Opinion: Time for a U-turn on Lisbon Treaty

Let’s call a spade a spade: given the BNP electoral successes I think this is probably one of the most important things we can do in politics right now. Last night was not a good set of results for the Lib Dems; anything that places our national vote share behind Labour’s simply is not good enough.

Rather than do an exhaustive analysis I intend to do something novel, something that has not been done much during this electoral cycle, and focus on a European issue.

I remember one of the first blog posts that I wrote critical of a position …

Posted in Europe / International and Op-eds | Tagged , , and | 31 Comments
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How the Euro results prove PR works

The good folk at Make Votes Count have been rapidly number-crunching, and come up with the following analysis of the UK’s European election results…

1) MOST VOTES ELECTED AN MEP

At least 3 out of every 4 votes counted and elected an MEP. Because of the proportional system used for the European elections, a large majority of voters will be represented by an MEP whom they voted for. In most regions, that is the case for at least 75% of voters. In the South East, it is almost 9 in every 10 voters. However, there were some losers; in particular Green voters missed out narrowly in several regions from electing a Green MEP.

2) VOTERS EMBRACE CHOICE

Across Great Britain, 8 different parties have won seats in the European Parliament. This shows that voters respond positively when offered choice at the ballot box. With differences emerging between results at local and European level, it is also clear that voters can make sophisticated choices about who they best want representing them and how they can most effectively make their vote count.

3) INCREASE IN WOMEN MEPs

As things stand exactly one-third of MEPs elected in Great Britain are women. This figure will likely go down very slightly, to around 32%, when the Scottish result is announced. Even so, this would still be a marked improvement on the one-in-four elected in 2004.

4) TURNOUT PATTERNS

Overall (including the Scottish result still to come in), turnout is probably going to be just under 35% – so around 4% less than last time. The biggest drops in turnout were in Wales and in those regions which had all-postal ballots in 2004. Turnout actually went up slightly in 3 regions (South East, South West and Eastern), with Thursday’s county council elections in those areas probably boosting things a bit.

5) BNP ONLY NARROWLY GAINED REPRESENTATION

Posted in Europe / International and News | Tagged , and | 25 Comments

Opinion: Losing at the Bridge Table

Losing at the Bridge Table

Politics is like tournament bridge. It’s not the quality of the cards you are dealt that matters. It’s how well you play the hand.

Cameron was dealt a rotten hand over expenses. His party is a bunch of upper class rotters milking the public purse. Cameron turned this to his own advantage. He summoned the rotters to his study and gave them all a good caning. He also effectively saw off the reform agenda in a cloud of grandiloquent promises. These amounted to a cast-iron commitment to think hard about …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 14 Comments

CommentIsLinked@LDV: Vince Cable – Oil – the next shock waiting in the pipeline

Over at the Daily Mail, Lib Dem deputy leader Vince Cable examines how to cope with another surge in oil prices, during a time of recession and rising unemployment. Here’s his conclusion:

It is more obvious than ever that the future lies with fuel-efficient and low-carbon cars. Those who are able to switch now will save a lot of money. The Government should therefore be more intelligent when it comes to helping the car industry.

Labour’s scrappage scheme for old bangers is largely a waste of taxpayers’ money. It would be more useful to concentrate on swaps for the new generation of

…

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Euro elections ’09: the LDV verdict

Hmm, so what to make of all that, then? Here’s the headline results (comparison with 2004 results in brackets):

Conservatives: 27.7 % (+1.0%), 25 MEPs (+1)
UK Independence Party: 16.5% (+0.3%), 13 MEPs (+1)
Labour: 15.7% (-6.9%), 13 MEPs (-5)
Liberal Democrats: 13.7% (-1.2%), 11 MEPs (+1)
Greens: 8.6% (+2.4%), 2 MEPs (0)
British National Party 6.2% (+1.3%), 2 MEPs (+2)
SNP: 2.1% (+0.7%), 2 MEPs (n/c)
Plaid Cymru: 0.8% (-0.1%), 1 MEP (n/c)
Others: 8.2%

In a sense, the Euro results show the reverse for the Lib Dems of what happened in the English local elections held on the same day: while in the locals, the …

Posted in Europe / International and Op-eds | Tagged | 35 Comments
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Come and debate #MPexpenses: a triumph for journalism?

This evening, 8th June, I’ll be debating ‘MPs expenses: a triumph for journalism?’ at the Frontline Club in Paddington, London, alongside Andrew Pierce, assistant editor of The Daily Telegraph, Heather Brooke, author of ‘Your Right to Know’, and Independent editor Roger Alton. The evening will be chaired by the Guardian’s media commentator Roy Greenslade. You can find further details HERE, and book for the event HERE.

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Daily View 2×2: 8 June 2009

2 Big Stories

This morning’s two big stories are being combined by most of the newspapers: the European election results and what they mean for Gordon Brown’s leadership of the Labour party.
From the Guardian:
European elections: Brown faces leadership battle amid Labour meltdown and BNP success

Gordon Brown today faces a make-or-break challenge to his leadership after Labour looked set to slump to just 16% of the national vote in the European elections and the far-right British National party won two new seats.

In a devastating result for the prime minister, Nick Griffin, the leader of the BNP, was elected to the

…

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It’s not just MPs who’ve got problems with their expenses

There looks to be a growing story in Berkshire with, amongst other news, a Tory councillor in West Berkshire (Joe Mooney) ordered to stop claiming for first class train travel. More news on Reading List.

UPDATE: The council have been in touch, stating that Joe Mooney has never claimed for first class train travel from the council and nor has any instruction been issued to him about his expense claims. We’re happy to put the record straight and apologies for highlighting an erroneous story.

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European elections: rolling results news

National vote share projections (BBC): Con 27% (n/c), UKIP 17% (+1), Lab 16% (-7), Lib Dem 14% (-1). Although not all regions yet in, looks extremely likely that the party will get the same number of MEPs elected as it had going in to the election.

South East: Sharon Bowles re-elected and joined by Catherine Bearder. (Emma Nicholson retired at this election.)

East Midlands: Bill Newton-Dunn also set to be re-elected.

London: Sarah Ludford re-elected.

Wales: Conservatives do indeed top the poll. Lib Dems miss out on our first ever Welsh MEP by just 2%.

Scotland: awaiting figures from Western Isles, but Lib Dems set …

Posted in Europe / International, Events and News | Tagged | 84 Comments

Euro election results ’09: Sunday night open thread

A mere 72 hours after polls closed on 4th June, the parties and candidates contesting the 72 UK seats available for the European Parliament will know their fate later this evening. Let’s remind ourselves what happened five years ago, in 2004, when these seats were last up for grabs:

Conservatives: 27% (27 MEPs)
Labour: 23% (19)
Ukip: 16% (12)
Lib Dems: 15% (12)
Greens: 6% (2)
BNP: 5% (0)
SNP: 1% (2)
Plaid: 1% (1)
N. Ireland: 3 MEPs (1 each for DUP, Sinn Fein, Ulster Unionists)

What will happen this time? Will the Tories do better under David Cameron than they did under Michael Howard? Will Labour retain second …

Posted in Europe / International and News | Tagged | 3 Comments

Are you on your way to the Forum?

Don’t forget, if you’re a party member you can register for the Lib Dem Voice private members’ forum. You’ll be in good company: there are 957 registered members, all of whom have the opportunity to read and post on a rich variety of topics which don’t always make it into the public blog, as well as having the chance to vote in LDV’s monthly tracking surveys. Here’s a selection of the currently active threads to whet your appetites:

  • General Elections mutterings and party preparedness
  • Now the dust is settling (part 1)
  • Euro vote share predictions
  • AV Plus
  • EU
  • …

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    Top of the Blogs: The Golden Dozen #120

    Welcome to the 120th of our weekly round-ups from the Lib Dem blogosphere, featuring the seven most popular stories according to click-throughs from the Aggregator (31st May – 6th June 2009), together with a hand-picked quintet, mostly courtesy of LibDig, you might otherwise have missed.

    As ever, let’s start with the most popular post, and work our way down.

    Posted in Best of the blogs | 2 Comments

    How to make the most of Facebook, part 2

    June’s edition of Total Politics carries the second part of a two part series from me about how people in politics can get the most out of Facebook.

    In the May edition of Total Politics, I went through some of the steps to get started with using Facebook, including getting your privacy settings right and pulling in content from elsewhere. But once you’ve done that, what next?

    Facebook groups are a good place to start. You can hunt out groups that cover issues or organisations in your patch and also set up one or more groups to compliment your own …

    Posted in Online politics | Tagged | 1 Comment

    Millennium’s Credit Crunch Diary… May: Not Just Moral Bankruptcy

    General Motors, the World’s biggest car company, responsible for the world’s biggest cars, became the World’s biggest BANKRUPT.

    As the economic output of Great Britain fell by a confirmed 1.9% in the first quarter, with the biggest fall in consumer spending since 1980, and while inflation was marginally better at a manageable-if-still-above-the chancellor’s-target-band rate of 2.3%, High Street sales fell back after an unexpected rise in April (possibly down to a late Easter), so the worsening recession continued to hold the attention of the news meeja…

    …Oh, who am I kidding! There has only been ONE news story …

    Posted in News | Tagged | 2 Comments

    Daily View 2×2: 7 June 2009

    Welcome to the Sunday outing for our Daily View. As it’s a Sunday, today it comes with a moving, talking, full colour Hugo Chavez.

    2 Big Stories

    Gordon Brown – too popular for Labour’s own good
    Yes, you read that right. In amongst all the speculation and rumour, the one substantive piece of news is the YouGov poll for Channel 4 of Labour Party members. Although the reporting has hyped up how unpopular Gordon Brown is with party members, the real problem for Labour is actually how much popularity he still retains:

    Gordon Brown should step down immediately 21%
    Gordon Brown should stay for the time being but step down before the general election 26%
    Gordon Brown should lead Labour into the next general election 46%

    So 46% want him to stay and fight the next general election, and 47% want him to go before the next general election. It’d have been better for Labour if Brown was less popular with members, as that might have given the dithering rebels the prod to dither less and rebel more. But with that split, it’s just a recipe for more dithering.

    D-Day anniversay
    The other big story in the news is the 65th anniversary of the D-Day landings. It’s already been covered extensively elsewhere, so here instead is Vera Lynn singing at the 50th anniversary:

    Posted in Daily View | Tagged , , , and | 2 Comments

    How can you help Liberal Democrat Voice?

    The Voice is only a success because of the interest and support from our readers. For many people, just lurking and reading the site is all they want to do – and that’s fine, we’re grateful for people taking the time to read the site.

    You can though help us continue to produce interesting content for a growing audience. Here are three simple ways:

    1. Let us have your tips for stories. Perhaps there’s something outrageous going on in your local council? Or you’re an expert in a particular area and have spotted a story other people have missed? Or you’ve seen …

    Posted in Site news | 10 Comments

    Top of the Blogs: The Golden Dozen #119

    Welcome to the 119th of our weekly round-ups from the Lib Dem blogosphere, featuring the seven most popular stories according to click-throughs from the Aggregator (24th-30th May 2009), together with a hand-picked quintet, mostly courtesy of LibDig, you might otherwise have missed.

    As ever, let’s start with the most popular post, and work our way down.

    Posted in Best of the blogs | Leave a comment

    Nick Clegg in conversation with Iain Dale

    Everyone’s favourite Tory blogger Iain Dale interviewed Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg on Friday morning about the party’s performance in the English local elections – you can listen to the 7-minute podcast version below:

    Posted in News | Tagged , and | 1 Comment

    The Great Expectations Game

    Earlier this week, I blogged about the ‘expectations game’, the way in which post-election analysis can be spun, and speculated that the Lib Dems were being set up for a fall. In fact, though, the reporting of the party’s performance has been generally fair. For instance, here’s Tony Travers in today’s Guardian:

    The national equivalent vote share put the Conservatives on 38%, the Liberal Dems on 28%, Labour on 23% and “others” on 11%. Compared with 2008, the Tories are down five points, Labour down one point, the Lib Dems up one point and Others up by

    …

    Posted in News | Tagged , and | 29 Comments

    CommentIsLinked@LDV: James Graham – The party of potholes

    Over at the Guardian’s CommentIsLinked blog, Lib Dem blogger James Graham analyses the current situation for the party, asking what the future holds for us, post-Rennard. Here’s an excerpt:

    Now the elections are out of the way, Clegg and party president Ros Scott must turn their attention to finding a new chief executive for the party. … it is impossible to over-estimate how he has transformed the Lib Dems’ prospects. Indeed, he has changed our whole political culture by developing and perfecting a method of populist pavement politics that can be applied almost anywhere in the country. His method is so

    …

    Posted in LibLink | Tagged and | 2 Comments

    Local elections ’09: the LDV verdict

    What to make of 4th June’s local elections in England, how to sum it up? The clichés are easy: a mixed bag, a curate’s egg, et bloody cetera. The reality is simpler, in my view: Thursday’s local elections were, generally, pretty damn good for the Lib Dems. That’s not to gloss over the disappointments – and, yes, there most definitely were some (of which more, later) – but nor should those setbacks allow us to discount the very clear successes which were achieved either.

    Let’s start with the good:

    • 1. The Liberal Democrats came second, with a nationally projected vote according to

    …

    Posted in Local government and Op-eds | Tagged | 37 Comments

    The Saturday Open Thread (6 Jun ’09): what’s on your mind?

    We don’t do an LDV Daily View 2 x 2 round-up on Saturdays, so instead here’s an open thread. What stories have caught your eye? What issues are on your mind? What did you think of the Lib Dems’ local elections performance? How do you think we’ll do in tomorrow’s Euro elections? What suggestions do you have for the new Lib Dem Voice poll? Discuss away in the comments below…

    Coming later today: the LDV verdict on the 4th June local election results; plus this week’s Golden Dozen.

    Posted in Daily View | 2 Comments

    WED: Green Lib Dems annual conference

    News reaches the Voice of the Green Lib Dem’s annual conference, unfortunately just a little too late to promote it in time for the early registration rates:

    SESSIONS INCLUDE: “The Great Nuclear Debate”; “Greening Your Council”; “Transition Towns”; “Eco Housing”; “Green Campaigning Workshop”

    CONFIRMED SPEAKERS: Simon Hughes MP; Chris Huhne MP; Heather Kidd PPC; Donnachadh McCarthy, Media Environmentalist; Lembit Opik MP

    PRICES HELD AT 2008 RATES – BOOK NOW TO ENSURE A PLACE

    Registrations received after 5th June

    GLD members £22 (for both days) £14 (single day rate)

    Non members £28 (for both days) £18 (single day rate)

    Conference fees include lunch. A separate Saturday evening

    …

    Posted in Events and News | Tagged , , , , , , , , , and | Leave a comment

    WED: an uncomfortable vision of the future

    Climate change is occurring much quicker than most people thought it would. This is in part due to positive feedback loops one of which is the melting of the ice caps which results in less heat being reflected back into space,

    The following is my offering of what the next 20-30 years might bring. It is intended to give a flavour of the situation we might be in. Please ignore any contradictions and accept it as just one possible fictional scenario. I hope it will contain some lessons of what we can avoid.


    …

    Posted in News | Tagged and | 9 Comments

    Roger Williams MP on World Environment Day

    This years World Environment Day should provide the perfect launching pad for the Liberal Democrat’s vision for a sustainable and environmentally sound future. For a party like the Liberal Democrats who profess that there is a green thread running through all of its policies. World Environment Day 2009 and its theme of Your Planet Needs You-UNite to Combat Climate Change should be used as a medium through which worldwide awareness of the environment should be stimulated and political attention should be re-focused on the issue of the environment.


    World Environment Day 2009

    Climate Change is the great challenge facing the whole of the humankind. People need leadership to guide them into a sustainable future. Human nature often means that people focus on the short term and disregard what sacrifices need to be made for the long term. For instance people who in principal are all for conservation and support the fight against Climate Change, when faced with every day decisions such as the use of plastic bags and recycling choose the easiest and most convenient option. We need to make and enforce those hard decisions for them.

    The Liberal Democrat Party has been at the forefront of the fight against Climate Change with Nick Clegg proposing the Green road out of recession in December.

    That put forward such initiatives as a five year programme to insulate every school and hospital, funding insulation and energy efficiency for a million homes, with a £1,000 subsidy for a million more and building 40,000 extra zero-carbon social houses

    Posted in Op-eds | Tagged , , , , , and | Leave a comment

    Just when you thought the last 24 hours’ news couldn’t get more bizarre…

    Labour’s MP for Norwich North Ian Gibson has quit the House of Commons with immediate effect, triggering a by-election. The Norwich Evening News has his full statement, in which he makes clear his anger at Labour’s handling of disciplinary action following the Daily Telegraph’s allegations over his expenses claims:

    It has been my great honour to have served the people of Norwich North as their MP since 1997. … I wish to publicly thank the hundreds of people who sent me messages of support. The decision of the NEC leaves me today bowed but not broken. However, I believe that

    …

    Posted in News and Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged and | 39 Comments

    BBC national projected vote share

    Interesting set of vote share results from the BBC based on the first few hundred council seat results, where they are giving the following numbers:

    Lib Dem – 28% (2005: 28% 2008: 25% )
    Tory – 38% (2005: 31% 2008: 44%)
    Labour – 23% (2005: 33% 2008: 24%)

    Labour’s result is one of the lowest they have ever seen.

    The context of those old results is all important. Labour have plumetted 10% from the last time these seats were contested, with the loss of the general election day boost hitting them as hard as the political climate.

    The Tory vote share has …

    Posted in News | Tagged | 8 Comments

    Local elections – Friday open thread

    English local election results will be pouring in throughout the day. Lib Dem Voice will try and keep you abreast of what’s happening across the country, as we did throughout Thursday night with our open thread – many thanks in particular to those commenting who were able to break the good news that the Lib Dems had taken majority control of Bristol City Council amid disastrous results for Labour. Please do keep the news coming in from wherever you live.

    As at 9.50 am, the BBC results scoreboard is telling me that the Lib Dems are the only party showing …

    Posted in Conference, Europe / International, LDV Awards, News, Parliament and Party Presidency | Tagged | 130 Comments

    Cabinet reshuffle – open thread

    It’s going to be a fast-paced day today, with English local election results due to be announced throughout the day, and a simultaneous cabinet reshuffle. On this open thread we’ll update you on the shape of the new cabinet, sans Purnell. What do you think of the new appointments? Is it enought to save Gordon Brown from the chop? Over to you…

    Confirmed so far:

    Chancellor: Alistair Darling stays
    Foreign Secretary: David Miliband stays
    Home Secretary: Alan Johnson handed the posioned chalice, takes over from Jacqui Smith
    Justice Secretary: Jack Straw stays
    Leader of the House of Commons: Harriet Harman stays
    Health Secretary: Andy Burnham …

    Posted in News | Tagged | 14 Comments

    Daily View 2×2: 5 June 2009

    Let me let you into the hidden secret of the LDV Daily View – it’s usually written very late the night before, ready to go live at the crack of dawn for your breakfast pleasure. This poses a problem when, as I am now, you’re writing at gone midnight not knowing whether Gordon Brown will have anyone left in his cabinet by the time you, dear gentle reader, are pouring milk over your cereal. But here goes…

    2 Big Stories

    James Purnell quits cabinet: is this the end of Gordon Brown’s premiership?
    The resignation of the work and pensions secretary was a …

    Posted in Daily View | Tagged | 1 Comment
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