World politics is going to be rough in the next few years – and British politics will be increasingly difficult, too. Trump’s victory means that the USA’s role in global affairs will be highly unpredictable. But we can predict that American influence will not be constructive on a range of global issues, from combatting climate change to managing the world economy and containing conflicts, and is unlikely to be affected by consideration for British or European concerns. So how do we respond?
Ed Davey’s first response to Trump’s victory was spot on. We need to defend and promote liberal values and prioritise rebuilding closer relations with our European neighbours. Neither of those are easy. Illiberal movements are gaining ground in many democratic countries, including within the EU. Liberal democracy gains most support when economies are growing, societies are stable and international relations are peaceful. Even without the added complications of an incoherent and unfriendly US Administration, the challenges of preventing catastrophic climate change, of coping with the mass movement of people that climate change and regional conflicts are already driving, of moving towards a sustainable global economy and resisting Chinese and Russian expansionism would be hard to manage – and harder to persuade the British electorate to share the cost.
There will no doubt be a flood of analyses of why a majority of American voters supported Trump. But discontent at the economic and social disruption of their lives, and disillusion with the ‘elites’ who – as they see it – allowed disruptive change to sweep from outside through their communities, were major factors. Those discontents are widespread in Britain as well. The ‘left behind’ in northern and coastal towns feel similarly abandoned by educated elites and multinational corporations. You Gov tracker polls show that the answer to the question ‘Are members of Parliament in touch with the public or not?’ has consistently shown around 70% answering ‘out of touch’ and 10-12% ‘in touch’ over the past five years. Those in the Brexit Referendum who were saying ‘I want my country back’ were expressing a similar sense of loss to Trump supporters who want to ‘Make America Great Again.’


I found myself enjoying some free bus rides yesterday. And no, I don’t have a concessionary bus pass – I’m not that old… yet – but our local Transport Museum here in Ipswich was having a vintage running day, with a collection of vintage buses operating three routes around the town. It all seemed somehow appropriate given the controversy over bus fares this week.

