Author Archives: Stephen Tall

Stephen was Editor (and Co-Editor) of Liberal Democrat Voice from 2007 to 2015, and writes at The Collected Stephen Tall. He writes a fortnightly column for ConservativeHome and 'The Underdog' column for Total Politics magazine. He edited the 2013 publication, The Coalition and Beyond: Liberal Reforms for the Decade Ahead, and is a Research Associate for the liberal think-tank CentreForum. He was awarded the inaugural Lib Dem ‘Blogger of the Year’ prize in 2006, was a councillor for eight years in Oxford, including a year as Deputy Lord Mayor, and appears frequently in the media in person, in print and online. Stephen combines his political interests with his professional life as Development Director for the Education Endowment Foundation, though writes here in a personal capacity.

LDVideo: Paxman and Boulton slug it out

Here’s two rather different perspectives of our esteemed Fourth Estate in action. One shows a journalist who’s done his homework, and gets increasingly fed up with the refusal of a politician to deal in honest facts. The other shows a journalist who’s failed to do his homework, and gets increasingly frustrated with the persistence of a politician in exposing his laziness. See if you can work out which is which …

Adam Boulton takes on Lord Mandelson on spending cuts


(Also available on YouTube here).

Jeremy Paxman nailed by Plaid Cymru economist

Posted in General Election and YouTube | Tagged and | 5 Comments

Pollwatch Day 22 #GE2010 – Lib Dems at 28-29% in today’s polls

Three polls published tonight:

    Populus in The Times … CON 36%(+4), LAB 27%(-1), LIB DEM 28%(-3)
    YouGov in The Sun … CON 33%(nc), LAB 29%(+1), LIB DEM 28%(-1)
    ComRes for ITV/The Independent … CON 33%(+1), LAB 29%(+1), LDEM 29%(-2)

The big shift is in the Populus survey – however, the last time they polled was at the peak of the Lib Dems’ post-debate surge, so the result is pretty much in line with other polls showing the Lib Dems hovering around the 30% mark – albeit the Tories are at their highest point since before Nick Clegg’s rise to fame.

I suggested in

Posted in General Election and Polls | 10 Comments

Yet another reason why gay voters are deserting the Tories for the Lib Dems

The Tories seem to be doing their best to lose the vote of gay people. Last month it was shadow Tory home secretary Chris Grayling who landed himself and his party in trouble by defending the rights of bed-and-breakfast owners to discriminate against gay couples. Then the party’s shadow defence minister Julian Lewis alleged that equalising the age of consent had increased the risk of HIV infection.

And now the Tories have had to suspend one of their would-be MPs for describing gay people as “not normal”. The BBC reports:

Tory election candidate Philip Lardner has been suspended for describing gay people on his website as “not normal”, the party has confirmed. … The primary school teacher’s name will remain on ballot papers because it is too late to remove his nomination. He will still be listed as a Conservative candidate, although a party spokeswoman said they had made clear they no longer supported him. Mr Lardner had been reinstated to the party in 2008 after a previous suspension over claims he made racist comments by portraying former leader of white-rule Rhodesia, Ian Smith, as a hero. On that occasion, Mr Lardner did not deny making the comments but suggested they had been taken out of context.

His latest suspension was provoked by comments in the “What I believe in” section of his website, under the sub-heading: “Homosexuality is not ‘normal behaviour’.” The former Territorial Army soldier wrote of his support for the controversial “clause 28”, which was introduced by the Conservatives under Margaret Thatcher and banned public bodies from promoting homosexuality.

This latest example of backwards Tory thinking perhaps helps explain the collapse in the party’s support among gay voters, with the Lib Dems the overwhelming choice of 58%. Pink News reports:

A group of 911 LGBT people, weighted demographically and geographically have been informing PinkNews.co.uk of their voting intentions since March 2010 as well as their votes in the 2005 general election. Support for the Conservative Party has fallen from 17% in 2005 to 9% today. Labour support has dropped from 29% in 2005 and in the 2009 poll to 21% today. Liberal Democrat support has increased from 20% to 58%. The Green Party have dropped from 10% in 2005 to 8% today.

Oh, and here’s another reason why gay voters might doubt the resolve of the Tory party in advancing gay equality – here’s a stumbling and mumbling David Cameron defending his party’s record in an interview for Gay Times recently:

Posted in News | Tagged , , , , and | 5 Comments

What the IFS says about Lib Dem policies (the good and the less good)

The Institute for Fiscal Studies today delivered its Election Briefing 2010 verdict. We’ve looked at what it says about Lib Dem policies, and publish relevant extracts, below – highlighting both the positive aspects, and those where the IFS says the Lib Dems are lacking.

But if you don’t have time to read even our filleted version, here’s the filleted fillet:

  • In terms of reducing the deficit, the Tories will cut public spending most, Labour least; while Labour will increase taxes most, the Tories least. The Lib Dems are in the middle when it comes both to public spending cuts and tax increases.
  • As it stands Labour will have to find a further £7bn of tax increases in the next five years; the Tories will have to reverse half their announced £6bn tax cuts; while the Lib Dems will not have to go beyond what is already set out in the party’s manifesto.
  • Under either the Lib Dems or Labour public spending cuts in the next five years will have to be the most severe in a generation. Under the Tories the cuts would be the most severe in modern history.
  • No party has set out how it will tackle the deficit in full: the Lib Dems have gone furthest in being open and honest with voters, identifying over 25% of measures needed, ahead of either the Tories (17%) or Labour (13%).
  • The IFS does not believe there is a black hole in the Lib Dems’ tax reforms, and states that they are “progressive”.
  • The Lib Dem proposal to take all those earning under £10,000 out of income tax will be a better work incentive than the Tories’ proposed NI tax cut.
  • Only the Lib Dems have been clear about dedicating a £2.5 billion pupil premium to help pupils poor enough to be eligible for free school meals. The Tories’ pledge is labelled “unclear” by the IFS, while Labour is accused of re-badging existing money.

Here’s the fuller version …

Posted in General Election | Tagged | 9 Comments

Clegg, Obama & the new Lib Dem voters

Cross-posted from the International Business Times:

Let’s be clear: the Obama-Clegg comparisons that a few (a very few) in the media have made are not designed to flatter. They have been peddled for two reasons. First, because journalists are lazy, and will grab for the easiest political analogy. And secondly because journalists from the rightwing press have been hoping to over-hype ‘Cleggmania’ to try and provoke a backlash.

But there is one single instance in which I think the comparison holds. The first TV debate was the equivalent of Obama’s victory in the Democratic primaries: the time when a …

Posted in Op-eds | 5 Comments

3 to see: Lib Dem #GE2010 campaign coverage (27/4/10)

Want to keep up with what’s happening in the media but too busy campaigning? Here’s a handy guide to a trio of today’s most essential stories …

Nick Clegg: I could work with Labour, just not Gordon Brown (Guardian)
The Lib Dem leader states his position in the event of Labour coming third behind the Lib Dems in share of the vote:

I think, if Labour do come third in terms of the number of votes cast, then people would find it inexplicable that Gordon Brown himself could carry on as prime minister. As for who I’d work with, I’ve been very

Posted in General Election | 3 Comments

LDVideo: Turn Things Upside Down – Vote for Real Change

Posted in YouTube | 8 Comments

Pollwatch Day 21 #GE2010 – Lib Dems in second place, at 28-31%, in today’s polls

Four polls published tonight, as follows:

    ICM in the Guardian … CON 33%(-2), LAB 28%(+2), LIB DEM 30%(-1)
    Opinium in the Express … CON 34%(+2), LAB 25%(-1), LIB DEM 28%(-1)
    ComRes for ITV/Independent … CON 32%(-2), LAB 28%(nc), LIB DEM 31%(+2)
    YouGov in the Sun … CON 33%(-1), LAB 28%(nc), LIB DEM 29%(-1)

All movement is within the margin of error, and the degree of stability in the polls is striking: the Tories are at 32-34%, Lib Dems at 28-31% and Labour at 25-28%. Anthony Wells’ UK Polling Report ‘poll of polls’ shows the Lib Dems edging up:

    CON 33%, LAB 27%, LIB DEM 30%

It …

Posted in General Election and Polls | Tagged , and | 5 Comments

Gurkhas join in Lib Dem election campaign in Maidstone

The BBC reports:

Gurkhas have joined in the election campaign in Maidstone to support the Liberal Democrat candidate for Ann Widdecombe’s former Kent seat. Lib Dem candidate Peter Carroll set up the Gurkha Justice Campaign, which last year won the right for the Gurkhas to settle in the UK.

Mr Carroll said the Gurkhas, who are based in Folkestone, travelled to Maidstone on Saturday. “They brought all their musicians and dancers and it was like a carnival.”

Readers of the best-selling Why Vote Lib Dem book will have had chance to read a short article by Madan Kumar Gurung, a …

Posted in General Election | Tagged , and | 5 Comments

David Cameron: scaremongering means just what I choose it to mean

Compare …

I just think it is disgraceful to try and frighten people in an election campaign … You should not be frightening people in an election campaign, it is just not right.”

David Cameron in the second TV debate, 22nd April

… and Contrast

“It’s now all becoming clear – the great plan of Nick Clegg’s is becoming clear – he’s only interested in one thing and that is changing our electoral system so that we have a permanent hung Parliament, we have a permanent coalition, we never have strong and decisive government. That’s what he wants to do – it’s now becoming

Posted in General Election | Tagged | 1 Comment

1992 déjà vu? Or can 2010 be different?

If there’s one thing worse than being talked about, it’s not being talked about. That might be true normally, but perhaps not when the subject is hung parliaments and what the Lib Dems might do in the event thereof.

Nick Clegg made a perfectly uncontroversial point on Sunday: that it would be inconceivable for the Lib Dems to prop up Gordon Brown as prime minister if Labour came third in terms of votes cast on 6th May. Of course it would be, no matter what the constitutional niceties might say about the right of an incumbent prime minister to try …

Posted in General Election and Op-eds | 12 Comments

‘Cleggmania’ sees surge in Lib Dem donations: have you given yet?

The Times reports:

The Liberal Democrats have benefited from a double-digit percentage surge in party donations since Nick Clegg’s success in the first television debate almost a fortnight ago.

The Times has learnt that the bulk of the increase in political funds has come from individuals — especially through the internet — who typically give around £20 each. The Lib Dems have the highest proportion of individual donors of any of the three main parties. …

One senior Lib Dem told The Times that the party started with about £4 million to spend on running its general election campaign, but that the

Posted in News | Tagged | 9 Comments

3 to see: Lib Dem #GE2010 campaign coverage (26/4/10)

Want to keep up with what’s happening in the media but too busy campaigning? Here’s a handy guide to a trio of today’s most essential stories …

The media obsesses about hung parliament possibilities …

Nick Clegg used his appearance on the BBC’s Andrew Marr show to make the obvious point that the Lib Dems would not prop up a Labour government if it finished third in the popular vote but ahead in terms of number of MPs:

Posted in General Election | 7 Comments

Pollwatch Day 20 #GE2010 – Lib Dems back at 30%

Just one poll published tonight (so far at any rate):

    YouGov in the Sun … CON 34%(-1), LAB 28%(+1), LIB DEM 30%(+2)

So much for the charge – led by its sister-paper – that the Lib Dem bubble had burst. The poll suggests the party is continuing to hover at the 30% mark, and continuing to push Labour into third place.

There was incidentally one other poll published we omitted to report last night: BPIX (the firm which refuses to comply with polling industry standards) showed CON 34%(+3), LAB 26%(-2), LIB DEM 30%(-2).

It does seems as if the party is heading into …

Posted in General Election and Polls | 4 Comments

Top of the Blogs: The Golden Dozen #166

Welcome to the Golden Dozen, and our 166th weekly round-up from the Lib Dem blogosphere … Featuring the seven most popular stories according to click-throughs from the Aggregator (18th – 24th April, 2010), together with a hand-picked quintet, normally courtesy of LibDig, you might otherwise have missed.

Don’t forget: you can now sign up to receive the Golden Dozen direct to your email inbox – just click here – ensuring you never miss out on the best of Lib Dem blogging.

As ever, let’s start with the most popular post, and work our way down:

Posted in Best of the blogs | 1 Comment

LDVideo Election Special (3): Vince is right, South Park Lib Dem stylee, Leaders’ Wives & The Weakest Link

A special Sunday treat: ten of the top political videos from the past week. But, annoyingly, spread out over three separate posts to help you keep checking out Lib Dem Voice’s election coverage. Here are the final three …

Vince Cable is right about everything


(Also available on YouTube here).

The Lib Dems meet South Park:

Posted in General Election and YouTube | 3 Comments

LDVideo Election Special (2): Dave’s Mini-Me, The Indy gets my vote & #iagreewithnick

A special Sunday treat: ten of the top political videos from the past week. But, annoyingly, spread out over three separate posts to help you keep checking out Lib Dem Voice’s election coverage. Here are the second three …

Dave Cameron – Nick Clegg’s Mini-Me

Posted in General Election and YouTube | 1 Comment

The flow diagram which shows you who to vote for



(Hat-tip: Andrew Sparrow’s Guardian live-blog, this chart originated on b3ta.com).

Posted in General Election and Humour | 22 Comments

LDVideo Election Special (1): Jarvis, Cleese & Nazis

A special Sunday treat: ten of the top political videos from the past week. But, annoyingly, spread out over three separate posts to help you keep checking out Lib Dem Voice’s election coverage. Here are the first three …

Cameron and the Common People


(Also available on YouTube here).

Cameron v Clegg (with a dash of Cleese)

Posted in General Election and YouTube | 2 Comments

Big increase in voters trusting Nick & Vince to steer British economy

Some interesting details from tonight’s ComRes poll, as picked out by Andrew Hawkins, the firm’s chairman:

    · Overall it looks like the Lib Dems had a very modest boost from Thursday night although Gordon Brown’s performance has clearly boosted his party’s rating
    · Turnout looks set to be really quite high – 66% say ‘absolutely certain’ to vote, the highest registered of this campaign
    · The number of people who are ‘absolutely certain’ to vote but who are undecided

Posted in General Election and Polls | 5 Comments

Pollwatch Day 19 #GE2010 – Lib Dem surge still strong (except for News of the World)

Four polls for the Sunday papers have already been published – they are as follows:

    ComRes for Sunday Mirror / Independent on Sunday … CON 34%(-1), LAB 28%(+3), LIB DEM 29%(+2)
    ICM in the Sunday Telegraph … CON 35%(+2), LAB 26%(-2), LIB DEM 31%(+1)
    Ipsos MORI in the News of the World … CON 36%(+4), LAB 30%(-2), LIB DEM 23%(-9)
    YouGov in the Sunday Times … CON 35%(+1), LAB 27%(-2), LIB DEM 29%(nc)

There is also a OnePoll for the People showing the Tories and Lib Dems tied on 32%, with Labour way back in 23%; however, OnePoll, it should be noted, are a new …

Posted in General Election and Polls | 15 Comments

Rightwing newspaper smears: what the posters say

The Tories’ attempts to orchestrate their allies in the rightwing press on Thursday to smear Nick Clegg backfired seriously, generating more publicity (and a fair deal of sympathy) for Nick, starting the worldwide-trending Twitter irony-meme #nickcleggsfault, and leaving the old media looking desperate and out of touch.

And it also inspired some spoof posters – here are three of the best I spotted, courtesy the wonderful folk at We got Rage Against the Machine to #1, we can get the Lib Dems into office! and their 140,000-plus creative members …

Posted in General Election | 4 Comments

Pollwatch Days 17-18 #GE2010 – Lib Dems on 29% in today’s polls

Two new polls tonight:

    Harris in the Mail … CON 34%(+3), LAB 26%(nc), LIB DEM 29%(-1)
    YouGov in the Sun … CON 34%(nc), LAB 29%(nc), LIB DEM 29%(+1)

This makes it one full week during which the Lib Dem surge has been maintained, with the party polling consistently in the high-20%s right up to the mid-30%s. The Tories appear to be stuck in the low 30%s, while Labour is consistently pegged in the mid-to-high 20%s. Amusingly the Mail has headlined its poll – showing a 5% Tory lead over the Lib Dems – as follows: Cameron regaining the ground he lost to

Posted in General Election and Polls | 4 Comments

If you only read five post-debate articles today, make it these five

Here’s my pick of today’s best and most insightful post-debate analysis …

Live-Blogging The Second Brit Debate: A Clegg Triumph (Andrew Sullivan)
A fascinating outsider’s perspective from a US-resident English writer who identifies as a political conservative – and has no doubts that Clegg was the victor of last night’s second debate:

Clegg seems able to grasp hot-button issues and present himself as a fresh approach. … A quote for the night: “You can’t deport 900,000 people when you don’t know where they live.” yes, Clegg again, and he pushes Cameron for a specific number for a cap on immigrants. Cameron has

Posted in News | 1 Comment

LDVideo Second Leaders’ Debate Special: Nick Clegg’s opening and closing statements

Missed last night’s second leaders’ debate on Sky? Want to re-live some of Nick Clegg’s best bits again? Then here, via the Lib Dem Voice YouTube channel, are his opening and closing statements …

Nick Clegg’s opening statement:

Posted in General Election and YouTube | Tagged and | 5 Comments

Telegraph smear story exposed as BBC states Tories behind ‘Get Clegg’ newspaper campaign

Last night the Telegraph splashed its entire front page with a silly smear story about Nick Clegg receiving donations into his bank account. It’s been demolished within 24 hours, as the BBC reports:

Mr Clegg released copies of his bank statements and other paperwork in an attempt to clear up the row. The figures released by the party show donations from three private donors amounting to £19,690 were paid into Mr Clegg’s account between January 2006 and January 2008.

But according to the Lib Dems’ figures Mr Clegg paid £20,437.30 into party coffers between March 2006 and February 2008 for staffing

Posted in News | 16 Comments

3 out of 5 polls point to narrow Clegg victory in televised debate

The verdicts are coming in – you can read what I thought here – and two out of three of tonight’s instant polls show Nick Clegg edging tonight’s Sky News televised debate:

    Angus Reid … Clegg 33%, Cameron 32%, Brown 23%
    ComRes … Clegg 33%, Cameron 30%, Brown 30%
    YouGov … Clegg 32%, Cameron 36%, Brown 29%

What’s clear is that this debate was a much close contest than last week’s first debate, much more evenly matched between the three leaders. Clegg was at least as good, but – to give them their due – both Cameron and in particular Brown had improved.

What’s unclear …

Posted in News | 9 Comments

The Second Leaders’ Debate: live-blog and live-chat

Welcome to Lib Dem Voice’s coverage of the second televised debate between the three main party leaders, an event perhaps even more keenly anticpated than last week’s inaugural debate – though the viewing figures will almost certainly be fewer. As last week, we’re co-hosting live-chat, below, simultaneously with the Mark Reckons blog.

Verdict:

Yes, I think Clegg did very well indeed, at least as good as last week. His closing speech was amazing. His answer on immigration was great: a genuine dividing line, expressed passionately. His only weakness was Trident, where he has the right policy – it must be reviewed before we shell out on an out-dated system – but it’s difficult to sell a review.

The surprise of the night was Brown. I’m not sure it will do him any good, but he was energetic, focused, passionate. He’s stil unable to connect with the public, but he will have apealed to those voters who above all value granite-strong leadership.

Cameron started well, and was pretty level-pegging at the half-way staged. But then he faded, and made almost no memorable points.

The issue which will now dominate the media for the next few days is the issue of Labour leaflets. The Tories and their friends in the press will go after Brown and Labour, and (like the war of Jennifer’s Ear in ’92) it wll bore the public rigid. But what Clegg did tonight was consolidate his performance last week.

Did he win? I think so, but I would, wouldn’t I? What is certain is that once again he has confirmed this is a three-way contest, and the Lib Dems are major players in British politics.

The Live-Blog, as it happened

Posted in News | 21 Comments

Too busy to read all the ‘Get Clegg’ smears in the rightwing press? Here they all are in one handy digest

Look, we have two choices today as Liberal Democrats. We can either get frustrated and depressed at the rightwing media’s decision to fling every possible smear at Nick Clegg and the party – or we can regard it as a massive compliment that, perhaps for the first time ever, the Lib Dems have got the vested interests of the Tory newspapers genuinely frightened that their cosy world is about to be disrupted.

We looked at the Torygraph’s desperate smears in a post last night. But even that weak story looks credible when placed beside the Mail’s attempt to link …

Posted in General Election | 11 Comments

Pollwatch Day 16 #GE2010 – Lib Dems remain in 1st or 2nd place with 27-32% in today’s polls

Five new polls reported tonight – and, yet again, the Lib Dem surge is holding up:

    Ipsos MORI for Reuters … CON 32%(-3), LAB 28%(-2), LIB DEM 32%(+11)
    Harris in Metro … CON 31%(-5), LAB 26%(-1), LIB DEM 30%(+7)
    YouGov in the Sun … CON 33%(+2), LAB 27%(+1), LIB DEM 31%(-3)
    TNS-BRMB … CON 34%(-2), LAB 29%(-4), LIB DEM 30%(+8)
    ComRes for the Independent/ITV … CON 35%(nc), LAB 25%(-1), LIB DEM 27%(+1)

Anthony Wells’ UK Polling Report ‘poll of polls’ now shows the Lib Dems firmly in second place, ahead of Labour, and catching up the Tories:

    CON 33%, LAB 27%, LIB DEM 29%

Two questions will …

Posted in General Election and Polls | 3 Comments
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