Category Archives: Op-eds

How big does the pupil premium need to be?

In 1996 a group of Oxford academics produced a book called Options for Britain. It was intended as a thought piece for an incoming (Labour) government. 12 years on, and with less clarity as to the makeup of the next government, we are working on a new volume along the same lines. To that end I have spent the last three days in Oxford at a policy conference.

The concept of pupil premium is was widely supported in the education session. I asked the obvious question: How large must the pupil premium be for the child of Somalian immigrants …

33 Comments

A look back at the polls: February

We tend not to be too poll-obsessed here at LDV – of course we look at them, as do all other politico-geeks, but viewed in isolation no one poll will tell you very much beyond what you want to read into it. Looked at over a reasonable time-span and, if there are enough polls, you can see some trends.

Here, in chronological order, are the results of the most recent 10 polls since our last round-up on 25th January:

Tories 41%, Labour 30%, Lib Dems 17% – ComRes/Independent (24th Feb)
Tories 40%, Labour 34%, Lib Dems 16% – YouGov/Economist (21st …

Also posted in Polls | 1 Comment

Opinion: Homes for All, starting now

Everywhere you look, housing, that most basic of necessities, is in crisis. Having a safe and stable home is crucial for a child’s development and the welfare of any person, of any age. Yet in the world’s fourth largest economy, after 10 years of a Labour government, there are 95,000 homeless families and the number waiting for their own home on the social housing register has risen by 60%!

Liberal Democrats believe that every family should live in an affordable home. Meeting these current and future housing needs will mean building far more affordable houses each year than the Government has …

Also posted in Conference | 7 Comments

Smithson’s view: Why I won’t bet on the Lib Dems any more

At about 6pm in the evening on election day in 2005 I got a text from a Cowley Street staffer who gave upbeat reports about a number of key seats. It was promising and all the specific seats turned out to be spot on. But I made the terrible mistake of extrapolating this into an overall national picture that was much better than actually happened.

The result was that I placed what proved to be the most costly political bet of my life. This involved ‘buying’ Lib Dem seats on the spread-betting markets for several hundred pounds a point. The ‘buy’ level was at 67 seats my hope was that I would get my stake back multiplied by the number of MPs the party go in excess of 67.

Alas it was not to be. The party came in at 62 seats so my loss was the difference between that number and 67 multiplied by my stake. Ouch.

6 Comments

Northern Rock: is Gordon or Dave faring worst?

Much of the comment Lib Dem Voice has featured on Northern Rock has centred – understandably – on Vince Cable’s sure-footed performance as the party’s shadow chancellor. Vince was, we all know, the first to warn of the impending credit crunch, and the first to advocate temporary nationalisation of Northern Rock as the least worst way to protect the taxpayers’ interest. As a result, we Lib Dems find ourselves in the unusual position of developing a reputation for economic credibility with the media and public.

But it’s just as interesting to analyse how the other two parties are weathering the Northern …

Tagged | 3 Comments

Opinion: Britain’s Town Centres – Designed for Disorder

Last Saturday night I decided to go and buy a loaf of bread. Since I live in the centre of town and don’t own a car, this was a challenge in itself but that’s definitely a theme for another day. What it meant, however was that I came face to face with the reality of what our night-time city centres are really like.

No, there weren’t clusters of ‘hoodies’ dealing drugs or ladettes urinating in the street or any of the clichés of the tabloid town-centre but there was a very odd atmosphere. Everyone but me seemed to be devoted to …

21 Comments

Overstretch

“Overstretched, underpaid and over there” might be an appropriate modern-day take on the infamous line of the Second World War, used in its original form to describe American GIs in Britain. With intense operations on two fronts, in Afghanistan and Iraq, combined with the cumulative effects of underinvestment by consecutive Conservative and Labour Governments, it is a phrase that pithily describes the modern predicament of our armed forces.

Our Armed Forces are a world-class fighting force, but they are not configured for sustained operations at the present rate. The situation has become so critical …

Tagged and | 6 Comments

Hope for 2008

Six weeks into the year seems a strange time to think about hope in 2008. Maybe it is a better time than January, away from the pressure of New Year’s resolutions and with a clearer and more realistic view of the year ahead. So here are my hopes for 2008…

Energising new voters

Having recently returned from Washington DC, I was amazed by the way Barack Obama (candidate for Democratic Presidential nominee) had energised people to participate in the democratic primaries. At one of his rallies where I almost saw him (I made it inside, but couldn’t wait the three and a …

7 Comments

Opinion: non-domiciles and tax

The Chancellor has performed yet another climb-down from his Pre-Budget tax proposals made in October last year, as a ‘clarification’ of proposals to tax non-domiciles was announced in order to correct previous ‘misunderstandings’.

Following fast on the heels of the Capital Gains Tax debacle, this most recent retreat makes the Government look thoroughly foolish. Once again it is painfully obvious that ministers hadn’t thought through the implications of their own policy plans.

The Liberal Democrats were the first party to highlight serious tax avoidance abuses by non-dom residents, and called for non-dom status to be limited to a specified number of years.  …

17 Comments

Opinion: How liberal are liberals obliged to be?

The Archbishop of Canterbury’s suggestion last week that the state should give some kind of recognition to sharia law raised important questions for liberals.

We tend to believe that what the great philosopher of liberty John Stuart Mill called “experiments in living” should be permitted, as long as they do not harm others. And, surely, the independent conciliation and adjudication agencies (that the Archbishop appears to have meant) and free expressions of faith and diverse family arrangements are “experiments in living” – to be tolerated, even welcomed, as harmless gestures of respect to minority communities in our plural society?

But real …

50 Comments

Climate change campaign update

Just under a week ago we launched our “60% is not enough” climate change campaign on Facebook. A bit of background to the campaign is in my post from last weekend.

We’ve already had a fantastic response, with over 700 people signing up as ‘fans’ and the number is rising hour by hour. If you are on Facebook (or want to sign up) and want to back the campaign, you can visit http://co2cuts.notlong.com

One of the goals of the site is to identify which MPs would support an amendment to the Climate Change Bill to replace the 60% CO2 cuts …

Tagged | 10 Comments

Opinion: Giving voice to the afraid

Qassam rocket attacks are to be condemned. House demolitions and land theft are also to be condemned. But whilst we condemn, this does not mean that we should not strive to comprehend. One senior Party member – Jenny Tonge – showed comprehension and was sacked. Her offence was to say she understood the desperation that drove Palestinians to become suicide bombers. And her critics seized on this as evidence of sympathy when it was not. And comprehension – expressing understanding – should not be condemned as sympathising.

Yet we should all have sympathy for the Israeli inhabitants of Ashkelon and Sderot, whose towns are subjected to daily arrivals of Qassam rockets. We should sympathise too, for the beleaguered Palestinians living in equal fear in Old Hebron, their front doors welded shut by settlers who spray Stars of David on Palestinian houses, and who terrify Palestinians too fearful of walking the streets of Old Hebron.

But for too long we dared not show understanding or sympathy for this latter group, for fear of being labelled a supporter of terrorism, or of running the risk of being labelled ‘anti-Semitic’.

All three UK Parties have had a voice safeguarding and propagating the case for Israel, through their ‘Friends of Israel’ groups. Yet until 2007 there was no such voice advocating the case for the Palestinians in any of the 3 Parties. Folk seemed reluctant to be seen to be sympathising with ordinary Palestinian families for fear of being labelled ‘terrorist sympathisers’ or ‘anti-Semitic’ as was Jenny Tonge. So the afraid remained unrepresented and voiceless.

19 Comments

The dilemma of the placebo

A bomb is about to go off, blowing up hundreds of innocent people. One terrorist knows the location. You’ve got them in custody. Do you torture them to find out where it is?

Thus runs the common moral dilemma beloved of Hollywood movies and TV shows, frequently these days it seems staring Kiefer Sutherland. Are you a mealy mouthed liberal or are you willing to take the tough action necessary to fight terrorism?

Real life isn’t that straightforward – it doesn’t present such clear-cut scenarios, and anyway evidence from torture isn’t reliable: could you really be sure the terrorist told you the truth rather than a fib to waste your time? And the tough-guy macho act in real life all too often results in the innocent being harassed, tortured or killed as you charge off in the wrong direction based on incomplete or misleading information (remember Iraq and its weapons of mass destruction that were supposedly just waiting to be found by US and UK troops?).

However, a case a constituent raised with me recently got me thinking about the placebo effect – and the genuine dilemma it presents, particular for those – like myself – of a liberal mindset who believe in giving people as much information and power over their own lives as possible.

Tagged and | 17 Comments

Opinion: Filming the streets doesn’t catch criminals

You have to love exaggerations.

If you believe everything you read, there are marauding gangs of yobs running around like conquistadors on the streets of Britain. On deprived estates everywhere, there are small armies of foraging youths holding small pockets of civilisation hostage. These ensieged Montezumas of wholesome family life go around as prisoners in their home day to day, waking up in fear, eating breakfast in fear, having fear for lunch…you get the picture.

Outside the window are an encampment of 15 year-olds, solemnly chewing gum as they wait for supplies to be brought. Meanwhile, the police (who supposedly …

8 Comments

Bugging and the rule of law: a first class scandal in the making

Jack Straw is now in real trouble, as it is very difficult to reconcile what he told the House of Commons on 4th February in a statement on the bugging of Saddiq Khan MP at Woodhill prison with the statement of his department in reaction to the Daily Telegraph’s breathtaking scoop on Saturday. The bugging issue is going to be an enormous political story this coming week.

The Telegraph’s Saturday story said:

The full scale of a nationwide policy to bug British jails can be disclosed today after a whistleblower revealed that hundreds of lawyers and prison visitors had been secretly recorded….Lawyers, including human rights solicitors Gareth Peirce and Mudassar Arani, were allegedly “routinely bugged” by police during visits to see clients at Woodhill prison.

Why is this so important? Simply because the right of a defendant to talk in private to his or her lawyer is basic to the fairness of our adversarial courts system. If the prosecution can find out what the defence’s strategy and tactics are, the trial itself will be prejudiced and unfair.

Indeed, there is now a serious risk that any convicted person who can prove that their conversations with legal advisers were overheard may be able to overturn their convictions, which would be an enormous embarrassment to the Government in cases like that of Ian Huntley, the Soham murderer.

2 Comments

Clegg: “I’m an economic liberal”

Nick Clegg gave his first speech on the economy yesterday, and for those of us who call ourselves “economic liberals” it was an enjoyable occasion. There is much to discuss about the 3500 word speech but I am going to concentrate on the big picture and discuss what it means for the party as a whole. I will return to other sections in future articles.

There was considerable criticism that Nick said little about his approach to the economy during the leadership election. It is clear from his speech today that there is little if anything that separates Nick …

94 Comments

Climate change: 60% is not enough

We are at a crucial stage in the Parliamentary process for campaigners who want to see the UK sign up to realistic targets on climate change, and a new Facebook campaign has been launched to muster support.

The Government’s Climate Change Bill, which proposes a statutory target of a 60% reduction in CO2 emissions by 2050, is currently being considered by the House of Lords. Most environmental campaigners, leading scientists and even the Prime Minister, seem to accept that 60% is likely to be too little, too late.

The Liberal Democrats are therefore arguing that the Bill should be amended to give a statutory target of 80%, and we are seeking to build a coalition of MPs of all parties who share our concern in order to get the Bill amended when MPs consider it later in the Spring.

Also posted in Online politics | Tagged | 2 Comments

What should be done after the Derek Conway affair?

About twenty years ago, when I was Leader of Somerset County Council, I remember a councillor colleague of mine telling a story about a conversation he had in his local pub. He asked people in the bar how much they thought he was paid as a councillor. Their answers varied, but the consensus drifted to “about £30,000”. The real answer was barely a tenth of that figure.

The great British public is all too ready to believe the worst about their elected politicians, at any level. That’s why episodes like the Derek Conway affair are so damaging. Egged on by an …

4 Comments

Is Lembit right?

Lembit Opik has been making the headlines again today, this time for his defence of France’s President Nicolas Sarkozys headline-grabbing wedding to former model Carla Bruni.

Most Lib Dems are, I guess, fairly accustomed to greeting Lembit’s pronouncements on media intrusion into celebrities’ lives with a slightly embarrassed shrug. As liberals, we have no problem with folk living their own lives in their own way; but Lembit’s unabashed upfrontness (such as last year’s Hello photoshoot with his current beau, Cheeky Girl singer Gabriela Irimia) can distract from his and the party’s more serious message.

That’s not much of an …

Tagged | 17 Comments

Smithson’s view: A Hung Parliament? – Don’t bet on it

I asked a professional gambler recently – someone who made a decent tax-free living from his betting – if he could offer me some tips that I could follow. One of his suggestions, which he said had proved to be a sure-fire consistent money-earner, was to bet against the draw in cricket test matches.

He brought up a pile of statistics on his lap-top to show that the odds you can usually get on this option are better than the chances of it happening. The reason was simple – cricket punters have a long-standing record of over-estimating the chances of …

10 Comments

Opinion: Choosing our Judges

Yesterday’s Guardian front page was plastered with images of white, male, privately educated, High Court judges selected for the bench, even after the introduction of new diversity measures.

The paper bemoans the lack of diversity, where are the women, the ethnic minorities? Let’s consider something radical here; could it be that those men are actually the best for the job, regardless of ethnicity?

Just because a judge might be a white male doesn’t mean he cannot have an appreciation of issues and views of minorities or of women; there are people he can ask for this information, and surely the most important thing for a high court judge is to know the letter and the spirit of the law and how to apply it? If everyone is supposed to be treated fairly and equally under the law, then a white-male, ethnic, religious or gender perspective should have no actual bearing on it? I accept that our world isn’t perfect and while we ought to strive for such a system we will never achieve it, yet if we need a white, black, male or female judge because each would apply the law differently, then haven’t we’ve discovered a flaw in our system that needs to be fixed?

8 Comments

Opinion: In the Upper House, fisticuffs and champagne

What should we make of the resignation of Italian prime minister Romano Prodi, following his coalition’s defeat in a vote of confidence in the upper house of parliament, the Senate? British commentators might reassure themselves ‘but that was Italy’, assuming that anything as colourful as punches flying around the woolsack couldn’t happen here. Not in the Lords’ present moribund condition, perhaps, but could it in future?

Italian journalists, by the way, haven’t written up yesterday’s events as if it were yet another humdrum day in the dysfunctional life of their nation’s politics. They sense something ‘un-Italian’ about it all, …

Also posted in Europe / International | 5 Comments

Norman Lamb on the NHS

Fast approaching its 60th birthday, the NHS is at a crossroads.

We have seen 10 years of heavy investment under Labour – desperately needed after years of chronic Conservative neglect. However, the money came with a merry go round of reform, throwing the service into disarray as staff and patients struggled to cope with constant restructuring.

So, although spending on health has now hit the European average, cancer and stroke survival rates in the UK are still poor compared to much of Europe, while health inequalities have actually widened under Labour. The diagnosis is clear: the centralised state has poorly served the worst off, the very people who need help most of all.

The Tories solution is to reduce accountability even further by creating an unelected quango to control our health service, which would ultimately have the power to close local hospitals. And should we ever really trust the Conservatives to maintain funding for health and social care – particularly given that the priority they chose at their conference last October was a massive cut in inheritance tax for million pound estates?

Tagged | 5 Comments

A look back at the polls: January

We tend not to be too poll-obsessed here at LDV – of course we look at them, as do all other politico-geeks, but viewed in isolation no one poll will tell you very much beyond what you want to read into it. Looked at over a reasonable time-span and, if there are enough polls, you can see some trends.

Here, in chronological order, are the results of the most recent five polls since our last round-up in December (hat-tip: Anthony Wells’ UK Polling Report Blog, which provides by far the best analysis of the polls on the web):

Tories 43%, …

Also posted in Polls | Tagged | 3 Comments

Labour’s PR spin and deception (no end in sight)

Ah, those bright, heady, summer days, when a nation anticipated – just briefly – the prospect that Gordon Brown might breathe some new life into British politics, might even (whisper it gently) prove to be a radical reformer. It all seems so far away now.

There were even hints, you may recall, that the new Prime Minister was considering introducing the Alternative Vote, a bastardised form of proportional representation which would likely have stuffed the Tories, and outflanked the Lib Dems.

Well, submerged by today’s announcement of Peter Hain’s resignation, and the subsequent mini-reshuffle, was today’s announcement by ministers that they …

1 Comment

Opinion: A liberal view from Holland

As someone who has listened to the BBC World Service since 1977, I am very aware of the evolution of the Liberals and their merger with the majority of the SDP, to form the Liberal Democrats. Since the ’80s, Dutch cable TV systems (which started in every city, but are now divided in three regional networks and nationwide) have broadcast BBCs 1 and 2, and since the ’90 BBC World is also available in many places. This has allowed many cosmopolitan-minded Dutchmen to become acquainted with the British political scene, and has deepened my own knowledge and understanding of Liberal and Lib Dem policies and personalities.

D66 or “Democrats ’66” was a party founded in 1966 to try and break (or at least transform) the mould of Dutch politics and Dutch democracy. We always were a party for Direct Democracy: direct election of every city’s mayor, every province’s governor, and of the prime minister who guides each Dutch coalition government.

D66 was and is also an ICT party, drawing attention (as early as the late ’60’s!) to the civic and administrative consequences of computer use by authorities and large companies; the privacy issue has always featured prominently in our arguments in this area.

D66 was prominent in the fight to legalize abortion in the Netherlands (as were the Liberals with David Steel): coalition politics made this a law brought about by the Christian Democrats (CDA) and the right-wing Liberals (VVD), and supported by the Social Democrats (PvdA) and us.

We really made our mark on medical-ethical issues with our Private Members’ Bill on legalizing a supervised version of euthanasia. As a visitor to some Lib Dem autumn conferences in the 90s I helped spread information about the Dutch law on this among Lib Dems and (via their conference broadcast) on the BBC. I wholeheartedly supported Ludovic Kennedy in his fight to get it accepted in the UK, and enthusiastically saw it adopted by the LibDems.

D66 was from the very start the most European-Federalist party of the Netherlands; we started out in 1966 by advocating direct elections for the European Parliament and allowing the UK to join the EC. The first was totally new; the second was already Dutch government policy in those days. The Dutch were mystified when Harold Wilson bowed to his orthodox party wing in holding a referendum once the UK had entered the EC; and were horrified by the Gaullist and ‘Little England’-line Thatcher and her ministers took in the ’80’s.

Like the Liberals, D66 has had a rocky electoral ride in the past 40 years, with many ups and downs. We were elected in the first directly elected European Parliament in 1979, but lost those seats in 1984. We re-entered in 1989, and soon joined the liberal ELDR fraction, where we joined the new Lib Dem MEPs. People like Lousewies van der Laan and Laurens-Jan Brinkhorst became, in the time they were our MEPs, well-known Dutch faces on British television on issues affecting Dutch pioneering policy (tolerating soft drugs like marjhuana; legalizing prostitution and euthanasia), and the Dutch take on European policy matters.

Also posted in Europe / International | Tagged | 16 Comments

Opinion: A Tale of Two Schools

Here is a true story about the primary schools in two neighbouring villages. It was told to me a while ago by a long-term resident of one of the villages.

To protect identities I will call the villages simply A and B and say only that they are in the north of England and five or six miles apart.

In village A the head was everything a head should be. He gave inspired leadership for the staff, treated each child as an individual, enthused and motivated them and took care to provide an education that went far beyond the narrow confines …

16 Comments

Opinion: Essence of Cleggism

Most good political speeches on policy are made up of mood music, initiatives and core ideas. By far the best section of Nick’s manifesto speech was the serious attempt to refine and define core beliefs on public services.

I am therefore emboldened to distil out of it the essence of Cleggism with the hope that if I am wrong I will be corrected and so further enlightened.

As I understand Nick’s thinking on the matter of public services, the state remains the funder and regulator of services but not the exclusive provider i.e.  it can give money to individuals to secure …

Tagged | 17 Comments

Campaign for Gender Balance Awards: best non-Lib Dem blog?

Ros Taylor launched the Campaign for Gender Balance blog awards last month on Lib Dem Voice. Since then we have dozens of nominations – thanks to everyone who has made nominations so far! Nominations don’t close until 1 February so if you haven’t submitted yours yet, you still have time.

As these awards are meant primarily to be a celebration of women bloggers, I thought it would be good to publish a list of the nominations we’ve received already. By far the most eclectic category has been the award for best non-Lib Dem blog. As you will see below, our list ranges from councillors, MPs and Assembly Members from other political parties, actors, journalists, civil servants, artists, mums and even a 101 year old sex therapist (retired)!

Indeed, the list is so eclectic, we could do with some help narrowing it all down. The three most popular blogs in terms of received nominations are guaranteed on the shortlist, with each member of the judges panel (myself, Ros Taylor, Ros Harper, Baroness Jane Bonham-Carter, Olly Grender and token man James Graham), allowed to add another entry of their own choice if they wish. So even if your favourite blog has already been nominated, nominating it yourself will still improve its chances of getting onto the shortlist.

Without further ado, here are the list of nominees received so far:

Tagged | 9 Comments

Opinion: Et tu, James?

Recently, James Graham has called me a bigot on Lib Dem Voice. (gasp!) As James is a blogger whom I admire and respect – blogger of the year no less – I have been stung into writing a riposte to this scurrilous charge. It was in the context of yet another debate on religion and the problem of Islam, that James essentially accused me of tarring all religious believers with the same brush. According to the big man, “religions are ultimately what you make of them.” When pressed as to whether Marxism, say, is also ultimately what you make of it, James replied, “I would have thought that is self-evident.” Excuse me?

Let us get one thing straight: Marxism is not simply what you might choose to make of it. While the task of nailing down the principles of Marxism might not be entirely trivial, we can nevertheless be clear in the main about what Marxism does and does not entail. For instance, it is surely uncontroversial to assert that Marxism comprises a belief in the common ownership of property and the means of production (a terrible idea by the way). Now I suppose there is nothing to stop somebody from saying, “I’m a Marxist, though I don’t believe in the common ownership of property and the means of production.” But on the whole, I prefer the simpler, “I’m not a Marxist.” It’s brief and to the point, and has the compelling advantage of not stretching the meaning of words beyond the bounds of reason.

Likewise, we can be clear about what religious belief entails, and what its consequences might be. And yet whenever I assert that the claims of religion are false, I know that I am bound to be met with the stunning insight that there is no homogenous object called “religion,” that religion comprises many different strands and styles of belief (no shit Sherlock!), and that I am therefore making a sweeping, and indeed bigoted, generalisation. I am not. Having been raised a Catholic, and having observed religion in its many forms, I think I know roughly what the deal is, and it is this: That there exists a supernatural deity who exerts a causal influence upon the natural world though scripture, prophets, prayer, and miracles. He wishes us to praise him, obey him, and love him unceasingly. Essentially, this life is a test. If we get it right, then he will reward us in Heaven. Otherwise… you know what to expect.

This, I submit, is a reasonable definition of monotheistic religion which pretty much covers the faiths that are causing all the trouble at the present moment. Too broad a definition to be useful maybe? Not at all. Already we see some disturbing elements: Why, for instance, does God require constant praise and worship, more reminiscent of Stalin than of a “loving father”? Then there is the obvious scope for abuse when one is claiming to be in possession of a divine and unalterable revelation. Finally, there is the belief in an afterlife – the killer doctrine that, whichever way you cut it, has the effect of utterly diminishing the value of life on earth. And yet for some reason we continue to allow these simple tenets of faith, now largely debunked by science and philosophy, to impose their terrible burden upon humanity.

Why is it so hard for us to speak plainly about the absurdity of religious belief? Why is Nick Clegg already brown-nosing faith groups when he is barely out of the traps? Why is it quite beyond any of our politicians to draw a connection between belief in the “afterlife” and the practice of suicide bombing? Why, when the terrorists are patiently articulating their theology on homemade videos, do we search desperately for the “root causes” in order to exonerate the role of faith? Why are we constantly being assured that “Islam is a religion of peace,” when a cursory inspection of the Koran tells a completely different story? Why do we stay silent when millions of women worldwide suffer under the yoke of clerical oppression? Why are we still fiddling while the Middle East burns?

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