest is ‘Urban Intelligence’, defined as “young single, well-educated, Liberal views, prosperous”. The biggest concentration of BNP membership in terms of social class is C2 (skilled working class), more concentrated there than among the lower D/E classes of unskilled working class and unemployed.

The demographics of BNP membership come as no surprise – older, uneducated, white males form the bedrock of support for far-right parties throughout Europe. But what this profile also illustrates is that, in demographic as well as ideological terms, BNP membership is the polar opposite of Liberal Democrat support.

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 32 Comments

The Independent View: The hole we are in and how to get out of it

Vince Cable has stood out as an advocate of extremely sound economic policy while his counterparts have floundered. He predicted the housing collapse, he warned that the UK’s debt-binge was unsustainable and he was the first to take a decisive stance when Northern Rock collapsed. But the Liberal Democrats’ support for a stimulus of £30 billion – to include tax cuts for the low-paid and public spending increases – in next week’s Pre-Budget Report is entirely the wrong step.

As Reform’s new report shows, the academic evidence is that rather than boosting the economy, a stimulus could in fact cause long term damage to confidence by unbalancing the public finances further.

Secondly, it would not work. A public spending stimulus would take too long to take effect and would crowd out private spending, while tax cuts are more likely to be saved than spent. Higher tax credits would actually increase the marginal cost of work for people on low incomes.

Thirdly, we simply cannot afford it. The true level of debt is at least 60 per cent of GDP once the major “hidden” liabilities (e.g. Northern Rock, PFI) are taken into account. We have the 4th highest structural deficit in the OECD, and when the Government’s large long-term spending commitments on pensions and education are factored in, the UK already faces tax increases of £100bn – that means £4,000 for every British family.

Vince Cable also proposed tax increases on richer people to fund this stimulus. Art Laffer, the senior American economist, has said recently that this would actually weaken the public finances further, because rich people can reduce their ability to pay taxes whereas poorer people cannot.

However, the Liberal Democrats have also embarked on a programme of research on public sector productivity which seems to be better than the other two Parties. Its results should be very timely.

This is the right step. To keep the recession and unemployment to a minimum, the Government’s short term objective should be the same as the long term path to economic growth – to increase productivity. This should be the theme of the Pre-Budget Report and of Budget 2009.

Posted in The Independent View | 10 Comments

Watford Conservatives to usher in new candidate?

The Watford Observer reports that the Watford Conservative Association is moving quickly to replace Ian Oakley, the Tory PPC convicted of 68 criminal offences against his Liberal Democrat opponent Sal Brinton and her colleagues.

Curious, then, that ConservativeHome appear to have no knowledge of the advertisement (it isn’t in the most recent list of advertised seats on ConservativeHome), and in fact their last entry for Watford reports Oakley’s pleading guilty at St Albans Magistrates Court back in August.

Neither the local Conservative Association nor David Cameron have yet apologised to Watford Liberal Democrats for Oakley’s reign of terror whilst he …

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Met Police accused of breaking the law – but it’s probably good news

The Ordnance Survey (OS) has accussed the Met of breaking the (legally binding) terms of use for its data when the Met started producing maps showing crime levels across London.

At the heart of the dispute is the problem that although the OS is a public body, it is also expected to hit profit targets each year, and therefore treats letting others – including other public bodies – use its data as a commercial transaction. This means that many possible interesting developments matching up data or pointing people at data are hindered, or never happen, because of the costs involved.

In this …

Posted in News | 3 Comments

Opinion: Because BNP members have rights too

So the latest data leak has nothing to do with the Government’s lamentably lax data management polices. It has however generated some responses which should, but worryingly don’t always appear to, concern liberals.

It’s now relatively easy for anyone to find out if their neighbour is a BNP member. It took me about 10 minutes to find a credible link to the list last night and if it has made its way onto the peer-to-peer networks then the cat cannot now be put back into the bag.

The leaked list seems reasonably accurate. The most the BNP are …

Posted in News and Op-eds | Tagged | 43 Comments

CommentIsLinked@LDV: Bridget Fox – ‘It’s Brown, not Islington’s workers, who deserves a P45’

The latest blog of Bridget Fox, Lib Dem PPC for Islington South and Finsbury, is now live over at The Guardian’s website, with thoughts on on recession, RBS and responsibility. Read it in full here, but here’s her thoughts on the Lib Dems being “constantly ahead of the curve” (to coin a phrase):

And the party’s now setting out fresh thinking on the banking crisis. As I argued last month, there is no point oiling the wheels with public money if the banks have their brakes on. Huge levels of consumer and institutional debt on the one hand, combined

…

Posted in LibLink | Tagged | 1 Comment

Opinion: Welcome to Nursery Britain

Are you sitting comfortably? Then we’ll begin.

In 1945, perhaps in a desire to continue the communal spirit of the war, Britain elected its only Socialist government. Swathes of privately-owned businesses were nationalised, capitalism was abandoned in favour of state ownership, and Liberalism, which had taken Great Britain from a dreary archipelago at the corner of Europe to a global powerhouse of industry and enterprise, was abandoned. And while the Attlee government did some great good in the creation of the NHS, after six years the British electorate had come to hate the drab, rationed austerity of the 1940s. Perhaps in a desire to resurrect some vestige of imperial prestige, they re-elected a decrepit Churchill – like Britain, a tragicomic echo of his old self.

But once in power, the Tories did nothing to reverse the Attlee revolution. Instead, they effected the mixed economy, a dismal synthesis of state socialism and capitalism that proved to be sclerotic for free trade and launched the nation into a thirty-year spiralling descent that was only arrested with the wholesale dissolution of British industry and the sale of the City of London to overseas investors.

Since the brief experiment of Socialist government between 1945 and 1951, Britain has been faced with a choice between two essentially social democratic parties, both believing that the state can – and should – intervene in every aspect of public and private life in order to impose their vision of what society should be. And even the lady who believed that there was no such thing as society couldn’t control her instincts as a curtain-twitching busybody, prying into the most personal corners of our lives, enacting unfair taxation and betraying the promise of a Liberal revolution in favour of the continuation of the social democratic consensus.

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 252 Comments

HM Treasury admits it doesn’t know how much money it’s spending: encore

Over the summer I blogged about the Treasury’s curious admission that it doesn’t know how much money it spends on, in the words of the question, “branding and marketing”. This week Dizzy Thinks spotted another example; the Treasury doesn’t know how much it spends on heating, electricity or water either. Perhaps it would be easier for someone to just ask what it does know?

Posted in News | Tagged | 8 Comments

Vince Cable endorsed by business leaders

Polling consultancy ComRes has been tracking business leaders’ perceptions of party leaders and their Treasury spokesmen since October 2007.

Recent figures for business leaders’ confidence in the abilities of Darling, Osborne and Cable make for an interesting comparison:

In September, confidence in Alistair Darling was 11%, George Osborne 40% and Vince Cable was 31%.

In October, it was: Darling 25%, Osborne 36% and our Vince 45%.

At a time when business experience among MPs is lacking, and when Liberal Democrat ideas are being filched from all sides, Vince Cable stands out.

ComRes’ Chief Exec Andrew Hawkins has even gone so far as to say Vince …

Posted in News | Tagged and | 2 Comments

Spoilt ballot papers, US-style

The knife-edge Minnesota Senate race is being recounted, and you can browse some of the ballot papers under scrutiny here. I particularly liked the attempt to disqualify one ballot paper because it had a fingerprint … and as for the Lizard People Party, there were clearly robbed of a vote.

Posted in LDVUSA | 6 Comments

BBC Question Time: open thread and live-blog

To Glasgow tonight, for a mainly-Scottish edition of the BBC’s Question Time (BBC1 and online, 10.35 pm GMT), where the Lib Dems’ recently elected Scottish leader, Tavish Scott MSP, will appear.

Joining Tavish on the panel will be: Labour’s Secretary of State for Scotland, Jim Murphy; deputy first minister of Scotland the SNP’s Nicola Sturgeon; shadow chief secretary to the Treasury, Tory Philip Hammond; and Daily Mail columnist, the fragrant Melanie Phillips.

Now let me think… which of those is most likely to annoy LDV readers? Well, remember: if you’re tuning in to watch, don’t get angry, get commenting. This week we’re experimenting with a CoverItLive feed for extra thrill-packed 2.0 interactivity (from 10.30 pm).

Posted in Lib Dem TV | Tagged | 6 Comments

Forums off for a bit

The forums are currently closed whilst some maintenance is done, as soon as they are back up this post will be updated.

20:01 The forums are now back up. You might have noticed that the URL has now changed to forum.libdemvoice.org. You should be automatically redirected by your browser when using your bookmarks, however you will need to re-enter your username and password as the cookies have changed.

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Business welcome for Clegg’s ‘government bank’ proposal

Nick Clegg’s proposal yesterday for the government to lend directly to companies through the Post Office, local authorities or even by creating an entirely new bank triggered a vigorous debate here on Lib Dem Voice.

One group which has given it a very warm welcome is the Federation of Small Businesses – witness this report from myfinances.co.uk:

Spokesperson for the Federation of Small Businesses (FSB), Stephen Alambritis, said: “We support the intervention of the Liberal Democrats leader. The banks are not coming up with the goods despite the bank recapitalisation. We agree small businesses should have more alternatives.”

…

Posted in News | 1 Comment

In Waltham Forest: ‘Lib Dem fury over sex slur leaflets’

The local Guardian newspaper has the full story of an anoymous dirty tricks campaign targeting the Lib Dems:

A BY-ELECTION campaign has taken a disturbing twist with a sinister leaflet claiming Liberal Democrats want to legalise paedophilia being pushed through voters’ doors. The alarming development threatens to mar the Hale End & Highams Park poll, which is expected to be a close race between the Lib Dems and Conservatives.

The leaflets, which have been delivered to homes across the ward including homes in Beacontree Avenue, Hill Crest Road and Beech Hall, contain a message claiming to be written by disgraced

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Posted in Local government and News | 13 Comments

LDVUSA: Presidential Prediction competition results (OFFICIAL)

A fortnight ago, Lib Dem Voice published the unconfirmed results of our competition to predict the electoral college outcome of the race to be the next President of the USA.

At the time of writing, we assumed Missouri’s 11 votes would end up in Senator McCain’s Republican column; and that’s now been confirmed. (Bang goes the Big Mo’s ‘bellweather’ status for predicting Presidential winners). However, in the interim, President-elect Obama picked up one of Nebraska’s electoral votes.

All of which to-ing and fro-ing gives a final electoral college tot-up of Obama 365, McCain 173.

But none of which changes the rankings as originally published, and so we tip our hats, and award our penultimate LDV mug, to Joe Taylor, Lib Dem blogger, councillor and all-round psephological swot.

Full results, with updated scores, as below.

Posted in LDVUSA | 3 Comments

Nick Clegg: finding information on the internet

Questions about Nick Clegg’s various internet presences regularly come my way, so here’s a handy quick list of the key resources:

  • www.nickclegg.com – Nick Clegg’s site for his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats, including his latest stories (which you can comment on), full text of speeches and details of his forthcoming public meetings.
  • www.nickclegg.org.uk – Nick Clegg’s site for his job as MP for Sheffield Hallam.
  • Facebook page – where you can sign up as fan of Nick Clegg and follow his

…

Posted in Online politics | Tagged and | 4 Comments

Robert Peston on the state of the economy

Earlier this week, Nick Clegg called for urgent action to make more funds available for businesses and mortgages, saying that, “We need to do something and do something fast. We have to look at ways to get money back into the real economy”.

Robert Peston has blogged today about some of the issues behind this problem:

The primary motive of the £400bn of additional taxpayer support provided last month by the Treasury was to prevent the collapse of the banking system (and really it wasn’t such a bad thing to prevent a meltdown of most of our banks).

Or to put it

…

Posted in News | 1 Comment

What do social workers think should happen following the death of Baby P?

From the BBC:

Eight out of 10 social workers who responded to a poll think new managers should be brought in at Haringey Council in the wake of Baby P’s death.

The Community Care website survey also found 86% of 250 respondents felt that the case of Baby P reflected wider childcare protection problems…

Community Care is a website and magazine for people working in the social care sector, at all levels of seniority.

Its readers’ poll found that 79% of respondents felt new managers should be brought in at Haringey Council following the Baby P

…

Posted in News | Tagged and | 3 Comments

“The Tories have chosen this moment to self-destruct”

Anatole Kaletsky writes in The Times:

The Tories have chosen this moment to self-destruct, leaving no plausible alternative to Labour, and nobody, apart from the redoubtable Vince Cable, to challenge Mr Brown’s delusions of grandeur – or potential economic misjudgments.

Talleyrand’s famous remark about the House of Bourbon – that they had “learnt nothing and forgotten nothing” – seems to apply with equal force to David Cameron’s Conservatives after their repeated decapitations since 1992.

Last week George Osborne showed that he had learnt nothing, by foolishly identifying the recent weakness of sterling with the alleged weakness of the British economy and the

…

Posted in News | Tagged | 13 Comments

Olbermann on California’s Proposition 8

On the same night as celebrations of Barack Obama’s historic victory two weeks ago, there was the troubling rejection of existing recognition of gay marriage in the state of California by voters there.

Many LDV readers will be familiar with Keith Olbermann, the MSNBC news anchorman, whose on air editorials on progressive issues seek to counter-balance those of the right-wing Fox News. Here’s his latest “special comment” on the issue.

Posted in LDVUSA | 4 Comments

NEW: November LDV members’ survey now live

If you are a registered member of the Liberal Democrat Voice forum – and any paid-up party member is welcome to join – then you now have the opportunity to make your views known on a range of issues in our November members’ survey. Topics we are asking your opinion on include:

– Lib Dem tax policy post-credit crunch;
– what should be the Lib Dem policy on the European single currency;
– why the party hasn’t benefited more in the polls from its sure-footed economic performance;
– what you believe are the key issues currently facing the UK;
– what you think the …

Posted in LDV Members poll | Leave a comment

Who do you think’s the best political journalist in Britain?

That’s the question Total Politics put to journalists, MPs and the magazine’s Facebook fans – and below, courtesy of The Guardian’s Politics Blog, are the top 20.

As ever with such lists, there are some curiosities – for example, that neither Andrew Neill nor Matthew D’Ancona make it into the premiership. And, personally, I’m a fan of Philip Stephens in the FT. Who do you think’s missing, or been over-promoted?

Posted in News | Tagged , , and | 4 Comments

Government department in ‘no lost memory sticks’ shocker

From silicon.com:

It had to happen sooner or later. While seemingly a week doesn’t go past without another government data loss as a result of a mislaid memory stick, one government department has made a shocking revelation: it hasn’t lost any for several years.

In a written answer to Parliament, Secretary of State for Northern Ireland Paul Goggins revealed that no memory sticks or desktop computers have been lost or stolen from his department between 2001 and 2008.

Figures prior to 2001 are not available, Goggins said in response to a question by Paul Holmes, Lib Dem MP for Chesterfield.

However, the

…

Posted in News | 3 Comments

What should Gordon do – go now, or hold on?

Imagine you’re the Prime Minister. In your first three months you were hailed as a Colossus. Then you flunked your first really big decision: whether to call a general election. Since when your poll ratings dropped so low your government was in open revolt. But then the world economy imploded, and you grabbed, belatedly, your final opportunity to make good. Since when your poll ratings have recovered, a little.

So now what do you do if you are Gordon Brown? Prepare to call a general election in early 2009?

Easy enough to imagine the statement: “These are difficult times for …

Posted in News and Op-eds | Tagged | 12 Comments

PMQs: Nick tackles Gordon on bank lending and bonuses

UPDATE: Anyone dropping in here from the BBC’s liveblog of PMQs, hello and welcome, but please go here instead. You will immediately notice what the hard-pressed Beeb livebloggers did not – that this post is last week’s PMQs report.

Even more shouty plonkerism than usual at PMQs today if such is possible, perhaps partly because Brown and Cameron were reasonably evenly matched. Clegg was heard with comparative quiet for once – it has occurred to me before that a bad day for Cameron often seems to coincide with a good day for Clegg. Perhaps it’s a function of psychology, that if Cameron hasn’t provided particularly effective opposition, Clegg feels more able to.

He asked how the government intended to force the banks to make good on the things they promised in return for recapitalisation – an end to the bonus culture, and increased lending to small businesses. All MPs, Clegg said, knew that small businesses in their constituencies were “receiving emails from their banks that virtually closed them down overnight”. The Prime Minister, to my great surprise, did not once mention Winter Fuel Payments in his answer. He referred to various existing government schemes for funding small businesses, confirming the now total merging of state and private sector in the collective hive mind of Labour.

Clegg’s second question was a reiteration of the first, but I think put the case more effectively with a reference to Brown’s “strutting” on the world stage of the G20 meeting, showing off his plan – which at home simply wasn’t working. If the Prime Minister would not force banks to lend to small businesses, would he at least set up a new commercial bank to lend businesses money directly – a reference to the “government bank” proposal that received some press this morning. Brown simply reiterated that his plan was working. No real change in the answer, except that Brown referred to the fact that Barclays had elected not to pay board bonuses (something which I gather was whispered to him on the front bench while Clegg was asking his second question) – a disingenuous point since Clegg wasn’t asking about just board bonuses.

This was what I would call a safe PMQs for Clegg. He didn’t tackle the tax issue in the bullish way James Graham suggested, and in fact refrained from tackling it at all. In starting a groove on any other issue of a similar depth to the one he has developed on tax cuts, he is hampered by the two question constraint. At least two questions on the same subject week after week can be slowly forged into a narrative – and the challenge is then to control it.

But when Clegg starts a new pet topic, Brown can get away with essentially providing the same answer to both questions, in a way that he can’t quite get away with providing the same answer to six questions from Cameron. I understand why Clegg sticks closely to one theme for both questions – he’s going for impact rather than scattergun – but even so it takes us a hellishly long time to get anywhere near a good PMQs narrative with two questions a week.

Posted in News and PMQs | Tagged | 2 Comments

Clegg proposes ‘government bank’

From the BBC:

The government should consider lending directly to businesses and mortgages as banks fail to live up to promises to lend more, Nick Clegg has suggested.

The Lib Dem leader says the government has been “supine” and “weak” in not forcing banks to act, despite giving them billions of taxpayers’ pounds.

Mr Clegg said these were “not normal times” and solvent businesses were being put at risk by lack of funding.

There was “growing public anger” and urgent action was needed, he added.

Mr Clegg says the government should lend directly to companies through the Post Office, local authorities or even by creating

…

Posted in News | 27 Comments

Pilot of ID Cards may cause pilot strike

Could it be that British summer holidays cancelled by striking pilots will ultimately sink the ID card scheme? Labour’s cardboard coercion may yet be grounded on the runway of Manchester airport; at least, we can hope.

The Indie reports that resistance is growing to government plans to pilot ID cards on, erm, pilots. Staff at Manchester and London City airports, along with overseas students, are among the groups being targeted first for Labour’s laminated gifts of joy.

The British Airline Pilots Association is threatening strikes and the airline bosses, of the British Air Transport Association, are also annoyed that their staff …

Posted in News | Tagged | 6 Comments

Opinion: The Economy Game

Running the national economy is like driving in a motor race. Except that you are four inches tall. You don’t know where you are and you don’t have a map. There are lots of pedals, but you don’t know what they are supposed to do. When you press them, they sometimes make the car lurch around unpredictably, sometimes just blow out air or wipe the windows. The other drivers don’t agree on the rules. Some of them seem to be playing Grand Theft Auto.

Oh, and by the way, a couple of other guys are fighting you for a share of the controls. And just one more thing – You are on the stage, with an audience of sixty million! Fortunately, perhaps, most of them can’t be bothered to watch.

So what sort of game is this? Can we look at it objectively, as a game theorist would do, and work out how best to play it?

Well, first of all, playing it straight is obviously a mug’s game. The chances of genuinely sorting out the economy by making the right move, at the right time, for the right reasons, look pretty slim. How often has anyone really done that, and made it up onto the victor’s podium? Not since Roosevelt…

Playing to the gallery looks a much smarter idea. There are loads of simple crowd-pleasing manoeuvres you can try. Like revving wildly and making a big noise; or deflating your opponent’s tyres; or, purloining the winning post and erecting it alongside your car….!

Now kiddies, let’s watch as today’s racing politicos put these clever ideas into practice. When Brown says “I am applying Keynesian economics to create a fiscal stimulus”, he knows it sounds more prime-ministerial than “Gosh, we’re skint, can anyone lend me a quid?” When Brown calls for “globally coordinated economic policies”, it sounds better than saying “I am standing in deep doo-doo. Please join me so that I won’t look so conspicuous!”

While Brown struggles to scrub himself clean, Osborne dishes more dirt. “I fear a run on the pound” can be translated as “I hope Gordon’s going to trip up, especially when I stick my foot out.” Whereas “We cannot promise tax cuts in the current economic climate” means “We’re going to sit on the fence, and blame Gordon for putting us there!”

To be serious though, Labour do have a viable strategy to garner good publicity out of economic mayhem. Equally, the Tories realise that it is crucial for them to scupper it. The Achilles heel, for both of these strategies, is that they are so strongly partisan. So, our opportunity is to be the people who tell it like it is, who say things which the independent commentators won’t rubbish, and who gain public trust and respect. That is what Vince does so well.

Crucially, Labour and the Tories also understand the vital need to look deeply serious, to pretend to a depth of expertise they do not have, and to seem to empathise with a worried public. How do we rate?

Well, our tax cuts for the less well off are certainly popular. So is getting tough with rich bankers. But we fall short, I suggest, on three counts.

Posted in Op-eds | 17 Comments
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