Brown double-counts Iraq troop withdrawal figures

So, Gordon Brown proudly announces that 1,000 troops are to be withdrawn from Iraq.

The BBC headlines the story “UK troops in Basra cut by 1,000”.

Job done? Well, one small problem. You see, Brown might say “1,000” and the BBC might report “1,000” but you know what? 500 of those troops were already coming home anyway. So it’d more be a matter of “Brown announces withdrawal of 500 troops and then adds in 500 more in the hope that no-one would remember that was already happening anyway”.

As Ming Campbell says:

“Any troop withdrawal from Iraq is welcome, but this is a cynical …

Posted in News | 3 Comments
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Laws and Clegg named among 100 most influential figures ‘on the right’

It seems unlikely that either David Laws or Nick Clegg is going to appreciate appearing on this list, The Right’s 100 Most Influential People, compiled by Iain Dale and Brian Brivati for the Torygraph. David ranks 66th, Nick 44th – here are their profiles:

66. DAVID LAWS MP
LibDem Spokesman on Work & Pensions
Laws was approached by George Osborne to defect last year but he rebuffed the advance. He is probably the most right-leaning LibDem MP and holds distinctly free market views on a whole range of issues.
His influence will be determined by the degree to which

…

Posted in News | Tagged | 11 Comments

Brown to call 1st Nov election tomorrow

Well, that’s the top tip The Voice has just received from ‘sources in the know’.

Remember, you read it here first if it happens. (Just forget about it if it doesn’t.)

Posted in General Election and News | 27 Comments

What Conservative HQ staff think of Osborne’s tax plans

So, George Osborne wants to change the tax arrangements of non-domiciled residents.

Bit of a problem really that CCHQ staff think the following then:

A change in the tax status of non-domiciled resident individuals will devastate the London shipping business centred on the Baltic Exchange, cost thousands of City jobs, destroy London’s position as the international centre for shipping, undermine its ability to attract key foreign personnel in all its other areas of activity and result in a lower, not a higher, tax take for the Exchequer.

And who is it that thinks that? Well, it’s a quote from the Evening Standard approvingly …

Posted in News | Tagged | 20 Comments

Osborne’s doing the Lambert talk

From Sky News’s Boulton & Co blog:

Under the heading “Third party experts back our position”, one release quoted Richard Lambert, head of the CBI saying “the sums mentioned by Mr Osborne may be small for these people.”

When I contacted the CBI, they were rather surprised to find Lambert had been enlisted as a supporter…. He actually has a much more nuanced position than the press release implied, basically saying Osborne’s policy might work but might not… He neither endorses nor criticises the policy.

So at the prompting of the CBI, I expect a fresh, “modified” press release to be

…

Posted in News | 2 Comments
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The Eastbourne Conservative barchart challenge

The 2005 general election and 2007 local elections in Eastbourne were Conservative-Liberal Democrat fights (score so far: 1 Conservative MP, 1 Lib Dem run council). So anyone care to speculate where this barchart, which graces the latest Conservative leaflet comes from?

Eastbourne Conservative barchart

I await with eager anticipation the usual cries of outrage from the Conservative / Labour (delete as appropriate) hacks who of course believe 100% that they are perfect and it’s absolutely outrageous for anyone to criticise them and anyway, don’t you know that David Lloyd George …

Posted in News | 11 Comments

Vince blasts “feeble and unfunded” Tory tax plans

Lib Dem shadow chancellor Vince Cable has criticised the tax plans of his Tory counterpart, George Osborne:

“Any expectation that the Conservatives had a radical and meaningful plan for fairer taxes has been blown out of the water with this utterly feeble set of half promises and unfunded commitments.

“The Tories have apparently made a large open-ended commitment without explaining how it will be paid for.

“They have borrowed from the Liberal Democrats the idea of taking action on non-domicile residents in the UK, but their proposal is completely inadequate and seems to be entirely voluntary.”

Posted in News | 2 Comments

James Purnell: the hole gets deeper

Liberal Democrat Voice reported previously on the little local photoshopping trouble Labour minister James Purnell has run into (and which is the cause of this outbreak of photos around the internet).

In brief: he turned up late for a visit with three other MPs to the Tameside General Hospital. However, when the photo of the visit was published, all four MPs were there, standing next to each other.

The MP and the hospital have since given slightly – but perhaps very significantly – different versions of events. As the BBC reported:

A statement from the hospital trust appeared to

…

Posted in News | Tagged | Leave a comment

What do the Tories have against widows?

Desperately trying to pull rabbits out of hats ahead of their party conference, David Cameron has proudly trumpeted Tory plans to give tax breaks to married couple families.

But it’s not just those irresponsible couples who ‘live in sin’ and refuse to conform to the Tory stereotype of who makes good parents who will be penalised – as Vince Cable forcefully notes, so too will widows and widowers struggling to bring up kids on their own:

“It would appear that the so-called Tory tax cut for families is not a tax cut at all, but an increase in tax credits;

…

Posted in News | 5 Comments

Gordon’s snap poll could cause postal vote chaos

That’s the warning from John Turner, chief executive of the Association of Electoral Administrators, as reported in today’s Scotsman:

Turner said: “If there is an autumn election there will be a significant number of administrative problems. I’m fearful of the possibility of things going wrong administratively because of the pressures involved.”

Concerns centre on the problematic postal voting system, which continues to place election officers under a huge burden. The AEA has called on the Government to change the law to extend the time limit between the dissolution of parliament and an election by at least another five working days

…

Posted in General Election | 4 Comments

Wild election rumour no.94: Zac Goldsmith defection

From UK Daily Pundit:

Rumours are rife that Tory toff, Zac Goldsmith, is about to defect to the Lib Dems.

Posted in News | 22 Comments

Top of the Blogs: The Golden Dozen #32

As the dogs of war circle around the Pedigree Chum of electoral conflict, Lib Dem Voice takes what might be its last peacetime foray into the blogosphere. As usual, we’ll review the top seven click-throughs from the Lib Dem Blogs aggregator, together with five hand-picked key posts that deserve targetting.

So quicker than you can count to four, here are the the top seven posts:

1. Hampstead and Kilburn Raring to Go on Jonathan Fryer’s blog
Ed Fordham MP has a certain ring to it, doesn’t it? Jonathan thinks so.

Posted in Best of the blogs | 2 Comments

Has Grant Shapps been coaching Caroline Spelman?

I only ask, because Caroline Spelman has just been on News 24 claiming the Conservatives won eight of the last nine by-elections held on Thursday.

One small problem.

They didn’t.

Make that two, rather than eight.

Another one to add to the list of untrue comments made to the media by the Conservatives (who have, of course, also admitted that you can’t believe what their own candidates say).

Posted in News | Tagged | 1 Comment

Opinion: Will the Gordon backlash start here?

It’s certainly looking like the cautiously prudent ex-Chancellor is about to prove what a reckless gambler he is now he’s made it to the top, and become Prime Minister.

The momentum behind an early general election appears to be unstoppable. Having marched his troops to the top of the hill it’s hard to see how Gordon can march them back down again without destroying his credibility as a strong, British leader who is proud of the British strength he has gained in this strong Britain.

Labour’s dream scenario is of course this: our granite-faced, crisis-tested Prime Minister, having caught his political opponents on the hop, will romp to victory with a bigger majority than Tony Blair achieved in 2005. Which may yet happen.

But how will the media, and indeed the public, react to a cut-and-run election from a man who has carefully cultivated his image as the anti-Blair, an unspun, straight-talking dour doer? Mr Brown has deliberately spent the last three months trying to lose the reputation for slick opportunism Labour acquired under his predecessor. How will he justify his rush to the polls at the first sniff of victory?

Posted in General Election and Op-eds | 11 Comments

What did you do in the 40s, Mr Purnell?

The Voice had a good chuckle earlier at this story about an NHS Trust faking a photograph so that Culture Secretary James Purnell could appear with three other MPs after he turned up late for a photo op visit.

Mr Purnell has made it clear it wasn’t his fault:

“I didn’t think a faked photo would be produced and indeed I didn’t see this photo before it went out and if I had done it wouldn’t have agreed to it.”

We believe you, James, so fulsome are you in your denial. But hunting through our image archive, we notice you may …

Posted in News | Tagged | 3 Comments

Council by-elections: what’s been going on?

Over the last six weeks there have been twenty council by-elections in the key Westminster constituencies* for the next general election. Looking at these twenty results provides a much more useful story of what is happening in the areas which really matter to each party than overall council by-election results.

What story do they tell?

Good news for the Liberal Democrats in the Lib Dem – Tory battleground seats: an average swing of 7.1% swing from Tory to Lib Dem with a net gain of one for the Lib Dems in the four contests.

Good news for the Liberal Democrats in the Lib …

Posted in News | 7 Comments

The fake Labour bar chart: coming soon to a letterbox near you

At their party conference, Labour were distributing various nationally produced full colour leaflets for local use. One of them – about crime – includes a bar chart.

“Ah,” I hear some of you say, “but how can a national leaflet contain an accurate and reasonable bar chart for use locally?”

“Oh, that’s easy,” I hear some of  you say, “it’d be a national bar chart, won’t it? Perhaps the number of MPs in Parliament? That would be same wherever the leaflet goes out.”

Well – that would be a decent excuse. Except that here’s the bar chart which the leaflet contains: 

…

Posted in News | 15 Comments

Tories talked green, but go blue

Tory Shadow Chancellor George Osbourne has today ruled out many of the environmental proposals made by the Gummer-Goldsmith Quality of Life commission. Encouraged by David Cameron to “think the unthinkable”, Gummer and Goldsmith have had their findings unthought by their bosses.

So much for ‘go green, vote blue’. Don’t hold your breath for green proposals from the Tories – you’ll have gone blue before you see any!

Posted in News | 1 Comment

Opinion: Mind the Gender Gap!

Surprisingly, fewer women (18%) than men (21%) support the LibDems, while for both Labour and the Tories the opposite is true.

Why?

Perhaps an explanation lies in Ming’s remark in Brighton last week that “we can’t represent a country if we’re not representative of it”.

School-gate mums and working parents are an important demographic, but not one of our parliamentarians is a mother of young children. It’s hard to show we empathise with family issues when women juggling politics and family life are all but invisible in the Lib Dems.

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 16 Comments

How ready are the Tories?

Election fever continues, and the Conservatives are ready for a snap general election, according to the BBC:

“The party has a £10m war chest, a draft manifesto and candidates selected in its top 200 target seats, sources close to leader David Cameron have said.”

Which is interesting, because they have not selected a candidate here in Islington South & Finsbury. It seems Dave accepts that with no Conservatives on the Council, and just 484 votes between Lib Dems and Labour here last time, there are better spots to plant his blue tree.

* Bridget Fox is Liberal …

Posted in General Election | 7 Comments

Opinion: Where for Land Value Tax after conference vote?

A week after the Lib Dem Conference debate on “Green Tax Switch Mark 2”, how does our tax policy look from an ALTERnate perspective (i.e. not Chris Rennard’s)? Well, I’ve almost sold out of my book’s first printing (would someone like to post a review on Amazon?) and most LVT supporters who were there agree that having Vince Cable claim membership of ALTER and fulsome support for its aims in his summating speech was worth more than any show of hands in the conference hall.

Even Arnie Gibbons, who until recently used to move away – or mutter most foul – on hearing any discussion at Conference about Land Tax, was quite nice about us. We are accepted in polite circles – well Liberal ones anyway.

Posted in Conference and Op-eds | 2 Comments

Trouble brewing for Tories?

Sky News’s Jon Craig is trumpeting the news that Buckinghamshire Tory MP, John Bercow, will not be attending his party’s conference in Blackpool next week.

For some time now, he’s been billed as the Tory most likely to cross the floor and join Quentin Davies on the Labour benches. Bercow’s absence is ‘fuelling speculation’ ((c) all media organisations everywhere when trying to justify passing on hearsay).

More interesting is Jon’s last para:

In a further sign of turmoil and panic in the Conservative Party, Shadow Home Secretary and defeated leadership candidate David Davis has cancelled all his appearances at fringe

…

Posted in News | 10 Comments

It’s Boris!

Yes, ‘the blondest suicide note in history’ has romped home to victory in the Tories’ London mayoral primary. The results were:

  • Boris Johnson: 15,661 votes
  • Victoria Borwick: 1,869
  • Andrew Boff: 1,674
  • Warwick Lightfoot: 609
  • The vote was open to all seven million of London’s voters, so it’s good to see a super turn-out of 0.2%.

    As LDV reported last week, though, the Tories may just have cut their own throats. And anyone who listened to Boris being interviewed on BBC Radio 4’s Today Programme this morning might be forgiven for wondering how on earth the Tories think they’ll sustain a credible campaign with …

    Posted in News | Tagged | 12 Comments

    The perils of making forecasts based on opinion polls

    Ooops.

    Posted in Polls | Leave a comment

    Gordon – will he or won’t he?

    News reaches The Voice from our network of spies at Labour conference that there are unusual levels of activity.

    The big donors are very much in evidence and every effort is being driven towards manic fundraising.

    All the usual suspects like agents, PPCs and sitting MPs are being whisked off for readiness training.

    Printing companies are taking firm bookings on election material.

    The frenzy of activity is such that some highups on the political journalist stage are humming and hahing about whether they should even bother making the journey to Blackpool for the Conservative conference when they should be hovering near the Palace waiting …

    Posted in General Election | 7 Comments

    Support from the strangest places

    The government should learn from the Liberal Democrats and look at more ways to tax Britain’s top earners, Treasury Minister Angela Eagle says.

    So said the BBC yesterday.

    Posted in News | Leave a comment

    A rogue poll, or are we kidding ourselves?

    There’s no point obsessing about every poll, but… having reported last week’s ICM survey for The Guardian showing the Lib Dems with a 20% share of the vote, balance compels me to mention tonight’s Channel 4 YouGov poll showing the Lib Dems with just 13%, the party’s lowest YouGov rating since January 2006.

    YouGov has (as Lib Dem chief executive Chris Rennard remarked on LDV last week) been consistently recording lower vote-shares for the Lib Dems than other pollsters for some months now.

    Personally, I find it hard to believe that – if this poll is accurate …

    Posted in Polls | Tagged | 8 Comments

    Warning: this post contains traces of Iain Dale

    In all my excitement yesterday at the posting on Iain Dale’s Diary of Iain Dale’s Guide to Blogging 2007: Top 100 Liberal Democrat Blogs – an article trailing the publication this week of Iain Dale’s Guide To Political Blogging In The UK, edited by Iain Dale – I forgot to mention that Iain Dale’s Guide To Political Blogging In The UK also includes articles not by Iain Dale.

    The following four chapters are by Lib Dem contributors:

  • Blogging: what’s in it for political parties? – Mark Pack
  • Why MPs Should Blog! – Lynne Featherstone MP
  • The state of Lib Dem
  • …

    Posted in Online politics | Tagged and | 3 Comments

    Tories suspend Andrew Pelling MP

    The Tory MP for Croydon Central, Andrew Pelling, who is also a member of the Greater London Assembly, has been suspended from the Tory party, following his arrest last week on suspicion of assaulting his wife.

    This is the Tory statement as reported by the BBC:

    “Following a meeting today with the Chief Whip, Andrew Pelling’s case has been referred to the Conservative Party’s Ethics and Integrity Committee. Until a conclusion is reached, he has been suspended from the Conservative Party Whip.”

    Posted in News | 3 Comments

    Vince hits out at Gordon’s ‘Big Tentism’

    Lib Dem deputy leader Vince Cable has delivered a typically withering-yet-courteous assessment of Gordon Brown’s determination to assemble a ‘government of all the talents’.

    Speaking at a Fabian Society fringe meeting at the Labour party conference in Bournemouth, he’s quoted by the BBC saying:

    “I am concerned about what I would regard as big tentism – this attempt to get everybody into the same fold. I think it is an attempt to create – in the nicest possible way – a one-party state.”

    He likened Mr Brown to Jomo Kenyatta, former president of Kenya, for whom he once worked and

    …

    Posted in News | 5 Comments
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