Tag Archives: gordon brown

Vince Cable rejects Telegraph speculation of deal with Labour

Both yesterday and today the Telegraph has reported that Gordon Brown is thinking of asking Liberal Democrats, including Vince Cable, to join the government in a major post-European elections reshuffle. Vince’s response when asked about the story on TV this morning was very robust and clear:

“I’m part of the Liberal Democrat team. We’re fighting to maximise our number of votes and seats in upcoming election,” he said.

“I’ve no interest whatever in being co-opted by a Labour government that has become, quite frankly, discredited”.

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Daily View 2×2: 27 May 2009

2 big stories

Much of today’s coverage is summed up perfectly by the Independent’s headline Brown v Cameron v Clegg, under which all three leaders set out their visions for the rebuilding of Britain’s broken politics. They are due to take party in cross-party talks according to the Guardian, talks to be led by that famed bastion of reform, Jack Straw. Perhaps that’s who Nick Clegg was thinking of when he said (to the Times): “There are prominent people in government who recognise that the game’s up.” Our friends in the Lords are

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Ben Chapman’s rise and fall mirrors the rise and fall of Labour

March 1997: John Major is Prime Minister and there’s a Parliamentary by-election in the Conservative-held seat of Wirral South. With a general election expected within weeks, the by-election is a major political event, with widespread media coverage.

New Labour use the campaign to showcase their mix of new and old, in the form of their candidate. He is Ben Chapman, the son of a farm labourer (tick the traditional Labour box) who became a successful senior civil servant, went into business and was a very recent recruit to the party (tick the New Labour box).

Carefully marshaled by minders through the campaign, …

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That petition (or, why Gordon shouldn’t resign)

You know. That one. The one championed all over the right-wing internet and even alluded to at yesterday’s PMQs by a Tory backbencher who pointed out that more people want Brown to resign than voted for him. It’s a neat point, since Brown’s only mandate is the one his constituents gave him, and any comeback referring to the size of his constituency vis-a-vis the internet-going public will just invite restatement of that fact.

The terms of The Petition must make it one of the most brusque documents ever submitted to the Number 10 website:

Continue reading »

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PMQs: education

Some real desperate farce from the House this afternoon. Brown’s answers to Cameron were incredibly poor throughout – “I’m sure that sounded great in the bunker” Cameron said after one particularly otherworldly response. As a further indicator of the standard on the government side, planted questions enable the PM to mention the National Minimum Wage and football, and several involved waving the scary “before 1997” card.

A sneering question comes from a Tory backbencher about bullying in the workplace (vis, Number 10) referring to reports of  “a Whitehall official” throwing office equipment around. Gordon even manages to

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A look back at the polls: April 2009

We tend not to be too poll-obsessed here at LDV – of course we look at them, as do all other politico-geeks, but viewed in isolation no one poll will tell you very much beyond what you want to read into it. Looked at over a reasonable time-span and, if there are enough polls, you can see some trends.

Here, in chronological order, are the results of the eight polls published in April:

Tories 41%, Labour 34%, Lib Dems 16% – YouGov/S. Times (5th April 2009)
Tories 43%, Labour 30%, Lib Dems 18% – Populus/Times (7th April)
Tories 43%, Labour 26%, Lib Dems 21%

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David Heath on MPs’ expenses

As the BBC reports, the government has won a series of votes on the surviving parts of Gordon Brown’s proposed expenses reforms – but only after Gordon Brown’s main proposal, for a daily parliamentary attendance allowance to replace second homes expenses for all MPs, was ditched. Not because, as Nick Clegg pithily put it, “Bringing the Brussels gravy train to Westminster is not the way to fix our expenses system” – but simply because Labour whips fearing that it could trigger a second Parliamentary defeat for the Prime Minister in as many days. To look like John Major one day might be considered misfortune, but to look like him two days running…

The Lib Dems’ shadow leader of the house David Heath spoke for the party in the Commons, and it’s worth quoting a few chunks of his speech below:

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Nick attacks Brown’s “spectacular step in the wrong direction” on MPs’ expense

Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg has pledged to put his own radical proposals on reforming MPs’ expenses to the House of Commons after a meeting between the three main party leaders on the issue ended in deadlock.

Gordon Brown published his own plan yesterday which included replacing the second home allowance with a daily attendance allowance. It got short shrift from Nick, but it seems the Prime Minister is unshiftable. Speaking to BBC News tonight after the talks, Nick said:

Gordon Brown wont budge. He wants to move to this system where MPs would basically given a cheque

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Clegg on Brown’s MPs’ expenses reforms: “Bringing the Brussels gravy train to Westminster is not the way to fix our expenses system.”

The Evening Standard billboards I walked past this evening proclaimed, more than a little hyperbolically, Brown axes MPs’ expenses. The truth is a little more mundane – you can read the full text of the written statement from Commons leader Harriet Harman’s statement to the Commons setting out Labour’s proposed changes to MPs’ expenses rules via the BBC HERE.

The headline-grabbing announcement is the scrapping of the second homes’ allowance, and its replacement with ‘a flat-rate daily allowance, based on actual attendance at Westminster on parliamentary and government business or the business of the Opposition frontbenches’ limited to the …

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No longer living next door to Alice

Here’s a confession for you – I once voted for Alice Mahon, the veteran former Labour MP who has today announced her resignation of her party membership after 50 years.

It was back in the mid-1990s, when I was a youthful Labour member, who had taken too much to heart George Bernard Shaw’s adage that anyone who isn’t a socialist by the age of 25 has no heart (I’ve also lived up to the mirror half of the quote: “if one is over 25 and still a socialist he has no head”). Alice was standing for Labour’s ruling National Executive …

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Jeremy Browne: VAT cut has helped the richest the most

The Lib Dem press release headline is stark: Wasteful VAT cut only benefiting the rich. (It’s also, whisper it gently, not 100% accurate: for ‘only’ read ‘mostly (ish)’).

Here’s what Lib Dem shadow chief financial secretary Jeremy Browne has to say about the party’s research showing that the VAT ‘savings work out at an average of over £9 a week for the richest households, while poorer households are saving less than £3, despite recent claims from Gordon Brown that families would save at least £5 a week’:

The Government’s defence of its wasteful VAT cut continues to unravel. Its benefits

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A look back at the polls: March 2009

We tend not to be too poll-obsessed here at LDV – of course we look at them, as do all other politico-geeks, but viewed in isolation no one poll will tell you very much beyond what you want to read into it. Looked at over a reasonable time-span and, if there are enough polls, you can see some trends.

Here, in chronological order, are the results of the eight polls published in March:

Tories 42%, Labour 30%, Lib Dems 19% – Populus/Times (9th March 2009)
Tories 41%, Labour 31%, Lib Dems 17% – YouGov/S. Times (15th March)
Tories 42%, Labour 32%, Lib Dems 14%

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Opinion: The morning after

I walked around the City of London this morning. Sunlight filtered through the banks and sandwich bars of the narrow streets, occasionally reaching the road, more often than not reflected from the acres of glass left gleaming and untroubled the the events of the previous days.

Around the Bank of England I searched for evidence of the violence and anarchy from the hard-core of the idiots who visited the G20 summit only to cause trouble. A rather lonely scrawl of “Fuck Capitalism” could be seen under the Bank’s museum entrance sign, and on the other side, more wittily someone had written “Because we’re evil” under a “No Bicycles” sign.

The small branch of RBS that had made the news as the nexus of ‘public’ anger had two windows boarded up and a rather cheerful offer of 3.5% interest on a cash ISA in the next.

Down Bishopgate where the peaceful Climate Camp had stretched for half a mile, before the Police decided to recycle their tents into environmentally unfriendly shopping bags, there was even less evidence that anything had happened.

The G20 had come, the G20 had gone, some people wanted a bit of a shout about it, and had achieved some commemorative mug shots of being oppressed to share with their mates on MySpace. Somebody accidentally died, and to everyone’s amazement it wasn’t Gordon Brown of embarrassment.

The concrete achievements of the G20 are hard to assess at this stage. Much of the money touted in the ‘historic’ $5 trillion package was from pre-announced national fiscal stimuli, much was optimistic, and much is likely to disappear after the cheerful world leaders go home to do hard sums with their Finance Ministers, several of whom will need to be coaxed down from the window ledges of their Treasuries.

What is clearly new though is the attitude and approach.

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Brown and Queen discuss succession question raised by Dr. Evan Harris

The BBC report that the Prime Minister and advisors to Her Majesty The Queen have met to consider whether they would endorse reform of Britain’s laws of succession to the throne, which were decided by the 1701 Act of Settlement. Lib Dem MP Dr. Evan Harris has tabled a Private Member’s Bill on the subject, aimed at ending discrimination against women and Roman Catholics in the hereditary succession. Could this mean that Evan’s bill will meet a better fate that David Heath’s bill?

UPDATE: It seems not. The government are not backing Evan’s bill.

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Good news! It only takes three hours to learn how to fight the war on terror

And you get a cup of tea thrown in too. Or coffee.

You may have heard Gordon Brown boasting that,

Tens of thousands of men and women throughout Britain – from security guards to store managers – have now been trained and equipped to deal with an incident and know what to watch for as people go about their daily business in crowded places such as stations, airports, shopping centres and sports grounds.

Good news hey? Even if some of their time may have been spent on learning that people who prefer tofu to meat are indulging in just the same sort of …

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The puzzle of Francis Maude’s email address

Conservative MP Francis Maude today criticised Gordon Brown for not having an email address on the 10 Downing Stret website: “Gordon Brown is spending taxpayers’ money on the latest digital gimmicks, from Twitter to Flickr, but can’t be bothered to give out a simple email address”.

Fair enough. But you’d have thought he would give out an email address on the contact page for his own website. Otherwise someone unkind person might mutter things about double standards etc, especially as his website is paid for by taxpayers’ money too. But you’d have thought wrong. (Though you can find his …

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PMQs: Stafford Hospital and the “frenzied” target system

Quite an interesting session this: several questions, from all sides, did a good job of uncovering the deeply managerial soul of New Labour, and its according fixation with formulating strategy rather than getting things done, and with punishing management failure rather than seeking its  root causes in the bigger picture.

First, Cameron and Brown battled again, quite earnestly this week, over the economy. The bones of contention were Stuff and Things this time, rather than the more usual Apologies and Hurt Feelings, and the session was the better for it.  Cameron sought to prove that all the grandiose schemes and initiatives Brown announces week by week are not being implemented properly. Ministers, apparently, have admitted as much, but Brown stays in his “bunker”. Cameron’s definition of when the recession began differs from Brown’s (to whose advantage I know not. Cameron says the recessions began when the economy stopped growing in April, Brown says we entered recession in July – is there a technical right or wrong answer here, gentle reader?)

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My favourite Gordon Brown quote

“I want us to do even more to encourage the risk takers”
Mansion House speech to the City of London, 17 June 2004

(It’s a close run thing between this one from a few years back, directed at Paddy Ashdown about Labour and Liberal Democrat economic policies: “You lot were right.”)

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A look back at the polls: February 2009

We tend not to be too poll-obsessed here at LDV – of course we look at them, as do all other politico-geeks, but viewed in isolation no one poll will tell you very much beyond what you want to read into it. Looked at over a reasonable time-span and, if there are enough polls, you can see some trends.

Here, in chronological order, are the results of the seven polls published in February:

Tories 40%, Labour 28%, Lib Dems 22% – ICM/S. Telegraph (8th Feb 2009)
Tories 42%, Labour 28%, Lib Dems 18% – Populus/Times (10th Feb)
Tories 41%, Labour 25%, Lib Dems 22% – ComRes/S. Independent (15th Feb)
Tories 44%, Labour 32%, Lib Dems 14% – YouGov/S. Times (15th Feb)
Tories 48%, Labour 28%, Lib Dems 17% – Mori/unpublished (17th Nov)
Tories 42%, Labour 30%, Lib Dems 18% – ICM/Guardian (24th Nov)
Tories 41%, Labour 31%, Lib Dems 15% – YouGov/Telegraph (27th Nov)

Which gives us an average rating for the parties in February as follows, compared with January’s averages:

Tories 43% (n/c), Labour 29% (-3%), Lib Dems 18% (+2%)

What to make of this month’s polls, which paradoxically convey both stability and fluctuation? The Tories seem to be relatively stable, in the low 40s% – except for Mori which elevates them to 48%, touching the heights of New Labour before its landslide. Labour appear relatively stable, hovering just at or below 30% – except for ComRes which relegates them to 25%, only a margin of error’s breadth ahead of the Lib Dems. And the Lib Dems seem to be relatively stable in the 17-22% range – except for YouGov which sees the party stuck firmly at a pretty paltry 14-15%.

All this statistical noise is, of course, ironed out by our monthly average, which sees Labour ceding ground to the Lib Dems. Indeed, it seems a lifetime ago, but just back in December Labour’s poll average was 35%: they have dropped 6% in the space of just a few weeks, with the spoils evenly shared between the Lib Dems and Tories.

Such has been Labour’s decline that it has prompted a brief effervescence of speculation that Gordon Brown might be tempted to resign if he thought it would assist his party’s fortunes. This prompted ICM to ask the question on behalf of The Guardian: ‘Putting aside your own political party preference for a moment do you think Labour will do better at the next general election with Gordon Brown in charge, or with another leader?’

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Clegg condemns Brown’s ‘British jobs for British workers’ dog-whistle

As wildcat strikers adopt Gordon Brown’s dog-whistle slogan of ‘British jobs for British workers’, the Lib Dem leadership has made clear that it sees no point in getting in to “a blame game” with other European workers.

Vince Cable, the party’s deputy leader, commented at the weekend:

We’ve got to be very careful – on the one hand we’ve got to listen to workers who are angry, we need to help them to find some way forward. But it would be very, very dangerous and foolish to fall into this beggar my neighbour game with people in one country

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A look back at the polls: January ’09

We tend not to be too poll-obsessed here at LDV – of course we look at them, as do all other politico-geeks, but viewed in isolation no one poll will tell you very much beyond what you want to read into it. Looked at over a reasonable time-span and, if there are enough polls, you can see some trends.

Here, in chronological order, are the results of the eight polls published in January:

Tories 41%, Labour 34%, Lib Dems 15% – YouGov/The Sun (9 Jan)
Tories 43%, Labour 33%, Lib Dems 15% – Populus/The Times

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Stormin’ Norman on the warpath again

That tireless Parliamentary terrier, Lib Dem MP Norman Baker, has been doing what he does best, once again: demanding answers to awkward questions. The man who forced Peter Mandelson to quit the cabinet last time around has now turned his attention to two new bete-noires:

1) Gordon Brown’s refusal to answer questions, which The Guardian’s Politics Blog notes – here’s what Norman said to the House of Commons, courtesy of Hansard:

The issue of openness is crucial for democracy. We touched on it in the previous debate about MPs’ expenses. After all my years in politics, both

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PMQs: Nick tackles Gordon on the bank bail-out

After last week’s pretty subdued start to the new Parliamentary term at Prime Minister’s Questions, there was a return to the more boisterous rough ‘n’ tumble which passes for debate in this farcical weekly charade in the interests of holding the Government publicly to account.

As is well-established, the actual content of PMQs is pretty irrelevant (which is just as well, because it’s pretty non-existent) – for the media and the Westminster village performance is all. And measured by that criterion, I thought all three party leaders could take some pleasure in how they did.

As recession reality begins to hit home, the Government’s response to it was, unsurprisingly, the dominant theme. Gordon Brown tried to slam home two messages: that Labour is doing all it can; and that the Tories would do nothing. And for once he managed to upstage Mr Cameron with a couple of slick, well-delivered one-liners:

The one thing that President Obama did not say in his speech yesterday was, “Fellow Americans, let’s do nothing.”

and, gesturing to Ken Clarke, restored to the Tory front-bench:

has the benefit now of a new shadow shadow Chancellor to help him on his way

Though that did set up Mr Cameron’s best-scripted line of the day: “The difference between this former Chancellor and that former Chancellor is that this one left a golden legacy and that one wrecked it.”

But, for me, the Prime Minister’s most impressive answer was not the rehearsed bon mots, but his graceful acknowledgement that the Government’s recapitalisation of the banks is in trouble, but that it was the best, the only, policy on the table, and it was (eventually) supported (half-heartedly) by the Tories themselves:

I was very grateful for the support that the Opposition party gave to the recapitalisation of the banks three months ago. I suppose that I should not be surprised that the minute there is a difficulty, it withdraws its support from the right proposal. The recapitalisation of the banks was the right thing to do. The right hon. Gentleman has no other policy that would replace that policy.

To my ears, the phraseology sounded very Tony Blair. Why? Because its more-in-sorrow-than-in-anger tone is just the right way to deflate Mr Cameron’s tendency towards shrill point-scoring. It also has the merit of being the truth, a powerful weapon which Mr Brown all too often neglects.

In his two allotted questions, Nick Clegg pressed two issues – first, that the Government’s response is too ambiguous to work, and secondly that it’s time for full, temporary nationalisation of the weakest banks.

To be honest, I didn’t think this was one of Nick’s best days at PMQs (although generally I think he’s a strong performer there, unfairly maligned by media hacks). To me, his questions seemed a little vague, with no examples to back them up. However, I’ve heard Nick’s sound-bite-ettes used on a number of news programmes this afternoon, while the PMQs questions he asks which I do like seem to sink without trace as far as the media’s concerned. And though I suspect this says at least as much about the poor quality of political reporting as it does about my judgement, I’m happy to concede that, in this instance at least, what matters is what works.

You can catch up with the video of PMQs here via the BBC website, the audio here via the Guardian, or read the Hansard transcript of Nick’s exchanges below:

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Opinion: I’m alright – but is Britain?

This week’s Times/Populus opinion poll suggested that the meltdown boost for Gordon Brown’s personal rating has faded. But there is rather more to these latest data than simply a restoration of the Conservatives’ double-digit lead.

An interesting syndrome has come to light, and I am dubbing it ‘this depression is going to be very bad for Britain – but I’ll survive’. There is now what the researchers call a gap between personal optimism and public pessimism.

What can this mean?

It could mean any number of things: far too many people still just carrying on carrying on. Figures from elsewhere showing those …

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One day policy conference kicks off with a round of media coverage

Today’s policy conference in London has been trailed in the media this morning, including for example this from the Press Association:

Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg will warn a generation of young people risk being consigned to the economic “scrapheap” due to the failure of Gordon Brown’s policies.

In a speech to a one-day Lib Dem conference in London, Mr Clegg will say school and college leavers aged 16 to 24 look set to bear the brunt of the worsening downturn.

He will accuse Mr Brown of offering only “pointless initiatives” in response to the crisis and will call for the creation of

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LDV readers say: a big no to Vince becoming Gordon’s chancellor

Cast your minds back 10 days, and there was a sudden eruption of fevered speculation, mainly in the right-wing blogosphere, that Vince Cable might be tempted to accept the post of Chancellor if it were offered to him by Gordon Brown. LDV was always dubious about the claim, even if it would prove popular with the public, as well as business leaders, as well as ‘money-saving experts’. But we decided to see what our readers thought of the proposition, asking: if offered the job by Gordon Brown, should Vince Cable accept the post of Chancellor?

Your answer …

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Lib Dem MPs on Twitter

I spent at least some time this weekend mentally upbraiding Iain Dale for his paranoia in thinking that technical faults that got in the way of a David Cameron interview with Andrew Marr stemmed from Labour supporting techies pulling the plug.  Cameron had apparently insisted on being interviewed from home because the week before, Gordon Brown had been interviewed from 10 Downing Street.  Iain tells us further the Beeb were none to happy with the arrangement but Cameron insisted.

So clearly, the only rational explanation was that peeved techies forced to do OB work on a Sunday combined with Aunty’s …

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Latest pension scandal to rock government

Rupert Jones reports for the Guardian:

… government ministers’ pension pots are defying the stock market slump and are up by 10% in a year, it emerged this week. Research by the Liberal Democrats revealed that high-profile ministers have pension pots worth more than 10 times the average in the private sector. Gordon Brown has a personal ministerial pension pot of £274,000. Justice secretary Jack Straw’s is £294,000 and chancellor Alistair Darling’s is £235,000. Lib Dem work and pensions spokesman Lord Oakeshott says: “Ministers and mandarins live in a pensions time warp. They look like the first world war general

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NEW POLL: if offered the job by Gordon, should Vince accept the post of Chancellor?

The right-wing blogosphere is fairly wetting itself today, picking up on the ‘exclusive revelations’ of the Daily Mail’s Peter Oborne that Labour is allegedly cosying up to the Lib Dems in anticipation of a pact which would see Ming Campbell elected as Commons Speaker and Vince Cable installed as Chancellor:

Although the PM recognises that it would be inconceivable to elect another Labour Speaker, soundings have been taken among the Liberal Democrats. The Whips’ Office has already launched a campaign to get Labour MPs to back former LibDem leader Sir Menzies Campbell to become the new Speaker. This

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Clegg – Lib Dem stealth bomber?

Yesterday’s Indy published an interesting account of the findings of ‘private polling for the Liberal Democrats’ under the flattering headline, Is the invisible Clegg a secret weapon for the Lib Dems?

The research was scarcely earth-shattering, but there were some interesting conclusions:

On Nick Clegg:

The research concluded that Mr Clegg was the Liberal Democrats’ best asset even though he is unknown to many voters. The party’s strategy in the new year will be based on giving him as high a profile as possible. Women, who like him more than men do, regard the Liberal Democrat leader as “nice-looking, presentable, personable and likeable”, according to the research. Among men, he is viewed as “down-to-earth” and “someone I could relate to”. People saw his body language as “in control” and “welcoming”.

On Gordon Brown:

Despite Mr Brown’s experience on the economy and recent recovery in the opinion polls, people regard him as “old”, “dull”, “tired” and “boring”, according to a Liberal Democrat summary of its polling. Voters reacted sceptically when the Prime Minister tried to “feel their pain” by speaking about rising prices at the petrol pump and supermarket check-out. Some pointed out that Mr Brown does not drive, and his remarks contributed to a feeling that he was out of touch with ordinary people.

On David Cameron:

Mr Cameron is seen by many voters as young and energetic and as bringing dynamism to an old-fashioned party. But they believe he looks “too posh” to be “one of us”. Some voters said he was rather lightweight and not experienced enough to be prime minister. … The focus groups suggest that, contrary to rumours in the Westminster village, people do not confuse Mr Clegg with Mr Cameron. The Liberal Democrat leader is seen as more forceful and authoritative without being “posh”.

Three things to note, it seems to me:

First, when it comes to public perceptions of Nick’s performance as Lib Dem leader there’s still all to play for.

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