ICM and the Liberal Democrats

I’ve blogged several times about how YouGov’s poll ratings for the Liberal Democrats are consistently lower than those from other pollsters (in part, it looks, because YouGov consistently gives the Conservatives higher support amongst female voters than other pollsters), but what about ICM, which consistently has some of the highest ratings for the Liberal Democrats?

Last week Mike Smithson looked at this question on Political Betting, highlighting the different wording used by the different polling companies in their voting intention questions.

However, I think Mike missed one of the most important differences. ICM (and only ICM) helps concentrate people’s minds …

Posted in Polls | 4 Comments
Advert

Wouldn’t it be nice if this was the future of political advertising?

My favourite US election advert of the year comes from Alaska via YouTube:

Posted in Humour and LDVUSA | 3 Comments

“The erotics of Lib Dem economic debate is a topic insufficiently explored”

So says The Guardian.

Posted in News | 1 Comment

SNP plans to make local income tax, er.., a bit local

The Sunday Times had the story this weekend, though it’s safe to say that Labour don’t really like this idea:

The SNP is facing accusations that its flagship local income tax policy (LIT) is in chaos after it opened the door to Scotland’s 32 councils setting different rates…

In a dramatic U-turn on the policy, the Nationalist administration at Holyrood is now looking at allowing councils to vary the rate downwards and giving them the flexibility to set rates locally but also setting a cap at 3p…

Mr Kerr added: “The idea that to appease the Liberal Democrats we could have

…

Posted in Scotland | 3 Comments

Catchup, 27th October

A trio of Independent Views kickstarted our week last Monday: Phil Booth from No2ID on credit freezes, Anne Furedi from BPAS about the human fertility bill and Dale Bassett from Reform about the IPOD generation. Our Independent View slot is open to almost anyone who wants to talk to Lib Dems whilst stressing their independence from any particular political party.

Our biggest debate last week started on a post from Mark Littlewood in which he set out his stall for Liberal Vision. 150 comments later and the debate is still going strong. Remind me …

Posted in A weekly catchup | Leave a comment
Advert

Former Conservative Party chairman calls for extra state funding of political parties

Norman Fowler, a former chairman of the Conservative Party, writes for the Financial Times:

Public money already goes to the parties at Westminster but the prospect of increased state funding is guaranteed to provoke objections. Why should the taxpayer be forced to make a contribution to a party he or she hates? It is a powerful argument. I know – I have used it in the past.

The public needs to decide whether it is content with the present tarnished system where the suspicion remains that, politically, money talks. It also needs to decide whether there is any other way of

…

Posted in News | 2 Comments

Tebbit backs Lib Dem Euro policy

Former Tory party chairman Lord (Norman) Tebbit has urged David Cameron to follow the lead of Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg in demanding the British public be allowed an ‘in or out’ referendum choice on the UK’s membership of the EU. Okay, Tebbo didn’t put it quite like that… but, still, the effect’s the same:

David Cameron must promise a referendum on whether the UK should leave the European Union, former Tory chairman Lord Tebbit is expected to say. In a speech on Monday, he will call on the Conservative leader to show “Thatcherite courage” on the issue. This should

…

Posted in Europe / International and News | Tagged and | 23 Comments

Top of the Blogs: The Golden Dozen #88

Welcome to the all-the-eights 88th of our weekly round-ups from the Lib Dem blogosphere, featuring the seven most popular stories according to click-throughs from the Aggregator (19th-25th October), together with a hand-picked quintet, mostly courtesy of LibDig, you might otherwise have missed.

How about starting with the most popular blog-posting, and we work our way down? Here goes…

Posted in Best of the blogs | 1 Comment

Praise for Don Foster’s stance on computer games

Via kotaku.com:

On this site you can read a lot of lecturing about how others should do their jobs. Well, when an elected official shows that he can take games seriously, instead of personally, he should get credit for that. Unfortunately for Americans, this guy is a member of the UK Parliament. But here’s what struck me about Don Foster of Bath, in his remarks to The Guardian backing the gaming industry as an important part of the British economy:

“I hardly play any games, I’m not from that generation, but because of my job, I had to research the

…

Posted in News | 4 Comments

Spotlight turns back to Peter Mandelson

PoliticalBetting has a round-up of the Sunday newspapers and their coverage of Peter Mandelson’s relations with Oleg Deripaska.

Posted in News | Tagged | Leave a comment

Three Electoral Commission investigations that could cause trouble for the Conservatives (UPDATED)

In reverse chronological order we have…

One: an investigation over Robin Saunders, who wasn’t able to donate to the Conservative Party due to being an American, but shortly after her donation was refused the same sum was donated via her British investment company. (Daily Telegraph)

Two: an investigation over Lord Ashcroft and whether overseas funds are being illegally used to help fund the Conservative Party. (The Mirror)

Three: the Electoral Commission’s probe into CCS (which provides campaigning services to the Conservative Party) cleared it on several points, but on one key point decided it didn’t like what it found: The Electoral …

Posted in News | Tagged and | 3 Comments

Opinion: First they came for the Icelanders

Gordon Brown, earlier this month, used anti-terrorism legislation to freeze Icelandic assets in Britain, in response to their government failing to guarantee British deposits in their faltering banks. My links with Iceland begin and end with the purchase of frozen foods from that nation’s commercial namesake. But it still troubles me deeply. We should be profoundly concerned at the use of anti-terrorist legislation for political and economic ends. This is at the heart of fears about the extent of the powers the state has claimed since the attacks of 11 September 2001.

The British government has demonstrated precisely why civil liberties campaigners have been so concerned at the demands of Labour to trade our liberties for the promise of greater security. New terrorist legislation has – rightly – been considered in the post-9/11 world. Yet anxieties that counter-terrorist legislation should be given checks-and-balances, and justified as a necessary trade of liberty for security, are dismissed in a cavalier fashion by New Labour. A casual use of anti-terrorism powers for completely different ends is the most obvious symptom of that attitude.

A minister, Geoff Hoon, recently told Lib Dem MP Julia Goldsworthy that “the biggest civil liberty of all is not to be killed by a terrorist”, when she spoke out against a new database of all British citizens’ communications records. He is, of course, right in suggesting that we should contemplate and weigh up any options that would significantly reduce the chance of a terrorist attrocity. However, deciding where the balance lies between the likelihood of thwarting a terrorist, and surrendering the very way of life those terrorists seek to undermine, is a question he should treat with greater respect.

The rights and wrongs of Icelandic financial institutions are irrelevant to the fact that Brown abused legislation intended for very different purposes. This should profoundly worry anybody who cares about good governance. By using anti-terrorist legislation as a convenient way to respond to the global banking crisis, the British government have demonstrated why we should fear their cowboy attitude to checks-and-balances, and to the careful drafting of specific powers for specific purposes.

Anti-terrorist legislation should be used against terrorists. This seems a pretty reasonable assertion. Iain Dale has highlighted an Icelandic petition against this perverted contortion of the Terrorism Act, which spurred me to write on the topic. What worries me the most is that this ‘thin end of the wedge’ can be (and is being) replicated in the state’s use of other terrorist legislation. For example, new terrorist laws provide police with the powers to stop and search individuals, even if they actually do so for reasons unrelated to suspicion of terrorist offenses. Local councils have also been exposed using counter-terrorist powers to intrude into Britons’ privacy, to investigate matters wholly unrelated to acts of terror.

If we want to give our government the power to freeze Icelandic assets, or to give our police officers those powers in other criminal matters that they have been given in terrorist matters, then let’s debate and consider laws in parliament that openly permit those ends.

Posted in Big mad database and Op-eds | Tagged and | 6 Comments

Give holocaust-deniers ridicule, not martyrdom – Huhne

Lib Dem Shadow Home Secretary Chris Huhne yesterday penned a piece for The Independent setting out his views on the use of a European Arrest Warrant to detain the extremist Frederick Toben for prosecution in Germany for holocaust denial.

Dr Toben’s views about the Holocaust are offensive, ugly and wrong. But freedom of speech is the cornerstone of liberal democracy without which all the other freedoms flounder. We restrict that freedom at our peril and only in extreme circumstances (such as incitement to racial hatred and violence).

You can read it in full here. Do LDV readers agree with …

Posted in News | 11 Comments

The impact of mobile phones on opinion polling

Opinion pollsters using the telephone for political polls in the UK and the USA face some very different challenges.

In the UK, phoning a random selection of people and getting them to agree to take part in a survey has, for more than a decade, regularly produced samples that are too heavily weighted towards Labour sympathisers, necessitating all sorts of – at times very controversial – adjustments to be made to the raw figures in order to make the poll results more accurately representative of the population as a whole.

There isn’t an equivalent pro-Democrat bias in US phone polling, though instead …

Posted in LDVUSA and Polls | 2 Comments

BBC decides news reports should be true after all

Back in September I blogged about how the BBC was taking the view that it didn’t matter if one of its news stories wasn’t accurate; being amusing was a good enough excuse to cover getting the facts all wrong.

Good news now though: the BBC has ruled on a complaint over its story and decided that, after all, a news story should be accurate.

Posted in News | 1 Comment

Riso Monkey diary… Listening to EARS

Another email drops into the inbox of The Voice from A Liberal Democrat Organiser Who Wishes To Remain Anonymous: “Another submission for you good chaps. Occasionally I worry about being too vituperative about party issues on a public forum. Then I remember that I’m a monkey, so what do I care?” You can read the first part of the Lib Dem Riso Monkey’s diary here.

There are many things I dislike about EARS (Electoral Agent Record System, the Lib Dems’ in-house electoral database). It’s absurdly over-complicated, yet grossly under-documented. Various parts of the programme require you to go in, …

Posted in Humour | 20 Comments

Labour-run council edits out opposition councillor from its magazine

Neil Williams, a Liberal Democrat councillor in the London Borough of Haringey, has the story of how the Labour-run council is so desperate to avoid mentioning Liberal Democrats in its publications that it edited out a Liberal Democrat councillor from a photograph.

This follows hot on the heels of the news that local MPs have been mentioned eight times in the council’s official magazine in the last three years. All eight have been of the borough’s Labour MP though; the Liberal Democrat MP (Lynne Featherstone) not getting one single mention.

Posted in News | 6 Comments

Lib Dem MPs divide on embryology bill free vote

The Human Fertilisation and Embryology Bill passed the House of Commons easily this week, 355 to 129. The Bill’s measures include allowing scientists to produce human-animal “hybrid embryos” for stem cells, use of “saviour siblings” to provide bone marrow or umbilical cord tissue for treating genetic conditions, as well as making it easier for lesbians and single women to access NHS fertilisation services and allowing a lesbian or gay couple to be named on the birth certificate as the legal parents of their children.

The Lib Dems made it a free vote, and 16 MPs voted against the Bill at …

Posted in News | Tagged , and | 19 Comments

Tories gain control of Harrogate after Lib Dem defection

ConservativeHome reports:

The Conservative have gained overall control of Harrogate Council, it has previously been run as a Conservative minority administration. This has come about as a result of the defection of from the Lib Dems. The Lib Dem defector Cllr John Wren. He represents the Woodfield ward on Harrogate Borough Council and the Bilton Nidd Gorge ward on North Yorkshire County Council.

Posted in Local government | Tagged | 4 Comments

Nick Clegg attacks Policy Exchange for “offensive” and “underhand” briefing

From Politics Home:

Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg has attacked thinktank Policy Exchange over its call to boycott the upcoming Global Peace and Unity event in London.

The thinktank had circulated a dossier questioning apparent extremist background of several of the events speakers. However Mr Clegg, who is due to speak at the event accused the thinktank’s director of “bizarre and underhand behaviour”, and questioned the validity of the evidence.

Nick Clegg’s letter reads:

I am writing to ask you to retract an offensive dossier that Policy Exchange has been privately circulating condemning the Global Peace & Unity Event scheduled for the coming weekend in London.

This is the fourth year of this conference. It will be attended by 30,000 people and is geared towards promoting harmony and dialogue between Muslims and non-Muslims.

The Policy Exchange briefing I have seen seeks to raise alarm over a number of the speakers planning to attend the conference. The accuracy of the allegations is variable, with a notable lack of evidence to support many of the claims.

In particular I was appalled to see ‘evidence’ quoted from the Society for American National Existence, an organisation which seeks to make the practice of Islam illegal, punishable by 20 years in prison. I need hardly point out how illogical it is to attempt to criticise one set of extreme views by citing another.

Posted in News | 88 Comments

The Elephant Interviews… at last in Sheffield!

Hello fluffy friends!

Next week, Saturday 1 November, will be the Liberal Democrats’ Yorkshire and Humber Regional Conference, to be held at Sheffield Cathedral Conference Centre, Sheffield Cathedral, Church Street, Sheffield S1 1HA. And I have FINALLY managed to arrange the long-promised, never-forgotten Lib Dem Bloggers Not-in-London Interview with the Leader of the Party, Mr Nick Clegg.

Hooray!

Mr Nick is very kindly going to make time for us in the afternoon for forty-five minutes to an hour between 2pm and 4pm (I shall know more precise details by next week!)

Our interviews tend to be quite informal, as people …

Posted in Blogger Interviews | 2 Comments

Phil Woolas claims he didn’t say what he did say, except he also says he did say it

In a gloriously muddled performance, Labour minister Phil Woolas managed to both deny and confirm that the government has pledged to keep Britain’s population under 70 million in a radio interview this morning.

In an interview last week with The Times, he said, “This Government isn’t going to allow the population of this country to go up to 70 million.”

Interviewed on the Today program this morning, however, he said, “We don’t think is appropriate.” So this extract from the Times interview was quoted back at him, producing this wonderfully bizarre attempt to claim that quoting back to him what …

Posted in News | 4 Comments

Labour cuts the number of days Parliament will sit to lowest figure since 1979

Over the next year Parliament will sit for just 128 days, the lowest figure since 1979.

Although MPs do much valuable work when Parliament isn’t sitting (for example, Hornsey & Wood Green MP Lynne Featherstone used this summer’s recess to call round on the residential care homes and sheltered housing in her constituency and last year’s to call round on the shops to find out what issues more effect them and need sorting), cutting back on the amount of time Parliament sites makes it much easier for Government to avoid scrutiny and to push through legislation without proper debate.

Simon Hughes raised …

Posted in News and Parliament | Tagged | 5 Comments

Full-body scanning at airports

The possible widespread use of full-body scanners at airports, which show people’s bodies in some detail, have been in the news recently. London MEP Sarah Ludford is interviewed over on the ITV Local site about her concerns and what steps should be taken to protect people’s privacy.

Posted in News | 1 Comment

Mike Smithson on why Lib Dem poll ratings vary so much

Mike Smithson, founding editor of PoliticalBetting.com and occasional Lib Dem Voice contributor, has written an interesting post on his site analysing why the Lib Dems’ poll ratings vary so much between the different pollsters – this is a question that LDV has also looked at a few times, including this past week, with two polls (by YouGov and ICM respectively) placing the party at 14% and 21%.

Mike notes:

All the pollsters have different ways of processing the data and the ICM mathematical approach is probably the most friendly to Nick Clegg’s party. But that is not enough to

…

Posted in Polls | 6 Comments

Nick Clegg calls for change in electricity pricing

From the Reading Chronicle:

ENERGY companies are raking in immoral profits from their poorest customers – that was the charge made by Nick Clegg in Reading at the weekend, as he called for tax cuts for low earners and a 2% cut in interest rates.

The Lib Dem leader, speaking at his party’s regional conference at Woodley’s Oakwood Centre before a public meeting at Reading Civic Centre on Saturday, declared: “It is immoral, it is wrong for the big six energy companies to have received, as they in effect have, a £9bn windfall subsidy

…

Posted in News | 3 Comments

Chris Huhne on how Cameron is getting it wrong on the economy

Chris Huhne writes for The Guardian today:

There are clear dangers in managing the public finances over the next few years, but nothing merits the sort of intemperate scaremongering that Cameron and George Osborne have been whipping up. Cameron said on Monday: “We ought now to be cutting people’s taxes to put money back into the economy, but we can’t because they’ve got the biggest budget deficit in the modern industrial world.” And in his big economic speech last Friday: ” borrowed and borrowed and borrowed, and racked up the biggest government deficit in the developed world.”

This is just wrong, plain

…

Posted in News | Tagged | 2 Comments

BBC Question Time: Open Thread

Are you tuning in tonight for BBC1’s flagship political discussion show (10.35 pm, and online)? If so, you’ll have the pleasure of seeing Jo Swinson, Ed Davey’s deputy at foreign affairs and Lib Dem MP for East Dunbartonshire, whose talents many of you would like to see put to full use in the party’s shadow cabinet.

In fact there’s a real Scottish flavour to the show, which is coming to us from, erm, Peterborough, as Jo will be alongside the SNP leader and First Minister of Scotland Alex Salmond, and the editor of the Financial Times, Lionel Barber, who …

Posted in Lib Dem TV | Tagged , and | 14 Comments

Huhne refers Osborne to Electoral Commission; Baker refers Osborne to Parliamentary Standards Commissioner

It’s been a busy day for two of the Lib Dems’ most tenacious shadow cabinet members today, with both Chris Huhne and Norman Baker urging investigations into Tory shadow chancellor George Osborne’s donation discussions with Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska.

Chris Huhne wrote to the Chairman of the Electoral Commission, George Sam Younger*, asking him to confirm:

that a donation by a foreign citizen not resident and on the electoral register in the UK ‘channelled’ through a conduit such as a UK trading company would be illegal. If so, there is a prima facie case for considering whether Mr Osborne and Mr

…

Posted in News | Tagged , , , and | 4 Comments

Big Ben on Youtube

A tweet arrived earlier in the week from the official UKParliament twitter account with a link to this wonderful clip about Big Ben and the world-famous iconic clock at one end of the Houses of Parliament.

It’s just one of a series of official Youtube tours of the Palace of Westminster, so if you’re unable or unwilling to get yourself to London to have a proper look, you can find more in the UK Parliament channel.

It’s reasonably easy to get a real tour if you want one – particularly for UK citizens and in MP’s summer …

Posted in News | Leave a comment
Advert

Recent Comments

  • paul barker
    I have seen figures suggesting that Data Centres currently planned would triple UK Electricity consumption, that is not remotely comparable with slowing our con...
  • Nonconformistradical
    Seconded...
  • Big Tall Tim
    Good article Kobe...
  • David Allen
    "the long-hoped-for replacement of (the Conservative Party) as the British Centre Right Party by the Lib Dems" Hoped for by whom, pray? Hoped for by those...
  • cim
    @David Allen Given that we haven't drifted that far out of regulatory alignment we could probably do it in 5-10 rather than 10-20, but that's still a "needs ...