It looks as if the fighting in Iraq and Syria will draw to a close in 2017. We won and lost.
Isis, Isil, Daesh, Al-Nusra, A lQaeeda, whatever name the Jihadists call themselves have been pushed out of the remains of Aleppo and are hanging on by their blood-soaked fingertips in Mosul and Raqqa.
Also destroyed and seeking peace terms are Western-backed rebels in the Free Syrian Army and its dozens of feuding constituent parts.
The Obama Administration and its 13 allies backing air strikes could claim victory. They may even try to do so. And in terms of denying the Jihadists a territorial base, there are justifiable grounds for a victory claim.
However, Islamic extremism is far from defeated. Jihadists have repeatedly displayed their prowess in filling political vacuums wherever they occur, and Western intelligence agencies are issuing dire warnings of attacks on Western soil orchestrated by bitter battle-hardened extremists in full flight from the Middle East.
No, the real winners are Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, Russian President Vladimir Putin, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Iran and Hezbollah. And the real result is a massive defeat for the democratic hopes of the 2011 Arab Spring and a victory for tyranny