13 January 2025 – the overnight press releases

  • Record 518,000 trolley waits of 12 hours or more last year – up 400-fold in less than a decade
  • Rennie comments ahead of Glen Sannox first crossing

Record 518,000 trolley waits of 12 hours or more last year – up 400-fold in less than a decade

Liberal Democrat Health and Social Care spokesperson Helen Morgan MP has urged Wes Streeting to produce an emergency plan to tackle “shocking and dangerous” A&E wait times as the government “looks to be asleep at the wheel”.

Last year there were a record 518,000 waits of 12 hours or longer in A&E from a decision to admit, research by the Liberal Democrat has revealed. Staggeringly, that is nearly 400-times more 12 hour waits than 2015’s figure of 1,306.

The figures also revealed a sharp rise of more than 100,000 12 hour trolley waits on 2023’s figure of 415,000, a jump of 25%. Prior to the pandemic in 2019 there were just 8,272 trolley waits of 12 hours or longer. Last year that figure rose 63-fold to 518,000.

In December alone, 54,000 patients waited 12 hours or longer in A&E from a decision to admit, up 23-fold on the December 2019’s figure of just 2,356.

Long waits at A&E are extremely dangerous and the Royal College of Emergency Medicine estimates that in 2023 14,000 deaths were associated with long waits in A&E.

Liberal Democrat Health and Social Care Spokesperson Helen Morgan MP called the figures “shocking” and said the new government “looks to be asleep at the wheel”. The Party is calling on the Health Secretary to come forward with an emergency plan to tackle this crisis to protect patients from this ongoing crisis.

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Welcome to my day: 13 January 2025 – doubt, faith, the Liberal Democrats and me

I took in a movie at the weekend and, somewhat unusually, I was given reason to ponder about my liberalism and what I do to aid its cause. “Conclave” is a film based on a fictional selection of a new Pope and, whilst not wanting to give anything away, from the perspective of a Catholic Liberal Democrat Returning Officer, I was reminded of many of the dilemmas that I face in that role and in my wider “liberal bureaucracy”.

I am by no means an active Catholic. I feel vaguely guilty about that, but not so guilty as to do anything about it, although I am usually moved to light a candle when visiting a Cathedral and thinking about my rather more devout grandmother. One of my qualms about the Catholic Church as an institution is its bureaucracy (ironic, really) and a sense that it has rather lost sight of its calling. But I acknowledge that it has a potentially significant role in the world and that its influence on how its followers are supposed to lead their lives cannot be easily disregarded.

And a papal conclave is, from the perspective of a seasoned Returning Officer like myself, utterly fascinating and in many ways little different from the election of a Party Leader, with conservatives against radicals, regional power blocs, all against a backdrop of external commentary and conjecture. Being in charge of the process can sometimes feel a bit lonely, especially in some of the more challenging selections. You may see behaviour that troubles you but, as an independent arbiter of the rules, what responsibility do you have for addressing that? Sometimes, candidates behave towards you, or their competitors, in ways that can be very testing. I have from time to time felt under great stress but, I think, it goes with the territory. With power comes responsibility, and if that doesn’t worry you, you’re almost certainly not a good person to be given either.

But for me, the concept of certainty was the aspect that challenges me most. I am, it must be admitted, not a “retail politician”, and find the idea of saying ” this is something, and if we do it, it will make your life better” slightly absurd. I trained, in part, as a statistician, and my day job requires me to make judgements based on what can often be limited data. There is often little certainty to be had there.

Modern politics leaves little room for the doubtful or unsure, with its increasing “fifteen second soundbite” mentality which encourages bold statements regardless of whether they’re actually based on anything credible. The idea that a politician might be interviewed and say “we think that this will work” rather than “this will make things better” is for the birds. And that leaves me as a slightly uncomfortable participant in the political process.

That’s why I’m a strong believer in the ‘political guardrails’ that have managed our politics for so long and campaigns to make them more robust, such as spending and donation limits, press freedom (and responsibility), independent regulators. Just as our rights protect us from the power of an overmighty state, rules that diffuse political power and prevent super-wealthy individuals from distorting our political debate are a critical part of a participatory, inclusive democracy. It’s also why my roles in the Party have traditionally been those that free up others to do the campaigning and policy stuff, because few people enter politics to manage the minutiae of organisational bureaucracy.

It is, indeed, one of the reasons why I continue as a member of the Liberal Democrat Voice editorial team, enabling the existence of a platform where Liberal Democrat members and supporters can discuss ideas and debate the issues of the day in a courteous and mutually respectful manner. Call me old-fashioned and or rather naïve, if you like.

So, today, we offer, apart from the usual coverage of press releases, pieces on transport policy and on joining the Liberal Democrats, and a response from a member of the party’s Federal Board to the General Election Review published yesterday. There may be other stuff too, but I’ll let that be a surprise.

And finally, it is apparently National Rubber Ducky Day and so, to mark that, here is Little Richard, singing his own tribute…

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11-12 January 2025 – the weekend’s press releases

  • Reeves in China: Chancellor must come back now with serious plan for growth
  • Cole-Hamilton: Scottish Water must ensure no gaps in sewage monitoring

Reeves in China: Chancellor must come back now with serious plan for growth

Responding to the Chancellor’s announcements in China amidst the ongoing market turmoil at home, Liberal Democrat Treasury Spokesperson, Daisy Cooper MP said:

The Chancellor must come back now to urgently address the ongoing crisis in the markets and announce a serious plan for growth.

She should reverse the misguided and self-defeating jobs tax, scrap the broken business rates system and start rebuilding our trade relationship with Europe, to fix

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General election review first thoughts

So the General Election review is out. See my earlier post for the basics and some thoughts on the rejection of the idea of a “progressive alliance.”

As promised here are my initial thoughts and I’d welcome yours in the comments.

This was much easier reading than previous reviews given that we had done well. So often, we’ve spent our General Elections waiting for something to go horribly wrong and for once, it didn’t.

I found some very sensible acknowledgements of the factors that worked and recommendations for the future. I loved the way that the recommendations were organised into Continue, Build and Address.

Tim Farron’s foreword was very clear about the current political environment and talked of our role as the antidote to populism in way that will resonate with many of us:

The antidote is to build deep relationships with our communities, to serve them at an immersive level, to ‘keep in touch and get things done’, to win trust and to continually earn it. There is no human silver bullet to deal with the evil that is seeping into western politics, but we Liberal Democrats have found the closest thing to it. If we are to defend our country against the rise in populism, we will do so by forensically loving and serving our neighbours so that they do not feel the need to reject ‘the system’ and opt for the extremists.

So,

The good

It was good to be reminded of the four years of foundation building we did to get the result we achieved, how everyone worked together across regions and states to build strong local campaigns and how they prepared the next generation of MPs.

Singled out for praise, deservedly, were Mike Dixon, CEO; Dave McCobb, Director of Field Campaigns; Rhiannon Leaman, Chief of Staff to the leader; and, Olly Grender, Director of Communications.

But why?

It is our observation that they did this by avoiding the usual pitfalls that
other small, senior teams have been criticised for in past reviews, e.g the ‘Wheelhouse’ executive in 2015 or the inner team in 2019; namely: group-think, a lack of accountability and transparency and failing to take others with them.

Instead, interviewees were unanimous and generous in their praise of this team for their openness to challenge, the forthright and regular internal communications with the various party structures and the membership more broadly and the way in which they secured and built a cohesive one=party approach from very early on.

Such a list is always going to be short. I know we will all have people we want to add in. From a Scottish perspective, our outgoing Chief Executive Rachel Palma Randle and our Chief of Staff James Parry were vital in getting Scotland and Scottish messaging right.

It was good to see the long explainer emails and internal communications recognised for promoting understanding of our actions.

The stunts came in for particular praise – 90% of those who responded were very positive about them.

It’s worth saying that a couple of weeks in to the campaign I had lunch with some loved ones who have nothing to do with politics whatever. They had no idea about Sunak getting wet, his tactless football comments in Wales, his visit to the Titanic Quarter, all the things that we political nerds were laughing at. They did know, however, that Ed Davey had gone down a water slide and he’d been talking aobut mental health when he did it. They had also noted Daisy’s brilliant and opportunistic photobombing of that Sunak event with her Lib Dem posters.

However, not all universal praise for this approach – mentioned need to get donors on board with the evidence that it works. That should be an easier sell for next time.

 

While perhaps obvious it is clear that preparing for this election early was key to success. This requires a shift in mindset and culture whereby campaigning is a constant and all elections – Welsh, Scottish, English Locals, Mayorals, etc. fit within a singular strategic framework with the baton being handed to a different lead and/or leader to deliver.

Candidate support in terms of policy was fantastic and it was good to see that recognised.

Candidate support too was cited as a real highlight by many the panel spoke to: standard letters, resources and having quick, practical help at hand in a timely manner won praise across the party with one election veteran describing it as the “best it has ever been”.

Now I definitely told them that in those exact words and I’m fairly certain I can’t have been alone in that. I’d just add in that the daily emails we got as candidates had all the information we needed to know and were written with an engaging style that made you want as well as need to need them. They were clearly put together by someone with a sense of humour too, which always helps.

They also identified problems with candidate selections

Would-be candidates are often left in the dark about when selections are taking place. This uncertainty means the party is undoubtedly missing out on talent. Evidence also suggests uncertainty can affect diversity – robbing would-be candidates of the time and space needed to give thought to what running for candidacy means. Local parties too have expressed frustration with the process, for example being caught between central functions encouraging them to start selections and then being told there is no Returning Officer to enable this to happen at the State/Region level.

The answer to this is:

building on the oversight role that theJoint Candidates Sub-Committee (JCSC) has by giving it the responsibility of setting and agreeing a single set of approval and selection processes for Westminster candidates and setting an overall selection timetable for all seats.

This is something that needs resourcing, though. And we urgently need to recruit and train more Returning Officers, candidate assessors, facilitators and staff to administer the above.

A word of praise for development seats:

Finally, as a party we must do more to recognise those in development seats who not only work outside of election year to develop their seats but then go on to give considerable time and energy (often at significant cost to them) to help others win. As a party we are very fortunate to have wonderful candidates stand as representatives on our behalf – we must ensure that they are all equally valued.

The panel will be making more detailed recommendations on this point specifically in a motion to party conference.

Part of that for me has to be making sure that the seats that receive help give it out too. Many of them do, supporting local elections and by-elections in other areas, but I think there should be a much stronger element of helping them properly develop, recruit members and really get more for the effort they put in.

I was pleased to see that the efforts of Lib Dems Abroad to engage with voters abroad did not go unnoticed – and there was a clear call for us to resolve the barriers to them doing more.

Where the review doesn’t go far enough

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The Lib Dem General Election review is out..

The party’s review of the General Election campaign has been published this morning, so we can all put our feet up in front of the fire on a cold Winter’s afternoon and digest its findings.

The review was written by a panel chaired by Tim Farron. The other members were Cllr Ade Adeyemo, Paul Farthing, Cllr Donna Harris, Cllr Emma Holland-Lindsay, Mike O’Carroll and Cllr Sally Pattle.

In an email to members, Tim Farron said:

We have returned to the House of Commons as the third largest party, a real force to be reckoned with under Ed’s leadership.

While it goes without saying, nevertheless it is important to be said, the result was exceptional. As Chair of the Review, I offer my full and unreserved praise to Ed and to every single member, helper, donor and staff member who helped make it happen.

However, it would be foolish to not take the opportunity to explore what we could do differently next time to help make sure the next General Election result is even better than the last.

Our recommendations fall into three groupings:

How to repeat and expand our target seat successes, especially if the next General Election is in less favourable circumstances;

How to broaden our successes so that while targeting wins us seats our other activities strengthen the party across the country; and

Improving key internal processes, especially our Westminster candidates system.
There are challenging recommendations in our Review.

They will require of us all a willingness to be adaptable to change. However, none of the recommendations are written to be a criticism of past actions. They are based on review submissions and interviews and a strong desire of the Review team to ensure our strategy and processes are ready for the challenges ahead. We will also be following up with some further specific recommendations regarding membership.

We should be under no doubt there are difficult times ahead. While our greatly improved standing in Parliament offers a shining beacon of liberalism, across the UK and the world, extremism and populism are sadly becoming the norm. We, as a party, have the antidote to this, but we need to be election-ready for the fight ahead.

You can read the review here.

I am going to make a cup of tea and start reading through the document. I’ll  put my thoughts in a new post.

Tim has also been talking to the Guardian about one of recommendations, namely that we shouldn’t have some sort of anti Tory progressive alliance. He said:

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Tom Arms’ World Review

Why is Trump after Greenland?

Trump has three reasons for wanting to acquire Greenland:

  1. The world’s largest island has substantial deposits of 43 out of 50 of the “rare earth” minerals.
  2. It guards the eastern approach to the melting Northwest Passage
  3. It straddles the route that Russian ballistic missiles would take in an attack on America’s East coast.

“Rare earth” minerals are essential to the building of batteries, computer chips and modern defense equipment. The country with the largest rare earth deposits is China. This makes Americans very nervous.

However, just because the minerals are there does not mean they can be easily extracted. Engineers have so far located 150 potential mining sites. But Arctic conditions, a labour shortage and the indigenous Innuits respect for their environment, means that after ten years, only one mine is operational.

In the early days of American exploration hundreds died searching for an ice-free passage through the Canadian Arctic linking Europe and Asia. Global warming means that within a few years ships will finally be breaking through the Northwest Passage. Greenland sits at the eastern end of what will become a major shipping lane.

It has long been recognised that the shortest route for Russian missiles attacking the US is over Greenland and Canada. That is why the US has established an early-warning system at Pituffik Space Base. Some 650 military personnel man radar systems and monitor space debris from their station 750 miles inside Greenland’s Arctic Circle.

But Trump does not need to own Greenland to place military bases there. The US has the right to build whatever military systems it requires under a 1951 treaty with the Danes, who are responsible for Greenland’s defence and foreign affairs. Trump can construct 50 more bases if he wants them.

However, it is also clear that ownership would give America greater control in other areas. It would, for instance, enable the US to introduce lax mining regulations in order to fully exploit the island’s untapped natural resources. This would, however, run counter to the daily lifestyle of the 57,000 Greenlanders who place a high premium on maintaining their unique – albeit cold – way of life.

Panama

American conservatives fought tooth and nail against relinquishing control of the Panama Canal. When the new revised treaty came before the Senate in 1977 it squeaked by with just one vote to spare.

It is not surprising therefore that ultra-conservative Donald Trump wants it back.

Unfortunately for the soon-to-be president, the reasons he has given for the re-acquisition range from outright lies to commercially dubious.

To start with, Trump says that the 50-miles of locks linking the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans is now occupied by Chinese troops. Thus America’s security is threatened. Next, is the claim that Panama is singling out American shipping and charging it unfair prices.

It is true that China has invested heavily in Panama since 2017 when the Panamanians switched diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to Mainland China.  The Chinese have built bridges, a railway line and a cruise ship terminal. The Hong Kong-based company Hutchison Port Holdings has also secured the contract to manage terminal facilities at both ends of the canal.

But there are no Chinese soldiers in Panama. That is a lie. If there were troops that would be a casus belli for US intervention. Under the terms of the existing US-Panama treaty, America retains the right to intervene if its security interests are threatened.

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Observations of an ex pat: Deep state

What is the “Deep State”? How will President Donald Trump dismantle it? And why is it more likely that he will end up re-constructing it with a deeper, more biased political complexion.

If you are Donald Trump and his supporters the deep state is a living, breathing conspiracy  of liberals who thwart their ambitions and conservative beliefs of how America should be run.

The deep state are a swamp of the journalists, teachers, university professors, lawyers, judges, civil libertarians, civil servants and politicians who believe that Trump lost the 2020 election and should be held accountable for his many alleged crimes.

To Trump and his supporters the deep state is comprised of regulators who block libertarian-minded Republican businessmen from opening an open-cast mine in a national park. Or they are the petti-fogging bureaucrat who stops them from planting a vegetable patch in their front garden. In short, the enemies of the deep state are those who believe that the state has gone too far in encroaching on individual liberties.

Americans love to hark back to the free-wheeling early days of the Republic. In 1800 the ratio of un-elected federal and state employees to the population as a whole was 0.05 percent. In 2024 the proportion had increased five-fold.

There are good reasons for the multiplying civil service. Over the past 225 years the world has become more complex. Special interest groups have proliferated. Elected officials have passed millions of new laws which now require an army of civil servants to administer.

A series of surveys by Partnership for Public Service show that roughly 60 percent of those civil servants are Democrats as opposed to 45 percent in the population as a whole. They also donate to liberal causes, especially if they are involved in environmental protection, diplomacy, education, social services and civil rights—the areas where Trump wants the biggest cuts. The military, homeland security and immigration are largely immune from the Republican axe and enmity. Not surprisingly their ranks are disproportionately filled with conservative Republicans.

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10 January 2025 – today’s press releases

  • Citizens Advice: pensioners had “legs cut out from underneath them” after Winter Fuel Payment scrapped
  • Local election delays: Lib Dems accuse Conservative councils of “running scared” and “silencing democracy”
  • Reeves in China: Chancellor needs to return and announce “plan B” for growth
  • Cole-Hamilton calls for network of drug consumption rooms ahead of Glasgow facility opening

Citizens Advice: pensioners had “legs cut out from underneath them” after Winter Fuel Payment scrapped

Responding to Citizens Advice saying that they have seen a surge in households seeking help with energy bills in 2024, Liberal Democrat Work and Pensions spokesperson Steve Darling MP said:

People are being hammered by energy bill rises with millions of vulnerable pensioners especially struggling after the government scrapped the Winter Fuel Payment for the vast majority.

Older people, many already choosing between heating and eating, had their legs cut out from underneath them by the government’s cruel decision to slash this vital support.

The government needs to recognise their disastrous error and get these vulnerable pensioners the support they deserve or risk millions suffering.

Local election delays: Lib Dems accuse Conservative councils of “running scared” and “silencing democracy”

The Liberal Democrats have accused Conservative councils of “running scared” and “silencing democracy” as the deadline for councils to apply for election postponement expires.

The Government gave councils until today to say if they would prefer to cancel May’s local elections while devolution plans for changes to local authorities, with many set to become unitary, are discussed.

Almost all councils that have called for elections to be cancelled are Conservative-run, including several in areas like Devon and Surrey where the Liberal Democrats won swathes of seats from the Conservatives at the General Election.

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ALDC’s by-election report 9 January 2025

We are starting the starting the year strong with a gain in North Devon DC, the only by-election held this week. In the Instow ward, Cllr Becky Coombs, who previously stood an independent, represented the Lib Dems this time around and came first comfortably over the Tories! Congratulations to Becky and the North Devon team for the win.

North Devon DC, Instow
Liberal Democrat (Becky Coombs): 197 (38.1%, new)
Conservative: 166 (32.1%, +1.8%)
Reform: 88 (17.0%, new)
Independent: 49 (9.5%, new)
Green Party: 17 (3.3%, -11.1%)

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Transport provision in the UK is in crisis

Tuesday morning. First day back for quite a few people, as a number of schools across Hertfordshire had an INSET day on Monday, 6th January. Our household was no different. Although I returned to work on Thursday, 2nd January, the rest of my family started their various work and school commitments the day after, on Tuesday, 7th January. 

We live in a beautiful Welwyn Garden City, however my daughter goes to a Catholic school in St Albans.  We have to pay for a private bus as the public bus provision is not always the best. We accept it; it was our choice to do it and therefore we need to “embrace” some of these financial challenges. However, I find it absolutely staggering how much you often have to pay for some of these services. Moreover, the first day in and the bus breaks down. It is often delayed. The cost of quarterly transport (6.4 miles each way) is £300 – £350 per term/ quarter. Too much? I think so. 

In my experience, in many countries across Europe, some of these costs, especially if they include children, are subsided. Furthermore, even adult transport are much cheaper. According to the European Ferry Travel, in Paris, A single fare price on the London Underground between zones 1-2 will cost me £3.20 at peak times, and £2.60 off-peak. Travelling around Paris is much cheaper; a single fare comes in a saving of £1.58.  Travelling around Madrid on a single fare in Zone A is almost half the price, and would save me £1.22. In order to use the metro services in Lisbon, you must purchase a prepaid card for the value of €0.50. A single ticket allows you to use the network for 60 minutes. These tickets can be used on the metro, trams, and buses. For a 24-hour ticket, costs start at €6.40; a saving of £2.25 compared to the London Underground.

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9 January 2025 – today’s press releases

  • Food prices set to rise: news will be hammer blow for millions already choosing between heating and eating
  • NHS stats: winter “one of the most brutal on record” as Lib Dems call on Streeting to bring forward emergency plan to protect patients
  • ‘Bed blocking’ has already cost NHS £165 million this winter as Davey calls on govt to finish social care review this year
  • Market turmoil: Chancellor should cancel China trip for emergency growth statement
  • Oxford Farming Conference: Reed’s “regret” not good enough – Starmer must reverse family farm tax
  • More than 440,000 police officer and staff days lost to mental health since 2019

Food prices set to rise: news will be hammer blow for millions already choosing between heating and eating

Responding to the British Retail Consortium saying that food prices will rise by 4.2% in the latter half of this year as “retailers battle the £7 billion of increased costs in 2025 from the Budget”, Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesperson Daisy Cooper MP said:

This news will come as a hammer blow to families across the country. Millions of people are already having to choose between heating and eating and the prospect of even more pressure on stretched budgets will be incredibly worrying.

The new government is faced with the enormous challenge of cleaning up the Conservative Party’s economic vandalism, but their approach so far risks repeating more mistakes.

It’s now clear as day that the Chancellor’s misguided national insurance hike is only going to hammer household budgets further by forcing up prices. Ministers must recognise their error and scrap this tax hike immediately.

NHS stats: winter “one of the most brutal on record” as Lib Dems call on Streeting to bring forward emergency plan to protect patients

Responding to NHS England saying that this is the busiest year on record for emergency services, Liberal Democrat Health and Social Care spokesperson Helen Morgan MP said:

This winter threatens to be one of the most brutal on record. Patients are suffering through deadly delays and staff are already at breaking point.

There can be no overstating just dangerous this situation is after years of the previous Conservative government’s shameful neglect of our NHS.

It is of paramount importance that the new government grips this crisis urgently. That must start with the Health Secretary producing an emergency plan in the coming days to protect patients from this ongoing disaster.

‘Bed blocking’ has already cost NHS £165 million this winter as Davey calls on govt to finish social care review this year

  • This winter has already seen 417,220 bed days taken up by patients that were well enough to be discharged – costing the NHS £165 million or £4.8 million a day
  • 12,271 of England’s 103,277 hospital beds have been taken up by people who are fit to be discharged everyday this winter – the equivalent of just under one in eight
  • Lib Dem Leader Ed Davey has called on the government to complete its social care review by the end of the year to take pressure off hospitals

This winter has already seen 417,220 bed days taken up by patients that were fit enough to be discharged, the equivalent of 1 in 8, costing the NHS £165 million in just over a month research by the Liberal Democrats has revealed.

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WATCH: Alex Cole-Hamilton demands action to help babies born addicted to drugs

At First Minister’s Questions today, Alex Cole-Hamilton implored John Swinney to do more to prevent babies being born addicted to drugs and to ensure that pregnant women had access to support to help them recover from addiction.

He said:

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8 January 2025 – today’s press releases

  • Children’s Wellbeing Bill: Conservatives using victims as “political football”
  • Davey: Adult Social Care Commission must be completed within one year
  • MP Calls for Greater Support for Off-Grid Homes

Children’s Wellbeing Bill: Conservatives using victims as “political football”

Commenting on the Conservative amendment to the Children’s Wellbeing and Schools Bill, Liberal Democrat Education Spokesperson Munira Wilson MP said:

The Conservatives are using the victims of this scandal as a political football.

The Conservatives alongside Reform, goaded along by Elon Musk will be voting for a motion which will not secure a national inquiry for victims of child sexual abuse, but instead it would kill these crucial child protection measures completely.

The Liberal Democrats will be putting forward our own amendment to take real action to tackle the child sex abuse scandal, by implementing the recommendations from the national independent inquiry in full.

Davey: Adult Social Care Commission must be completed within one year

Responding to the Health and Social Care Committee’s evidence session on Adult Social Care Reform with Sir Andrew Dilnot CBE, Liberal Democrat Leader Ed Davey said:

Andrew Dilnot is absolutely right that this review could be completed within one year.

The social care crisis is forcing patients to be treated in hospital corridors while elderly people sell their homes to pay for care. After years of being let down so badly by the Conservatives, they cannot afford to wait while the government drags its heels for another three years.

MP Calls for Greater Support for Off-Grid Homes

Liberal Democrat MP for Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe David Chadwick has called for greater Government support to help those in off-grid homes deal with high energy prices.

During a debate on the decarbonisation of homes in Westminster today, David Chadwick highlighted that Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe has an extremely high number of homes not connected to the national gas grid, with most being reliant on heating oil to keep their homes warm.

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Lib Dems question Starmer at PMQs

Social care, political parties being funded by foreign oligarchs, pharmacies, the impact of the rise in National Insurance changes on health care providers, second homes in Cornwall, when will the Government do something for those people affected by the Budget changes, these were the issues raised by Lib Dem MPs at the first PMQs of 2025.

First up, Ed raised the issue of social care and the way that Labour has kicked it into the long grass. Then, he asked for action on foreign oligarchs funding UK political parties

Happy new year, Mr Speaker. I join others in offering my personal condolences to the Prime Minister on the loss of his brother. May I take this opportunity to express my sadness at the passing of a much-loved member of the Liberal Democrat family, Baroness Jenny Randerson?

Fixing the care crisis is urgent for the millions of elderly and disabled people who are not getting the care they need, for the millions of family carers who are making huge sacrifices to fill the gap, and for the NHS, when over 12,000 people are stuck in hospital beds and cannot get out of hospital because the care is not there for them. The Prime Minister is right to say that we need a cross-party approach, but as Sir Andrew Dilnot has said today, that need not take three years. Will the Prime Minister please speed up that work so that 2025 is the year we finally rise to the challenge of fixing care?

The Prime Minister
I thank the right hon. Gentleman for raising this important issue and thank him for his condolences. Yes, we do need to get this right. I want a cross-party consensus on the issue and I invite him to work with us, as I know he will. It is important and he is right to say that we need some action now. We have taken immediate action by providing £3.7 billion of additional funding in the Budget for social care and another £86 million to allow 7,800 more disabled and elderly people to live more independent lives, and we have increased the carer’s allowance. We have set this up in stages, so we can act and improve as we go along, while making sure we have consensus for the bigger changes that may be proposed in the review. I invite him and Members from across the House to work with us, so we can get this right and ensure what we put in place endures beyond just a few years.

Ed Davey
If the Government do not bring in long-term social care reforms this year, their NHS reforms in this Parliament will fail, so I hope the Prime Minister will revisit the timetable.

Moving on, while the hon. Member for Clacton (Nigel Farage) may miss out on his big allowance from Elon Musk, the spectre of the richest man in the world trying to buy a British political party should give us all pause for thought. After years of the Conservatives taking millions of pounds of Russian money, will the Prime Minister now work with us to bring in long overdue reforms to party funding, so that power in this country lies with the voters, not wealthy overseas oligarchs?

The Prime Minister
I think we all had a smile on Sunday when the hon. Member for Clacton (Nigel Farage) said how cool it was to have the support of Musk, only for Musk to say he should be removed just a few hours later—that is the rough and tough of politics. Of course, we are looking at the question of funding more generally.

Marie Goldman raised the case of a pharmacist in her constituency:

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Layla Moran asks Urgent Question on Northern Gaza

Yesterday, Layla Moran was granted an urgent question in the House of Commons on the humanitarian crisis in Northern Gaza.

She said:

Over 450 days on, we all know the statistics—45,000 Palestinians killed, 100 hostages missing, 2.3 million people desperate—but I want to tell a single human story. I have previously spoken about my friend, consultant surgeon Mohamed, who operated on me when I had sepsis. His family are trapped in the Jabalia refugee camp. They are elderly and sick. One is a three-year-old girl. He has described how there are bodies strewn in the street.

I am sorry to report that death did not come knocking this weekend. Rather, it was dropped by a precision drone as Mohamed’s brother and his son walked 10 metres to get aid. The son died of a brain injury, two 13-year-old girls and their mother have shrapnel wounds, and Mohamed’s elderly father, who was already ill, is in hospital. A three-year-old, her mother and Mohamed’s mother are alone in a house with no one to help them get food.

These were obviously not militants—they were sick. They are not legitimate targets of war. There is no excuse for this. Mohamed told me it feels like they are living in “The Hunger Games,” dodging drones and scavenging for the basics. Even if they wanted to leave, how can they?

What part of international law makes any of this okay? Where is the accountability? Where is the justice? What does the Minister have to say to Mohamed, who spends his days saving lives here in the UK while his family are slaughtered overnight?

And it is not just Mohamed. People in Gaza are trapped in a doom loop of hell—hospitals decimated, and ceasefires promised and never delivered. So I press the Government again: is this really everything the UK has got? Have we deployed everything to make this stop? When will we recognise Palestine? Why have we not stopped the arms trade to Israel? And when will the Government ban trading with illegal settlements?

The frustration is palpable. Our grief is fathomless. People across the UK are looking on in horror, and the horror in Gaza must stop now.

There were nine other Lib Dem contributors:

Our foreign affairs spokesperson Calum Miller:

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Defending British sovereignty: A response to far-right Influence

As someone from a British Pakistani background, it is deeply troubling to see how the far-right in this country, who once championed Brexit under the guise of sovereignty, now eagerly submit to the influence of figures like Elon Musk. When Musk undermines our Prime Minister and Parliament, he disregards the hard-won sovereignty that defines Britain. It is a stark reminder of how quickly some are willing to hand over our national integrity to those who have no stake in our history or values.

Musk’s support for figures like Tommy Robinson and Andrew Tate highlights the dangerous path the far-right is taking. Robinson, notorious for mortgage fraud and for jeopardising legal proceedings, represents a fringe that thrives on division and fear. Andrew Tate, who aspires to be Prime Minister but couldn’t spell it correctly, has a history of promoting controversial views and faces serious allegations of human trafficking and sexual assault.

The issue of grooming gangs is deeply personal and crucial. It’s important to remember that such heinous acts transcend race or religion and must be universally condemned. Statistics show that grooming and sexual exploitation are pervasive problems that cut across all communities. It is disheartening to see these crimes used as fodder for divisive rhetoric by those like Musk and his followers.

Meanwhile, Nigel Farage, once hailed as the “messiah” of the Reform Party, now seems more like a “naughty boy” from Monty Python. The confusion within the Reform Party only underscores their lack of coherence and vision. Farage’s fluctuating stance and the party’s failure to find consistent leadership only highlight their instability.

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Social Care: Fixing the future and owning the now

In December 2023, I was an intern at Prospect Magazine in Westminster as my first semester at Queen Mary University of London drew to a close. It was here that I first flipped through the magazine’s Minister for the Future report – produced with Nesta, a UK-based innovation agency focused on social good.

It got me thinking. There is a disturbing lack of long termism in government. Now this isn’t just solely down to election cycles, but, rather, to policymakers not looking at the bigger picture. Vision in the UK did get better last Friday, however, with Health Secretary Wes Streeting launching an independent commission into adult social care, alongside an £86m boost to the Disabled Facilities Grant (designed to help senior citizens make their homes more accessible and avoid hospital for longer periods of time).

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Women’s Hour phone bank on 22nd January

London Liberal Democrats are holding a Women’s Hour London Phone Bank with Special Guest Councillor Rachel Bentley. They’ll be calling members from around London to see how they can get more involved. All are welcome to be involved. It’s fun and a chance to speak to our members and voters.

Please RSVP here so they know how many people are coming and so that they can send you the Zoom link.

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Ed Davey says US Ambassador should be summoned to explain Musk’s “liberating Britain” comment

Embed from Getty Images

Responding to Elon Musk’s latest post on X in which he suggested that America should “liberate the people of Britain” and overthrow the government, Liberal Democrat Leader Ed Davey said:

People have had enough of Elon Musk interfering with our country’s democracy when he clearly knows nothing about Britain. It’s time to summon the US ambassador to ask
why an incoming US official is suggesting the UK government should be overthrown.

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2025: The year Brexit needs to be tackled head-on by the Liberal Democrats

It is obvious that we, Liberal Democrats, are excellent local campaigners, as evidenced with us winning over 72 MPs in the recent 2024 General Election. However, there is one clear problem present with the strategy – we are too reliant on local champions, such people who are great for local constituencies, but often weak on a national level. We don’t always have campaigns that everyone across Great Britain resonates with. Despite having over fourteen times more MPs than Reform UK, our activists struggle for national media coverage. Meanwhile, figures like Mr Farage continue to dominate the media, securing endless airtime for their racist agenda.

Ed Davey and all party activists need to take on a national issue; to campaign and fight an issue that a majority of the public will be interested in, an issue which will help the us economically, which will act as a buffer zone to the chaos of a second Trump presidency, which will give the UK refuge the future economic uncertainty – The European Union.

In the 2019 general election campaign, it was our main focus to “cancel Brexit”, back then we didn’t have as much as a voice of change in parliament – with only 12 MPs not the massive 72 we now boast, but why did we stop?

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The Fall of the German Government: How the liberal FDP and the Debt Brake Shook the Country.

In late 2024, Germany’s political landscape was upended by the collapse of Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s “traffic light coalition”, comprising the Social Democrats (SPD), the Greens, and the market-oriented Free Democratic Party (FDP), one of our sister parties in ALDE. This coalition, which once promised a progressive agenda, fractured under mounting economic pressures, the war in Ukraine, ideological differences, and a ruling by the Federal Constitutional Court. The FDP’s commitment to fiscal discipline was central to this political upheaval, particularly the controversial Schuldenbremse—Germany’s debt brake.

The crisis started in November 2023 when the Court ruled that the government’s allocation of €60 billion to the so-called “Climate and Transformation Fund” (KTF is the German acronym) was unconstitutional. The KTF was originally set out in the coalition agreement and was designed to finance Germany’s energy transition and decarbonisation efforts. It was seen as a vital part of the coalition’s strategy to address climate change and modernise the ailing German economy.

The Court determined that transferring unspent COVID-19 relief funds to the KTF violated the debt brake provision in Germany’s Basic Law (Grundgesetz). This decision essentially invalidated the fund and created a significant shortfall in the government’s budget for critical infrastructure, energy transition projects, and social programs. The ruling was a severe setback to the policy agendas of the Greens and the SPD. For the FDP, it was a validation of their fiscal stance. Finance Minister Christian Lindner, leader of the FDP, seized upon the court’s decision to affirm the party’s commitment to fiscal responsibility, as it prevents inflation and is also fairer for younger generations who would have to pay off the debt. Lindner argued that the ruling reinforced the FDP’s argument that circumventing the debt brake undermined constitutional governance. However, it also led to a stalemate in coalition negotiations. The SPD and Greens sought new funding mechanisms to replace the invalidated KTF, while the FDP remained steadfast.

The debt brake (Schuldenbremse), introduced into Germany’s Basic Law in 2009, was designed to ensure fiscal responsibility by limiting the accumulation of national and regional government debt. The rule restricts annual structural deficits to 0.35% of GDP, except during emergencies (such as the COVID-19 pandemic). The FDP views the debt brake as essential for economic stability, with memories of the interwar hyperinflation still being strong in the country. However, critics argue that the debt brake, as it is currently worded, has become a constraint, preventing necessary investments to address long-term challenges like climate change and economic competitiveness.

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4-5 January 2025 – the weekend’s press releases

  • Starmer NHS speech: Government risks “putting hip replacements over heart attacks” as 12-hour A&E waits soar
  • Just 38 upskirting cases a year being passed to Crown Office
  • 4 in 10 Scots go without recent dentist check-up

Starmer NHS speech: Government risks “putting hip replacements over heart attacks” as 12-hour A&E waits soar

  • Lib Dems warn that Government risks “putting hip replacements over heart attacks” by neglecting the crisis in emergency care and ‘bed blocking’ caused by the social care crisis.
  • Figures reveal almost 200,000 12-hour “trolley waits” in A&E since Labour took office last July.
  • Average of 1,330 patients a day are facing waits of 12 hours or more before being admitted to hospital from A&E.
  • Lib Dems have urged the Government to complete social care review by end of year rather than 2028.

The Liberal Democrats have warned that the Government’s plan for NHS waiting lists due to be announced today risks “putting hip replacements over heart attacks” unless it also tackles the crises in both emergency care and social care that are backing up A&E.

It comes as analysis by the party of NHS estimates has revealed there have been almost 200,000 12-hour “trolley waits” in A&E since the start of July, when the Labour government took office. That means that an average of 1,330 people a day had to wait more than 12 hours to be admitted to hospital from A&E between July and November.

The Royal College of Emergency Medicine has predicted that there will be at least 14,000 unnecessary deaths due to delays in A&E this winter.

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Welcome to my day: 6 January 2025 – notes from the Democratic People’s Republic of Elon…

So, for this Day Editor at least, another year starts and, in my case, in a country ill at ease with itself, the United States. It’s an insular and curiously transactional politics here, where the impact of its leadership is seen mostly in terms of what America does to others rather than in terms of how it is perceived by allies and enemies alike. There is no room for doubt or uncertainty in the minds of the radicals soon to be running this country.

Which inevitably brings me to the recent antics of Elon Musk, whose astonishing firehose of untruths and bombast on X, aimed at the politicians he feels he has bought and paid for, and those in other countries by whom he feels threatened, have done so much to alienate his “customers” internationally. There is clearly something wrong with him, or perhaps there always was and we just hadn’t appreciated it. But his apparent desire to overturn democratically elected governments that displease him isn’t going to go away anytime soon.

Labour seem determined to humour him, which is evidently going to fail. When someone is as astonishingly wealthy as Musk is, and so unused to being refused, he has no need to play by any of the usual rules of debate. And with a media platform under his control which is increasingly a meeting place for some of the most unpleasant elements of our society, the risks that individuals or groups act to advance his beliefs and wishes are genuine. As he has seemingly become more and more radicalised, so has his ability to radicalise others.

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Lib Dem Peer Jenny Randerson dies at 76

We’ve just heard the sad news that Lib Dem peer Jenny Randerson died yesterday at her home in Cardiff at the age of 76.

Welsh Lib Dem Leader Jane Dodds said:

I am deeply saddened by the news of Jenny Randerson’s passing.

Jenny dedicated her life to serving the people of Cardiff and Wales. From free entry to Wales’s national museums to the decision to build Wales Millennium Centre, her work as a minister left an indelible mark on our politics and society.

She will be deeply missed by her family, friends, colleagues, and the many individuals whose lives she touched through her public service.

The Lib Dem Lords tweeted:

Our hearts are full of grief and sadness today at the passing of our own Jenny Randerson. Jenny was a great friend and colleague to us all, and worked so hard for the Lib Dem group in the Lords, as she’d done for the Party the whole of her life. She was one of the very best.

Jenny was kind, wise and had immense judgement – which she used for good throughout her life. We were so lucky to have her as part of the Lib Dem family – in Wales, in the Lords, and nationally. Salutes and love, Jenny. Diolch yn fawr iawn.

We send our love and sympathy to Jenny’s husband Peter, their children and grandchildren and wider family and all who were close to her.

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Coming up: Four things to watch out for from Lib Dems MPs this week

Parliament is back tomorrow after the two week Christmas recess. You would think that our MPs would have been taking a well earned rest after a brutal year of campaigning and then settling in to their new roles.

Not a chance. They’ve been on the doorsteps, doing urgent casework, attending events in their constituencies.  They’ll have full inboxes to attend to. The holiday gives their regular correspondents plenty of opportunity to write in with their asks on many different subjects.

So what will our MPs be up to this week?

On Wednesday, Keir Starmer will face his first PMQs of the year – and he’ll have five Lib Dems to look forward to. Marie Goldman has the second slot, Victoria Collins the fourth Andrew George and Christine Jardine are at 9 and 10 respectively. And Ed will also have his usual two questions.

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Lib Dems call for faster action on social care in England

Senior Liberal Democrats have expressed concern that the Labour Government has finally done something about social care, but that Louise Casey’s review will not report until 2028. This has all the hallmarks of this crucial issue being kicked into the long grass, with potential for it to be lost in even deeper foliage beyond then.

Ed Davey told LBC that he was sceptical on the timing. He says that we should have cross party talks, but we have all the information we need so that they should be completed within a year.

He told Channel 4 News that this process should be done within the year. If we do sort out social care, it brings huge benefits to families and savings to the NHS.  Without proper care, people end up in hospital unnecessarily and that is a huge cost to the NHS.

He also pointed out that we need to value care workers, with a higher minimum wage.

He also called for greater support for family carers.

We won’t, he said, solve the wider crisis in the NHS without resolving social care, which is why a faster timescale is essential.

Layla Moran, as Chair of the Commons Select Committee on Health and Social Care, said:

This announcement from the Government on a commission to look at social care is welcome, however this cannot be an exercise in kicking the can down the road. We urge bravery and courage from the Government and all political parties to work together to act boldly and urgently.

We are concerned that any further delay perpetuates the hardship for individuals and their families, as well as the cost to the NHS and local authorities.

The first inquiry our Committee launched is investigating the costs resulting from delays to reform of the social care sector. In the first evidence session of this inquiry next week we will hear from experts on the subject, including Sir Andrew Dilnot and we will ask what impact inaction has had, fourteen years on from the Dilnot Commission’s recommendations to reform social care.

Our 2024 manifesto outlined our plans for social care in England. We will:

Provide truly personalised care that empowers individuals by:

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3 January 2025 – today’s press releases

  • Shocking research reveals almost 4 in 5 car thefts go unsolved
  • Davey: Social care commission “long overdue”
  • Davey: social care review should be “done and dusted within a year”
  • Flu admissions: alarming consequences from lack of winterpoofing
  • SNP have starved local communities of funding for public toilets

Shocking research reveals almost 4 in 5 car thefts go unsolved

  • Shock data reveals that on average 78.5% of all car thefts go unsolved, a grand total of 24,837 in the quarter ending June 2024.
  • Liberal Democrats are urging the government to restore proper community policing, where officers have the time and resources to properly respond to neighbourhood crimes like car theft.

Data from the Home Office reveals the extent of the car theft epidemic in England and Wales, with almost 25,000 car thefts going unsolved in just three months.

The Metropolitan Police force reported the worst figures, with a staggering 90% of all reported car thefts going unsolved. South Yorkshire followed closely behind with 85% of theft going unsolved, Essex, Wiltshire, Sussex and Hertfordshire also all reported that at least 80% of car thefts were unsolved in the quarter ending June 2024.

By contrast, only 2.8% or just under 900 cases on average end with the criminal being charged or summonsed across the whole of England and Wales.

It follows previous Liberal Democrat research that revealed last year, police did not even attend the scene in over 70% of car theft cases.

The Liberal Democrats have blamed the previous Conservative government for these figures, arguing that years of ineffective resourcing has left frontline policing decimated. This includes the decision to take over 4,500 Police Community Support Officers (PCSOs) off the streets since 2015.

The party is calling on the government to urgently restore proper community policing, where officers have the time and resources to properly respond to neighbourhood crimes like car theft.

Commenting on the data, Liberal Democrat Home Affairs Spokesperson Lisa Smart MP said:

Tens of thousands of victims across England and Wales are being left without the justice they deserve, with a staggeringly high number of car thefts going unsolved, and thieves getting away scot free.

This cannot continue. Every victim of a crime deserves to feel safe and protected by the police, but unfortunately after brutal cuts to community police officers that is far from the truth.

We urge the new government to change the course by getting tough on crime, investing properly in local neighbourhood policing and keeping communities safe.

Davey: Social care commission “long overdue”

Commenting on the Government’s annoucement of an independent commission into adult social care, Liberal Democrat Leader Ed Davey said:

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Jewish opinions on Palestine vary considerably – As the daughter of a holocaust survivor my own view explained

My mother was a secular Jewish refugee who fled Czechoslovakia in 1938. My grandfather, Ernst Sommer was on the Nazi death list and escaped separately. He wrote (in 1943) one of the earliest German-language novels on the Holocaust: ‘Revolt of the Saints: A tribute to the heroes of the Warsaw Ghetto.’ Published in Mexico City (1944) while in exile.

My mother was always very against what was being done to the Palestinians in her name as Jew. Because of this I became an active campaigner for Palestinian human rights and very concerned about the creeping rise of weaponised antisemitism. It is a threat to open dialogue and a tool to silence voices that speak out against injustice and persecution. This should be worrying for anyone who holds liberal democratic values. This trend has increased year on year, but it has reached truly unfathomable levels since Israel’s War on Gaza began.

I am a member of the Holocaust Survivors’ Descendants Network, and when I march in London, I often do so alongside them. There is a huge UK Jewish contingent on all the marches, reminding me of the strength of solidarity amongst so many in the Jewish community in this country.

Despite portrayal in mainstream media, it is not an inevitable consequence of Jewishness that you support Zionism or the actions of the Israeli government. Nor is it inevitable that all who consider themselves Zionists would support collective punishment, crimes against humanity and what Amnesty and others are convincingly describing as genocide committed by the Israeli state in Gaza as well as ethnic cleansing in the West Bank.  (David McDowall presented the Amnesty analysis demonstrating genocide in his article in Lib Dem Voice on 5 December 2024.)

There is a glaring irony that those who shout the loudest about conflating pro-Palestinian sentiment with antisemitism are those who are being the most antisemitic. They assume that Judaism is synonymous with Zionism or, as both Netanyahu and the Board of Deputies’ leadership in the UK like to infer, that being Jewish is synonymous with support for Israel regardless of its actions. That is a perversion of Judaism and encourages antisemitism.

As a daughter of a holocaust survivor, I grew up knowing the suffering and generational trauma that comes from genocide, but my mother always refused to be a victim. Why should an innocent population in Palestine be punished for the behaviour of Europeans? The convictions that came from such past trauma of ‘never again’ and the establishment of international law and justice seem to have been sidelined by a warped idea of superiority and entitlement and the idea that the rights of one population trump those of another.

So, like very many British Jews, I am not a pawn for pro-Israeli propaganda to use in their grotesque political game. There are plenty of Jewish voices in the UK that show the strength of pro-Palestinian Jewish sentiment including the Holocaust Survivor’s Descendants Network, Jews for Justice for Palestinians,  to which I belong, Yachad,  Na’amod,  and others. These include a range of Jewish voices, both religious and secular and all oppose the Israeli occupation and ethnic cleansing and advocate for the freedom of the Palestinian people.

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Possible devolution in Hertfordshire and across England

Like many of us, I did try to use the Christmas period to switch off and recharge my batteries. It wasn’t easy, as I liked working and being busy, however a little break was much needed after a very exciting and challenging year.

On the last day of the year, my phone rang. Someone, who I met a number of years ago, called to ask for a bit of advice. It was a longer conversation about the school admissions, additional support for a disabled child and a housing issue. Who is responsible for schooling? Whose responsibility is it to maintain our housing stock? What about roads or planning? What is the difference between the role of a Local or a County Councillor?

Although I find the subject truly fascinating, at times, it is not easy to explain the functions of the Local Government. This might be particularly tricky if you live in a two-tier Local Authorities structure like me in Welwyn Hatfield and Hertfordshire. During our campaigns or regular canvasing sessions, most residents don’t mind (or maybe they don’t care?) who delivers their services, as long as the provision to support our key priorities is efficient, good and the standard is high across all areas.

Most readers will be aware that the government has published, in the second half of December 2024, a white paper on possible reforms of Local Governments. Hertfordshire might be one of a few counties, which will have to transition from currently 10 Districts Council to one or two. There are a number of possible outcomes of the consultation, many more questions and a huge amount of uncertainty.

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Marginal cost pricing: Scamming Britain since 1989

The UK boasts the third highest electricity prices in the world, and we’re nowhere near the third highest incomes. Congrats, UK, we’ve won a gold medal in paying too much! Meanwhile, our friends in the United States are paying a third of what we do, even though we generate a good chunk of our power from cheaper renewables. The UK currently has the highest industrial energy prices in the IEA making our manufacturing goods more expensive which, when combined with trade restrictions due to Brexit, makes the UK less competitive. So, what’s the deal? Why is our electricity pricing system as twisted as a politician’s promise?

The root of this absurdity lies in marginal cost pricing. Most countries calculate electricity prices based on an average of all sources. But not us. No, the UK, in its infinite wisdom (thanks, Thatcher), calculates prices based on the most expensive energy source needed to meet demand. That’s like splitting a restaurant bill and insisting everyone pays for the one person who ordered the lobster and champagne. A posthumous hat tip to Margaret Thatcher, whose legacy of “working people last” is still alive and kicking.

Under this system, the wholesale price of electricity is set by the priciest source—typically natural gas. Never mind that renewables are cheaper to produce; their benefits are drowned out by gas prices that spike when demand is high. The current setup ensures we pay through the nose for our energy. Renewables are cheap and getting cheaper. Gas is expensive and getting pricier. Yet, UK electricity prices keep climbing like they’ve got Olympic ambitions. Who loses? Regular people like you and me. Who wins? Well, fossil fuel companies and their shareholders are doing just fine, thank you very much.

Right-wing grifters love to blame this on the green transition, spinning it as a reason to delay renewables and flirt with climate denialism.  Meanwhile, this pricing system doesn’t incentivize renewable adoption nearly as much as it could. It just gives natural gas companies a golden parachute every time the market sneezes.

Posted in Op-eds | 20 Comments
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