The Electoral Commission gets it wrong on turnout

Here’s the email I’ve sent to Jenny Watson, Chair of the Electoral Commission:

Dear Jenny Watson,

I was rather surprised at the introduction to your speech earlier today to the UCL Constitution Unit where you painted what seems to me a very misleading picture of what is happening to turnout in British elections.

I appreciate that is a fairly strong criticism, so I hope you won’t mind me justifying it by taking parts of your speech and commenting on them in detail.

After talking about recent political scandals, you said:

One of the immediate measures of the impact of these events is turnout at the recent elections. Turnout for the European elections across the UK was just 34 per cent, against a European average of 43 per cent.

However, turnout in the UK has been lower than the European average in every European election since and including the first one in 1979. The mere fact of it being lower again does not tell us about the “impact of these events”.

The one piece of evidence you present on that is wrong, for you say:

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Huhne: scrap ID cards and put 10,000 bobbies on the beat. Three reasons why he’s wrong

Amother day, another nail in the coffin of Labour’s increeasingly half-hearted attempts to force the British people to carry ID cards and enrtust their personal details to a national government database. The BBC reports:

Home Secretary Alan Johnson has dropped plans to make ID cards compulsory for pilots and airside workers at Manchester and London City airports. The cards were due to be trialled there – sparking trade union anger. … But Mr Johnson said the ID card scheme was still very much alive – despite Tory and Lib Dem calls to scrap it. He said the national roll-out of

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Opinion: To STV, and beyond …

Like many Lib Dems, the prospect of bringing in a fairer voting system makes me all a-flutter. We know that first-past-the-post is unrepresentative, and the recent impetus towards reform (if I may put it so tacitly) has opened the door to the overhaul of our electoral system.

However, it appears as though the door has been partially blocked by the baby gate of Alternative Vote Plus, the brainchild of the Jenkins Commission. Akin to a less proportional version of the Additional Member System used in Scotland, Wales and in London Assembly elections, AV+ would make our voting system slightly more representative – but not to the point where it would frighten Labour and Conservative MPs raised on a diet* of safe seats.

Since this appears to be the best offer on the table, our Take Back Power campaign has endorsed it, with the disclaimer that we’d really rather have STV.

However, what we’re not doing at present – and I would claim we need to do – is directly challenging the findings of the Jenkins Commission that led to them rejecting STV as a possibility in the first place.

The Commission considered STV as it works in Ireland, with large multi-member constituencies aimed at ensuring that there is at least one Teachta Dála for every 25,512 people. Given the comparative population of Britain and Ireland , the Commission claims that the expansion in parliamentary numbers required to facilitate this would be unacceptable to the public, and instead considers STV in the context of constituencies containing on average 350,000 people. This is one MP per 87,500 people, assuming a similar number of parliamentarians to at present. The Commission claims the length of the ballot paper needed to serve such large constituencies to provide ‘a degree of choice which might be deemed oppressive rather than liberating’ – which anyone who voted in the recent European elections will, of course, know to be true, and in no way an unproven assertion by a parliamentary commission. I myself found my 3-foot ballot paper so oppressive that I voluntarily surrendered my freedom of speech for the entirety of polling day.

Aside from a few more niggles around complexity and suitability (look out for the part where the Commission comes close to asserting that the views of politicians are more important than the public when it comes to voting reform), the meat of the Commission’s objections to STV came in the form of the political realities into which it will be placed.

The Commission argued that STV constituencies on the Irish model would work well in big cities, but in the countryside would cover huge geographic areas to incorporate the approximately 350,000 people necessary. If 3-member constituencies were reduced in size in the countryside, this would give the Conservatives a massive inbuilt advantage, owing to their rural base. A hybrid STV/AV system, with STV constituencies in the cities and AV in the countryside would disadvantage Labour – the Tories would get seats in the cities, while Labour would be unable to similarly capitalise in the countryside.

This is a serious objection – some of the Highland constituencies are already enormous, and this would lead to a single constituency covering much of Scotland . Attempts to hybridise the system on the lines that Jenkins proposes would reduce the very proportionality that STV is meant to achieve.

So how can we counter this?

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged , and | 20 Comments

How are Lib Dem councillors using Twitter/Facebook?

Today’s Times reports on the growth of Twitter and Facebook among councillors, noting in particular the work of one Lib Dem councillor/blogger, Daisy Benson:

Daisy Benson, a Liberal Democrat member of Reading Borough Council, used Facebook to encourage young people to take part in a scrutiny review of the standard of private rented housing in the area. “I used it because the issue we were looking at particularly affected students and young people and it’s a good way to reach them.”

Benson set up a Facebook group and listed the consultation questions. The group attracted more than 80 members. Among

…

Posted in Online politics | Tagged , , , and | 5 Comments

CommentIsLinked@LDV: Paddy Ashdown – The Cold War is over. We must move on, fast

Over at The Times, former Lib Dem leader Paddy Ashdown has co-authored an article with former Labour defence secretary George Robertson – they were co-chairs of the IPPR’s Commission on National Security in the 21st Century, whose report was published today – arguing that old-fashioned thinking is hampering British security policy today. Here’s their all-encompassing introduction:

The global recession is likely to worsen the international security environment considerably. It is already making many weak and poor states weaker and, as both 9/11 and recent events in North Korea have shown, the consequences flowing from weak, fragile and pariah states are

…

Posted in LibLink | Tagged , and | 7 Comments
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Clegg on Brown’s mini-manifesto: “a hotch-potch of unrelated Whitehall schemes”

Gordon Brown yesterday set out his policy plans for the next year, with headline proposals including:

  • 110,000 affordable homes by 2011;
  • changes to council house allocation rules which may give more preference to local residents
  • under-25s out of work for a year must accept a job or training or face benefit cuts
  • new guarantees on hospital treatment and school tuition;
  • communities to have say on police priorities and siting of CCTV.
  • Here’s the Hansard transcript of how Nick Clegg responded for the Lib Dems:

    Mr. Nick Clegg (Sheffield, Hallam) (LD): The Prime Minister and the leader of the Conservatives have just perfected their fake debate on public spending, yet both are treating voters as if they are children, too young to know the truth. This morning, the Government have reneged on their promise to hold a comprehensive spending review before the next election, and the Conservatives are not going to decide on their cuts until the day after it. Neither is willing to come clean on the difficult long-term savings we will need to make to balance the nation’s books. It is like a big hoax—they trade insults and numbers, but hide the truth.

    There are some announcements—or, rather, re-announcements—that I welcome, not least the ongoing consultation to give local authorities control over housing rents and revenues, the proposals for an elected House of Lords and the commitment to give all young people under 25 a guaranteed job or training place. As ever, however, the devil will be in the detail. This is the 11th announcement on housing since September. The Government’s consultation on housing revenue has been grinding on since January, yet 1.8 million people are still waiting for a decent home.

    We have been debating reform of the House of Lords—the other place—for more than a century, so now is the time for action, not simply more proposals. The Prime Minister is still silent on some of the wider more radical political reforms we need to clean up British politics once and for all. The hopes of young people to avoid the scrapheap of long-term unemployment must not be dashed in practice once again.

    Posted in Parliament | Tagged and | 5 Comments

    Daily View 2×2: 30 June 2009

    2 Big Stories

    A high-powered think tank report for the IPPR by Paddy Ashdown and oher defense gurus has questioned expenditure on trident and conventional forces:

    The UK should consider slashing defence spending by up to £24bn and revisit plans to renew its Trident nuclear deterrent, a think-tank report says.

    Meanwhile, the row over future cuts-and-spending continues in Britain, over-shadowing Gordon Brown’s new Building Britain;s Future document:

    Brown unveiled a manifesto entitled Building Britain’s Future and a draft Queen’s speech containing 12 bills. The overall aim was to downgrade Whitehall public service targets in favour of individual rights, with some enforceable by

    …

    Posted in Daily View | Leave a comment

    Norwich North poll date set for 23 July

    The BBC has the story:

    The date for the Norwich North by-election, triggered by the resignation of Labour MP Ian Gibson, is expected to be set for 23 July. … He had a majority of just over 5,000 at the last election.

    The BBC understands that the writ for the election will be moved on Tuesday, with the poll set to be held two days after Parliament breaks up for its summer recess on 21 July.

    Clearly Labour wants to get the expected loss of this seat out of the way at the height of summer, when MPs are away …

    Posted in News and Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged and | 1 Comment

    The mess enveloping the law over local election candidates

    Cross-posted from The Wardman Wire:

    The question of who can stand for election to a local council should be clearly defined and easy to understand – so that those new to politics can be candidates, so that voters don’t end up with a false choice where not all the candidates are actually allowed to be candidates and so that elections can be about choices between people and policies, rather than battles between lawyers.

    In England and Wales the law was last codified and laid down in the 1972 Local Government Act. With the passage now of nearly forty years, plus frequent subsequent legislation which gave the opportunity to clarify any ambiguities, matters should now be clear.

    Alas, though, a combination of poor drafting, changing interpretations and equivocation from the Electoral Commission has left part of the law in an ambiguous mess.

    Posted in Local government | Tagged and | 10 Comments

    CommentIsLinked@LDV: Vince Cable – Our next test of courage: to cut public sector pensions

    Over at the Daily Mail, Lib Dem deputy leader Vince Cable argues that the vast scale of government debt means we must tackle public sector pensions. Here’s an excerpt:

    Gordon Brown’s continual squirming and denials can’t conceal the truth: public finances are in a truly terrible mess. People know that nasty spending cuts and tax increases are on the way. They want political leaders to be frank and spell it out. What, when and how?

    They will not be convinced by George Osborne’s alternative: to win an Election and then get Ministers round a table behind closed doors to decide what the

    …

    Posted in LibLink | Tagged | 3 Comments

    Bexley Conservatives throw out Ian Clement

    Ian Clement may have resigned last week as Boris Johnson’s deputy mayor, but his troubles are far from over.

    From the Bexleyheath and Crayford Conservatives’ website:

    At a meeting held on 25th June of the Bexleyheath and Crayford Conservative Association Executive Council, a unanimous decision was taken to immediately suspend the Association Membership of Ian Clement in light of recent reports in the press about his conduct.

    The process of formally terminating his membership has begun. By the terms of our constitution, this will require a special meeting of the Executive Council, whereby fourteen days notice must be given to Mr Clement.

    Last …

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    Inexperienced officers in protest frontline – never again, say MPs

    An inquiry by MPs into the 1 April G20 protests has concluded that untrained police officers must never again be placed in the frontline of public protest.

    From the Guardian:

    The conclusion from the Commons home affairs select committee inquiry into the G20 protests of April 1 follows admissions from senior Metropolitan police officers that some inexperienced officers, who were clearly quite scared, used “inappropriate force”.

    The report by the cross-party group of MPs says they “cannot condone the use of untrained, inexperienced officers on the frontline of a public protest under any circumstances”.

    The inquiry also calls for the police to seriously

    …

    Posted in News | Tagged , , and | 4 Comments

    Daily View 2×2: 29 June 2009

    2 Big Stories

    Gordon Brown plans to spend his way back into Number 10
    From the Telegraph:

    Mr Brown’s determination to boost spending on frontline services will be underlined with the launch of his much vaunted national plan for public services on Monday.

    His Building Britain’s Future document includes a number of proposals which will require significant Government spending.

    Peter Mandelson, however, has emphasised that the money will come from a “reprioritising of expenditure both within and between departments”:

    He told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: “It may be a disappointment to you that we are not going to hold a spending review now

    …

    Posted in Daily View | Tagged , , , and | Leave a comment

    Greater Manchester Lib Dem PPC defects to Labour

    The Manchester Evening News has the story:

    A Liberal Democrat candidate for the next General Election has defected to Labour. Paul Moss had already been selected as candidate for Denton and Reddish but has now quit the party.

    Mr Moss said: “Nationally the Liberal Democrats are a complete joke. And I have seen how the Lib Dems in Stockport have completely ignored local people and have helped to seriously damage communities like Reddish through their uncaring policies.”

    A Liberal Democrat spokesman said: “It’s a shame he feels this way. He certainly didn’t express these views when he was trying to become our

    …

    Posted in News | Tagged and | 62 Comments

    LDV Weekend Meme: fantasy liberal cabinet

    Okay, so here’s a parlour game full of fun and frolics for all the family – name your top Lib Dem (or predecessor parties) MPs, living or dead, to fill your dream liberal cabinet. Here’s the tougher criterion: your choices must also be team players, capable of hanging together rather than separately, rather than simply brilliantly egotistical individuals (hence my exclusion of Winston Churchill, for example). Feel free to suggest their perfect cabinet positions.

    My attempt is below. I’ve doubtless missed out some obvious choices, and misplaced some I’ve chosen. But, still, I can’t help feeling my fantasy liberal cabinet …

    Posted in LDV meme | 27 Comments

    Rupert Read and the false allegations

    A bit of background for any Voice readers who either have seen some of the slightly elliptical comments posted in earlier threads by a couple of people about the past actions of Rupert Read, the Green party candiate for the Nowich North by-election.

    Last year, Rupert Read accused a Liberal Democrat councillor, Judith Lubbock, of perjuring herself more than once. Given that perjury is a serious offence which can result in someone being jailed (see Jeffrey Archer), this is a pretty serious allegation. It was also wholly untrue.

    Rupert Read subsequently had to apologise and withdraw the allegations he had made.

    Posted in Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged and | 103 Comments

    Daily View 2×2: 28 June 2009

    Welcome to the Sunday outing for The Voice’s near-daily Daily View series. As it’s a Sunday, today it comes with a special bonus military film.

    2 Big Stories

    Spotlight turns to MPs’ outside earnings

    The Telegraph, in a surprise departure, runs a big story on MPs and money:

    A survey has uncovered the outside interests of dozens of MPs who hold down paid positions, ranging from legal and media work to crofting, and even grave digging. One earns £750 an hour for helping to organise an awards ceremony for the drinks industry, while another is paid more than £1,300 a day to provide business advice.

    Among the highest earners is Nick Raynsford, the former housing minister, who collected £148,000 from six private-sector jobs last year, mostly connected to housing, and John Hemming, the Liberal Democrat MP, who receives more than £200,000 a year from his computer software company.

    John Hemming pre-empted the story about himself by a week with a detailed post on his blog:

    I am a full time politician, but I remain a director of two companies that I founded and also other businesses that run through as John Hemming Trading. My working week is around 70 hours a week. I spend about 4 hours a month chairing John Hemming & Co LLP. This means that over 98% of my time is spent on political issues.

    Iraq prepares for US troops to leave its cities

    From the BBC:

    The Iraqi authorities are tightening security in preparation for next Tuesday’s deadline for US soldiers to pull out of the country’s cities.

    All police leave has been cancelled and extra troops have been drafted in, amid a spate of bomb attacks this week which has left 250 people dead.

    Prime Minister Nouri Maliki says the attacks may be aimed at stirring up sectarian tensions.

    2 Must-Read Blog Posts

    Cllr Neil Williams reminisces about the fall of the Iron Curtain
    Jonathan Calder returns to the Duckworth Lewis Method album

    Sunday Bonus

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    Opinion: Liberal Youth in the headlights

    Dissension is both an admirable and problematic trait. It’s admirable, as often you find yourself on the side of right, but it’s problematic as you rarely end up being protrayed that way. I consider what I’m doing now dissension, and what it is is to consider what a youth organisation should do and what it’s doing now.

    For those who know me in Liberal Youth, I try hard to occupy the neutral ground and to compromise rather than confront, but sometimes a punch in the nose resonates more than a pat on the back. A lot of people believe Liberal Youth to be primarily a campaigning organisation and a recruiting organisation. It is, and it isn’t.

    The upcoming Activate training weekend will be the first Liberal Youth weekend specifically organised for training for a long time. The fact is that campaiging tactics and training have been neglected. Equally, with the failure of the current website, and delays in getting a newer version, the campaigning abilities of the organisation have been blunted by the inability to find a medium on which to put it across.

    In addition, it has been left without a Vice-Chair (Campaigns) for the past three months, meaning that the lead up to the freshers fairs (traditionally a Liberal Youth forte, where more members are recruited for the party than at any other time) has been led, almost solely by the Chair, Elaine Bagshaw. While I cannot comment on the potential competence (or lack of) in this campaign, running campaigns without the person normally in charge is rarely an effective tactic.

    This then impacts on the other thing Liberal Youth is perceived to be – a recruiting organisation. While specific university branches can run very successful campaigns and freshers fairs locally, if the material lets them down then fewer people come to the stand and fewer people sign up. Getting people to look twice is the big battle and this can be easily done without central help – a bit of craft and creativity, combined with creating a welcoming atmosphere, is the reason people who would normally walk past, look in.

    We are projecting an image to our target audience – young, generally liberally minded, people – but recognising that they can’t be taken for granted. Presenting ourselves as a university society that is politically active, as opposed to a political society that happens to be at a university, would reach outside our target audience and bring in more people.

    The larger problem with Liberal Youth is embedded in problems in how the organisation is run and leads to the spectacular occasions of disunity we all saw at the previous Chair election. This problem is that of organisation and how the organisation sees itself.

    Liberal Youth is peculiar in that it is a national organisation campaigning on national issues that is full of people expected to campaign and gain experience on local issues.

    Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 10 Comments

    Top of the Blogs: The Golden Dozen #122

    Welcome to the 122nd of our weekly round-ups from the Lib Dem blogosphere, featuring the seven most popular stories according to click-throughs from the Aggregator (13th-20th June 2009), together with a hand-picked quintet, mostly courtesy of LibDig, you might otherwise have missed.

    As ever, let’s start with the most popular post, and work our way down.

    Posted in Best of the blogs | Leave a comment

    Opinion: RIPA – Lib Dems are leading the way in improving scrutiny of council surveillance

    As the latest series of reality show Big Brother graces our TV screens, I wonder if all those millions of viewers remember that – 60 years since George Orwell published 1984 – we are increasingly living in a Big Brother Britain?

    As the new leader of Islington’s Liberal Democrat council I wanted us to do our bit in rolling back the surveillance state that has been growing up around us under twelve years of Labour Government. That’s why I’m following the example of other Liberal Democrat councils like Oldham in making the council’s use of its investigatory surveillance powers more transparent, …

    Posted in Op-eds | Tagged , , and | Leave a comment

    Pugh sticks up for posties sacked for not wearing cycle helmets

    The Express has the story:

    ROYAL Mail bosses were branded draconian yesterday after sacking three postmen in a week – for not wearing cycle helmets. They were accused of adhering rigidly to ­guidelines to cut staff and slash costs ahead of ­privatisation. Many others also face disciplinary action ­following the clampdown in Southport, Merseyside. Several have launched an appeal to be re-instated. Father-of-two David Smith was dismissed after 17 years.

    Southport Lib Dem MP John Pugh believes the posties have been treated unfairly:

    The only one at risk for not wearing a helmet is the postman himself – so why is

    …

    Posted in News | Tagged , , and | 11 Comments

    Police investigate Aberdeen Lib Dem councillor

    STV has the news:

    Grampian Police is set to investigate allegations of a financial irregularity against an Aberdeen city councillor. They centre on Scott Cassie the planning convenor of the council and the deputy leader of the Liberal Democrat group. STV News has learned that police were called in following discussions between the authority’s legal team and acting chief executive.

    The news comes after a week of speculation surrounding Mr Cassie, prompted by a complaint of a “serious nature” being made to the council by a member of Garthdee Commmunity Council. Councillor Cassie represents the Garthdee ward and his wife is

    …

    Posted in News and Scotland | Tagged and | 4 Comments

    The LDV Saturday Open Thread (27 Jun ‘09): what’s on your mind?

    We don’t do an LDV Daily View 2 x 2 round-up on Saturdays, so instead here’s an open thread. What stories have caught your eye? What issues are on your mind? Are you more in mourning for Michael Jackson or Farrah Fawcett? Is the issue of MPs’ expenses receding? Exactly how pissed with David Cameron are Tory MPs? Discuss away in the comments below…

    Posted in Daily View | 2 Comments

    YouTube ‘cos we want to: Bercow, New Labour and Obama

    Welcome to this Friday edition of our new LDV feature rounding up some of the best/worst/most curious political videos doing the rounds. Guaranteed Wimbledon/Jacko free.

    First up, let’s enjoy new Speaker John Bercow’s well-publicised spat with ITN reporter Tom Bradby. Hard to choose between them who I feel least sympathy for, as both seem to be indulging in needless testosterone-charged irratibility:

    After that starter, here’s the main course – Liberal Vision’s rather good 4-minute synopsis of the New Labour failure set to one of my all-time fave tracks, Nena’s 99 Red Balloons:

    Posted in YouTube | Tagged and | 11 Comments

    Clegg marks Armed Forces Day with 5-point plan to improve service conditions

    Ahead of Armed Forces Day, Liberal Democrat Leader Nick Clegg has set out five priorities the Government must meet to better support Britain’s service men and women.

    We must never forget the enormous sacrifices which our service men and women make on our behalf every day. I know from visiting them in Afghanistan that their selfless dedication is truly humbling.

    “Armed Forces Day is a chance to show our gratitude, but also to reflect on how we can best support our troops. This Government has failed them too often. That is why I am setting out five priorities Gordon Brown must

    …

    Posted in News | Tagged , and | 5 Comments

    Live from Norwich – ICM poll shows close result and Clegg stands by Lib Dem campaign

    Ladies and gentlemen, we have the first constituency poll of the Norwich North by-election campaign, and it shows a close contest in store. Before I give you the figures, though, it should come with two big health warnings. First, the poll’s sample size is very small – 500 overall, and fewer than 300 for the voting figures. Secondly, polls this early in a by-election campaign, and when a polling date isn’t yet known, have proven unreliable predictors in the past. With those caveats firmly in place, here it is (comparisons with 2005 general election result in brackets):

    Tories 34%(+1), Labour 30%(-15),

    …

    Posted in News and Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged , and | 33 Comments

    End Mental Health Discrimination: Repeal Section 141

    One in four people in this country will suffer from a mental health problem at some point in their lives. Rethink, a national mental health charity, conducted a survey on MPs mental health last year. They found that 11% of MPs had suffered personally from a mental health problem. Yet not one is prepared to speak publicly.

    In part this is undoubtedly to with the stigma that surrounds mental health. But there is also a clause in the Mental Health Act which states that any MP who is sectioned is removed from their seat, with no provision to return. There is …

    Posted in Op-eds and Parliament | 6 Comments

    What’s the right way to respond to #MichaelJackson’s death?

    Why is it okay to laugh at the death of celebrities? Genuine question. As news of Michael Jackson’s death swept the world last night, causing the Internet to grind to a standstill, two things about our new cyber-age stood out to me.

    First, that it was a US celeb website, TMZ.com, which broke the news of Jacko’s demise, leaving traditional media, including the wire agencies and LA Times, in its reporting wake. Its maintained the frenetic and frequently intrusive coverage today. If you want to see pics of the paramedics arriving at Jacko’s house, or of his grief-stricken relatives …

    Posted in Op-eds | Tagged , , , and | 11 Comments

    Daily View 2×2: 26 June 2009

    Even to suggest today there are 2 Big Stories other than The One Big Story seems a trifle daft – the news that spread late yesterday evening of the death of Michael Jackson has dominated, and will continue to dominate, news coverage this weekend. RIP the ‘King of Pop’, of course, but spare a thought, too, for Farrah Fawcett, whose death was also announced yesterday, and has been rather overshadowed. If Michael’s death can be likened to that of Princess Diana’s in August ‘97, I guess that makes Farrah the Mother Teresa of June ’09. Anyway…

    2 Big Stories

    BBC …

    Posted in Daily View | Tagged , , , , , , , , and | 2 Comments

    Brian Coleman runs up another huge taxi bill

    One of the oddities about London Assembly  Member Brian Coleman’s record in running up huge expenses bills (e.g. in one year he managed to run up more taxi bills than all the other 24 Assembly member added together) is the incredibly soft line that Boris Johnson has taken on them.

    For all Mayor Johnson’s talk about value for money, clearing out dodgy practices and so on, his message to Brian Coleman has in effect pretty much been, “Carry on as you were”. Of course, the news about Boris’s own big taxi bills does help explain this. And so perhaps it …

    Posted in London | Tagged and | 2 Comments
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