The LDV Friday Five (ish): 8/1/10

What could be simpler: five categories, each with five links. And it’s Friday.

5 most-read stories on LDV this week

1. The Independent View: Wootton Bassett demonstrations: another Muslim point of view (12) by Shaaz Mahboob
2. General election prediction: new figures out (9) by Mark Pack
3. Can you come up with a punchy Lib Dem slogan? (56) by Stephen Tall
4. 20,000 road signs in kilometers – an evil EU plot? (34) by Iain Roberts
5. Ten predictions for the general election televised party leader debates (7) by Mark Pack

5 active LDV Members’ Forum threads

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Campaigning in the snow

It’s snowing. It’s cold. Much of Britain is housebound.

Here are some top tips to keep your constituency campaigning in the snow.

  1. Telephone canvass!
  2. Get your photos for next year’s Christmas card now!
  3. Use time trapped indoors to review your plans.  Have you ordered your ink, sourced your suppliers and got a name next to every action point?
  4. How’s that to-do list looking?
  5. Are you practicing Inbox Zero?  What better time to start!
  6. How snowy are your neighbours’ roofs?  If some houses in your street / ward / constituency have the snow and ice melting faster than others, then it’s a clear indication they don’t

…

Posted in Online politics | Tagged , and | 8 Comments

Chris Nelson selected for Lib Dems in Kettering

News from Kettering and Wellingborough Liberal Democrats:

Local Liberal Democrat members have chosen local campaigner Chris Nelson to be the Liberal Democrat parliamentary candidate for the Kettering constituency.

Chris Nelson was born and brought up in Kettering – attending Millbrook Infant & Junior Schools as well as Ise Community College – and has a degree in law from Oxford Brookes University. He contested Ise Division in last June’s county council elections and works as an aide for Northampton Liberal Democrats and Bill Newton Dunn MEP.

He takes over the role from Roger Aron – who contested the constituency in the 1997,

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Posted in Selection news | Tagged , , and | 9 Comments

Have your say on MPs’ expenses

The Independent Parliamentary Standards Authority is running a public consultation on MPs’ expenses, to run from 7 January to 11 February 2010.

The IPSA was created by the Parliamentary Standards Act 2009, in response to last summer’s public outcry at MPs’ expenses and allowances claims under the existing scheme. The body is independent of Parliament, Government and political parties.

Respond online or in writing with your views on a new scheme for MPs’ expenses.

The topics it covers include:

Posted in News | Tagged and | 6 Comments

Uniform versus proportional swing: which is best?

Presenting a new analysis of the merits of the two main ways of converting party vote shares in to seat number projections:

Although uniform national swing (UNS) calculations are widely used to extrapolate likely seat numbers from party’s national ratings and have the merit of simplicity, they are not without their critics. For example, in November ConservativeHome ran a piece from Quentin Langley which said,

That it continues to be used when a superior system was developed more than three decades ago is a testament to incompetence in the media…

The Proportional Loss Hypothesis (PLH) developed by Dr Gordon Reece of

…

Posted in Polls | Tagged | 10 Comments
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Daily View 2×2: 8 January 2010

Suspicious Minds. Steamroller Blues. Can you guess what it is yet?

No, not Labour and the Tories’ fortunes this week, but Elvis Presley’s 75th birthday.

It’s also the 1139th anniversary of the Battle of Ashdown.

2 (nearly) Big Stories

Coups and cricket balls: both spun, neither won:

Cabinet almost backed our coup, rebel MPs claim

Fresh doubts about Gordon Brown’s authority surfaced last night as rebel Labour MPs claimed that most of his Cabinet came close to backing the attempted coup against him.

One ringleader of the revolt told The Independent: “My understanding was that only three or four Cabinet ministers were absolutely determined to die in the ditch for Gordon.” Suggesting that Cabinet members were fomenting the revolt, the rebel MP said that: “We were asked to do something and we did it.”

Posted in Daily View | Tagged , , , , and | Leave a comment

Liberal Democrats regain Woodfield, Harrogate Borough Council

The first by-election of 2010 has resulted in a Liberal Democrat gain from the Conservatives in Harrogate.

The result:

Greta Knight 688 62.5% (+4%)
Con 246 22.3% (+7.5%)
BNP 92 8.4% (-4.1%)
Lab 73 6.6% (-7.5%)

Turnout was 26.99%

The …

Posted in Council by-elections | Tagged , , , , and | 8 Comments

YourThurrock.com talks to PPC Carys Davies

An email arrives from the editor of YourThurrock.com pointing us to a YouTube interview they’ve done with local PPC Carys Davies.

You can see the interview here, as well as register to leave comments.

Thurrock, if you didn’t already know, is in Essex. Gotta love a place whose Wikipedia History section begins “Mammoths once grazed in the Thurrock area.” Is it the WP equivalent of “First the earth cooled. And then the dinosaurs came…” ?

At the end of January, the LDV team will be meeting to discuss how we cover the general election. As a site launched …

Posted in General Election and Site news | 9 Comments

“Former lord mayor suspended over sex talk” – Telegraph

From today’s paper comes one of the more unusual stories about a councillor misbehaving:

A former lord mayor has been suspended from serving as a city councillor for three months after repeatedly asking a female guest at an official ball if he could have sex with her.

Married Andy Matchet, 57, also questioned the middle-aged chief executive about her orgasms and told her about losing his virginity as they spoke at the Lord Mayor’s Ball in Coventry.

As the city’s lord mayor at the time, father-of-two Mr Matchet was wearing his ceremonial gold chain and was accompanied by his wife Caron, 47.

From …

Posted in News | Tagged | 4 Comments

Where are the “it’s health and safety gone mad”/”we’re living in a nanny state” brigade when you need them?

In their absence, I will step up to the mark and do my best to fill the gap in our media commentary:

<start rant>

What is our country coming to when just about everyone expects the state to sort out everything for them and is happy to use the flimsiest of health and safety excuses to stop behaving sensibly? It’s the nanny state gone mad, that’s what it is.

Millions of people in other countries quite happily clear the snow from outside their own homes and shops at winter time. But in Britain, supposedly the liberal home of the free? Nope, pretty much …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 16 Comments

Britain’s best MP competition: the results

Our ‘Britain’s Best MP’ competition has come to a close with Douglas Carswell, Conservative MP for Harwich, a clear winner. The final results are:

Douglas Carswell 47%
Gisela Stuart 16%
Tom Harris 12%
Lynne Featherstone 9%
Bob Russell 6%
Jo Swinson 6%
David Howarth 2%
Chris Mullin 2%

I appreciate that the results do not make happy reading for visitors to this site and the results of online polls cannot be taken too seriously, but please don’t dismiss this competition just yet.

Whilst acknowledging that our hope of getting people to listen to the MPs answers and then vote for their ‘best MP’ based on what they heard probably …

Posted in The Independent View | Tagged , , , , , , and | 10 Comments

The Independent View: Infrastructure, Infrastructure, Infrastructure

As Britain slowly emerges from recession policymakers are faced with the challenge of maintaining a recovery while addressing a deficit that could damage the long-term interests of the country. After the collapse of Lehman Brothers it was clear that nothing was going to be the same again. Government spending and procurement models such as PFI were all going to be rigorously questioned for their cost-effectiveness and value for money.

In the last year, ACE had been giving careful thought to these issues. Clearly, it is in the public interest to have robust infrastructure. Given the climate change …

Posted in The Independent View | 8 Comments

Don’t be an Edward Everett

Recognise this man?

As you may have guessed from the title of this post, he’s Edward Everett. That’s the man who gave a two hour speech on November 19, 1863. He was followed by a fellow American who gave a mere two and a bit minute speech – otherwise known as Abraham Lincoln’s Gettysburg Address.

Lincoln’s brevity (and without PowerPoint) shows how it is possible to communicate major, thoughtful political points whilst being brief. At the more mundane level of your local leaflets and letters, you don’t have to knock …

Posted in News | Tagged and | 11 Comments

Daily View 2×2: 7 January 2010

Good morning and welcome to Daily View on 7th January. Waking up to a cold frosty reception this morning are Prime Minister Gordon Brown, former Labour ministers and fellow East Midlanders Geoff Hoon and Patricia Hewitt – and, well, pretty much the rest of us as temperatures are set to stay below freezing for most of the country for most of the day.

The 7th January in history saw a trio of firsts: Galileo Galilei first observed the largest moon of Jupiter; the first use of the modern Italian flag; and the first transatlantic telephone call.

A trio of Nicks have birthdays today: Nicholson Baker, the American novelist; Nicolas Cage, the tax defaulting American actor – and our own Nick Clegg MP, who is 43 today!

And in misogyny news: today is Distaff Day, when traditionally, women, who’d had a break from household work over Christmas, began their domestic tasks again.

2 Big Stories

Today we have one nice story and a load of links poking fun at the Labour party.

Lord Mandelson plans street parties for Queen’s diamond jubilee

Mind you, even this story in the Telegraph, ostensibly about something else entirely, can’t help but speculate on Gordon’s much-demanded departure. Here’s the Lib Dem relevant paragraphs:

Lord McNally, for the Liberal Democrats, had to cough to get himself heard, for Lord Mandelson had risen too soon. This faux pas prompted Lord McNally to say, “That’s a bad start to the year,” before demanding street parties and mugs to celebrate the jubilee.

A lesser performer would have been thrown by the embarrassment of forgetting the genial Lord McNally, but Lord Mandelson recovered without apparent effort, declaring himself strongly in favour of street parties and mugs.

Yay, street parties and mugs! Woo!

Posted in Daily View | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , and | Leave a comment

LibLink … Mark Pack on Labour’s SnowStorm Plot

LDV’s co-editor Mark Pack was one of three bloggers asked by Channel 4 News for their take on today’s extraordinary bid by two former cabinet ministers to unseat the Prime Minister. You can watch Mark’s minute-long clip here. Here’s a quick excerpt as a taster:

Today’s events have all the makings of a fantastic political farce because if you were to launch a coup against the prime minister now is just about the worst time to do it.

“I guess it’s just desperation because Labour know that under Gordon Brown they are facing a very heavy election defeat and they

…

Posted in LibLink | Tagged , , , , and | Leave a comment

Times obituary of Anna Werrin

We reported last month the sad death of Anna Werrin, the highly influential personal assistant to Lib Dem leader Charles Kennedy throughout his Parliamentary career until his resignation as party leader.

Today’s Times publishes an obituary of Anna in its Lives in Brief section:

Anna Werrin, personal assistant to Charles Kennedy, was born on June 14, 1959. She died after a stroke on December 18, 2009, aged 50

Anna Werrin was the personal assistant to Charles Kennedy, and throughout his leadership of the Liberal Democrats she was his principal aide, head of office and, effectively, his gatekeeper — and

…

Posted in Obituaries | Tagged | Leave a comment

LibLink: Stephen Tall: “What kind of cockeyed electoral system produces that type of crazy result?”

Our esteemed editor Stephen Tall has an article for Comment is Free today discussing the question that Lib Dem leaders have to answer again and again in any election, but doubly so in such a febrile one as the one expected in just over a hundred days’ time.

It can be a tough job, leading the Liberal Democrats. The one question you are guaranteed to be asked is the one it’s impossible to answer: what would you do if there’s a hung parliament? Menzies Campbell, when he was leader, straight-batted it, refusing to budge from his mantra of “our sole

…

Posted in LibLink | 17 Comments

Nick: Labour and Tories stand for ‘corrupt politics’

In his hardest-hitting attack yet on the Labour and Tory parties, Nick Clegg has used an interview for BBC News’s Hard Talk programme to denounce both parties for colluding in ‘corrupt politics’. You can watch a three-minute clip from the programme here, in which Nick discusses Afghanistan.

The Guardian reports Nick’s comments here:

Clegg uses an interview today on the BBC’s Hard Talk programme to publish a list of “progressive” policies Labour and the Tories have blocked. He says: “A vote for Labour or the Conservatives is a vote for corrupt politics. A vote for Labour or the Conservatives is a vote for tax dodgers in politics. A vote for letting guilty MPs off the hook. A vote for an unfair voting system.”

Here’s the party’s evidence for Nick’s verdict:

Posted in News | Tagged , , and | 4 Comments

LibLink … Chris Huhne: Terrorists don’t stand still, and neither can we

Over at The Guardian’s Comment Is Free website today, Lib Dem shadow home secretary Chris Huhne argues that, if they are effective and available, body scanners at airports should have been rolled out by the government years ago. Here’s an excerpt:

No one wants to have full body scanners in airports. No one wants to be electronically strip-searched at the start of their holidays. It is an invasion of privacy we would all rather avoid. But the foiled bombing attempt on a Detroit-bound plane over Christmas demonstrates that terrorists still have an unhealthy addiction to air travel, and we have to

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Posted in LibLink | Tagged and | 11 Comments

All aboard the new quango train, Conservative Party style

Toot toot! Hold tight! Another one coming on board the quango express.

It’s another new quango promised by the Conservatives with, as the Telegraph has reported,

Nick Herbert, shadow minister for farming and environment, promising a farmers’ conference that a future Conservative government will implement the Competition Commission’s recommendation to create an ombudsman to rule on disputes between supermarkets and their suppliers. That is one more quango to add to the already long list: perhaps they should call it Offtrolley.

Ah, you say. But that’s an ok quango. Surely there’s room for a bit of flexibility?

Only problem is, it’s an awful lot …

Posted in News | Tagged , and | 2 Comments

+++ Hoon and Hewitt call for Brown leadership ballot

Poor Gordon Brown. He actually had (another) pretty good day at Prime Minister’s Questions – of which more later – but that won’t matter diddly-squat now … all the news is of the latest move by some Labour MPs to defenestrate him.

Yes, I know, it’s hard to keep up. In 2008, Siobhain McDonagh resigned from the Government, calling on Mr Brown to quit. In 2009, James Purnell resigned from the cabinet, calling on Mr Brown to quit. The result: nada, nothing, niet. He’s still there.

And now in 2010, former cabinet ministers Geoff Hoon and Patricia Hewitt have written …

Posted in News | 8 Comments

Welcome to tax and spend politics, 1992 style

Unpopular government seeks fourth general election victory in a row in midst of a recession. Sound familiar? Welcome to 1992.

Back then it was the Conservatives in power facing a Labour opposition and David Cameron was working for the Conservative Party, as head of the political section of the Conservative Research Department.

I suspect it’s memories of 1992 that help explain the vagueness of Conservative tax and spend plans this time round. In 1992 the Labour opposition had spelt out its spending commitments in advance in some detail and so, when Chancellor of the Exchequer Norman Lamont sprung a surprise in the …

Posted in News | Tagged , , , and | 3 Comments

Nick: fairness is the Lib Dems’ core value

‘It’s all about fairness’, is the refrain we can expect to hear a lot from Nick Clegg in the next few months, leading up to the 2010 general election. It was noticable that the word ‘fair’ was deployed in each one of Nick’s four key policy areas set out in his Times article yesterday on the Lib Dems’ approach to a ‘hung parliament’:

  • fair taxes;
  • a fair start for all our children;
  • a fair and sustainable economy that creates jobs; and
  • fair, clean and local politics.

And it’s the word which recurs in this BBC interview, where Nick states his belief that the core value of the Lib Dems is fairness:

Posted in News | Tagged and | 3 Comments

Daily View 2×2: 6th January 2010

My first Daily View of the new decade so a pledge up front: none of these stories will be about the weather.

2 Must-Read Blog Posts

Two posts from the Liberal Democrat Blogs aggregator:

2 Interesting Stories

Yes please, Richard

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Labour ups election spending by a third as Conservatives make big cuts

Yup, you read that headline right. For those are the surprising figures from the 2009 European Election expense returns which have just been published.

In 2009 the Conservatives spent £2,482,536 on election expenses for the European elections, just ahead of Labour on £2,302,244 with the Liberal Democrats on £1,180,883.

However, while the Labour figure was up 35% on the 2004 European elections, the Conservatives had cut their spending by 21%. The Liberal Democrat spending was 1% lower.

UKIP spent £1,270,855, a cut of 46%.

In the elections the Conservatives, UKIP and Liberal Democrats each gained a seat while Labour lost five. (Seat change …

Posted in Election law and Europe / International | Tagged | Leave a comment

Aspiring Independent candidate in Chingford changes his name to “None Of The Above”

From the Waltham Forest Guardian:

An aspiring MP has gone to extreme lengths to protest against the three main political parties.

Adam Osen, 50, has officially changed his name to None Of The Above and hopes to attract support from disillusioned voters as an independent parliamentary candidate for Chingford and Woodford Green.

The move was suggested by Mr Above’s brother, Gideon, who took the idea from the film Brewster’s Millions, which sees a character run a political campaign under the same slogan.

The former Mr Osen, a painter and decorator of Woodberry Way in Chingford, said his wife, Rebecca, 43, tried to talk him out of the move and many did not believe he would go through with it.

However, he admitted his two children, Gabrielle, 18, and Michael, 15, were less surprised as he has a reputation for coming up with “off the wall” ideas.

Mr Above, or None as he is known to friends, has lost faith in Labour, Liberal Democrat and Conservative parties since the MPs’ expenses scandal.

I spoke to Geoff Seeff, Liberal Democrat PPC for Chingford and Woodford Green, who said,

Posted in Election law and News | Tagged , , , , , , and | 23 Comments

Is this the laziest piece of political journalism ever?

Well, no, it’s probably not. But it must at least qualify for the laziest piece of journalism this decade. I refer to today’s Independent article, ‘Clegg faces party backlash over Tory alliance’, by Nigel Morris and Michael Savage. Oh, go on, then, here’s a link if you must; though I begrudge handing them the traffic. The opening para gives a flavour of the kite-flying, unsourced speculation:

Nick Clegg faces a backlash from grassroots Liberal Democrats if he moves his party too close to the Conservatives in a hung parliament.

Well, yes, he probably would. Which is why he won’t. Unless the …

Posted in News | Tagged , , , , , , , and | 9 Comments

The Independent View: Wootton Bassett demonstrations: another Muslim point of view

It was the afternoon of 31st October 2009 when emerging from the Piccadilly Circus tube station I received a text message informing me that Anjem Chaudhary had given up his plans to march through central London under the banner of Islam4UK that day.

Not only was I pleasantly surprised but felt a deep sense of satisfaction at having, perhaps for the first time in the history of post-Rushdie-affair Britain, reclaimed the public sphere away from the pseudo-religious bigots. These people have consistently hijacked the name of Islam to gain political mileage and to sow the seeds of mistrust, hatred …

Posted in The Independent View | Tagged , , and | 14 Comments

Daily View 2×2: 5 January 2010

With the thought that there are only 353 days to Christmas and considerably fewer until the General Election, we launch into today’s Daily View.

On this day in 1918, the Free Committee for a German Workers Peace, which would become the Nazi party, was founded. In 1941, the aviator Amy Johnson, disappeared over the Thames Estuary and was never found. And 28 years ago today, Peter Sutcliffe, a 35-year-old lorry driver from Bradford appeared in court, charged with 13 murders of women in West Yorkshire.

Happy birthday to the second most famous son of Abbots Langley, footballer, actor and current Celebrity Big Brother ‘inmate’ Vinnie Jones, who is 45 today and to former US Vice President Walter F. Mondale, who is 82.

2 Interesting Stories

With the thought that some of you may have already noticed other parties’ pronouncements in the news yesterday, here are two more slants on the coming election.

 We’re being outgunned by slick Tory machine, says Labour’s Andrew Slaughter

The Labour MP for Hammersnith believes that his chances of re-election are being hampered by a lack of funding compared to his Conservative opponent. Slaughter said;

“People should be concerned that money is being poured into seats like this and the consequences of that for democracy,”

Funny how Labour never saw this as a problem when they were the ones bringing in large donations?

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Can you come up with a punchy Lib Dem slogan?

Iain Martin of the Wall Street Journal put in a pithy request to the political parties yesterday, Day -1 of the 2010 general election campaign: Better Slogans, Please.

Iain is equally scathing of Labour’s efforts (‘Come on Labour, wake up, get a move on! Don’t you know there’s an election on?’) and the Tories’ (‘a rather unhappy fudge of a slogan that doesn’t stick in the brain. Fail.’). But he’s also slightly underwhelmed by the Lib Dems’ sloganeering:

The Lib-Dems: The party knows there is no point diving in when the two larger parties are getting all the attention. Instead,

…

Posted in General Election and News | Tagged | 60 Comments
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